*I strongly recommend Part 1, in which Jeftovic dismantles some of the bull*
*that's flying around out there (e.g., internment camps built secretly in
Canada),*
*which makes it easier to laugh off the whole issue.*


*MCM*

Enough conspiracy, let’s stick to data and science to end the lockdowns,
Part 2

*by Mark Jeftovic*
*10/25/20*


https://outofthecave.io/articles/enough-conspiracy-lets-stick-to-data-and-science-to-end-the-lockdowns-part-2/

A Procession of Flagellants – Francisco De Goya 1819

In part 1
<https://outofthecave.io/articles/enough-conspiracy-lets-stick-to-data-and-science-to-end-the-lockdowns-part-1/>
I
talked about two COVID-19 / Great Reset themed conspiracy theories that
were spreading in Canada and why embracing or amplifying them made lockdown
skeptics look like lunatics who could more easily be dismissed.

There is no shortage of science and data to challenge the flawed policies
of the governments whose basic playbook has been: lockdown, close economy,
print money, ignore data, and double down.

This may be a good time to quickly outline my arc of how my views on the
pandemic shifted over time.
My journey from Zombie Apocalypse to lockdown skeptic

I began monitoring the reports of a new virus emerging out of China in
January. On January 23rd I emailed a friend advising him to go out the next
day and pick up some N95 masks. By the first week of February I was
stocking up on food, medical supplies, cash, and weapons while advising
friends and family to do the same. I was bracing for a full breakdown of
the global supply chain and a collapse of the global economy.

Based on early reported numbers of an R0 around 3.1 with an IFR of 5%, it
looked like we’d see doubling times of 15 days. By March all three levels
of government, city, province and national were reporting case rates and
fatalities daily. I put together a spreadsheet and using those numbers as a
model I forecasted Toronto to have 1.7M cases by the end of June. If the
IFR really was 5%, or even 3%, it would mean between 51,000 and 136,000
fatalities.

This was terrifying, so as the world started locking down, it seemed to
make sense. In fact I was wondering why we were still allowing inbound
flights from hotspots like China? There were rumblings from The Clerisy
like the New York Times that blocking flights from China would be racist
<https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/30/world/asia/coronavirus-chinese-racism.html>.
This was the early innings of the politicization that was to follow.

But then, a curious thing happened. The rate of change in infections and
fatalities started coming down, drastically.

By June it was clear to anybody following the data that this was, at least
for now, largely in the rearview mirror. I had been in touch with an old
friend who now ran IT for several hospitals. In January he was trying to
get administrators to take COVID seriously. By May, they had built 4
additional ICU wards across their hospitals and they were sitting empty.
Worse, resources were being denied to other medical uses. He was beginning
to wonder if maybe this wasn’t going to be as bad as we both originally
thought.

Then, over the summer despite the clear slowdown in the severity of the
pandemic, the policy response *to it* intensified. And then it all became
political. Questioning the efficacy of continuing the lockdowns became
associated with being alt-right. Pro-Trump. Or worse. A Narrative War
ensued. If you questioned official policy, you got deplatformed. I
documented numerous instances of this over on AxisOfEasy
<https://axisofeasy.com/>.

*Click on the link for the rest.*
---

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