John/All,

 

Although your problem has been solved, I am not sure this should be the
end of this topic or the beginning of a more general discussion on how
much we can 'trust' NONMEM and what we can do to standardise at least
the basic algorithms we use to analyse data in our scientific community
to get comparable and consistent results between individuals and groups.

 

I am very concerned about findings like this:  it seems to me that you
only found out by chance that there was something wrong with your first
fit and you only spotted the error because you used a simple model.  How
often does something like this happen without us noticing when we use
more complex models?

 

I had a similar issue recently when I found out that with another simple
model NMV always gave wrong predictions for the first ID in the dataset,
whereas NMVI (using exactly the same code) didn't.  I still don't know
why this happened, but I don't think I would have spotted it had I not
compared the 2 NM versions which is obviously not something I would like
to do for every analysis I perform.  So, this brings me to my more
specific point/comment/question: I am intrigued by your PS that you are
'aware of other *important* inconsistencies between version VI and V
from university colleagues working on a PK problem with FOCE...', and
was wondering if anyone has collated a list of these inconsistencies and
also recommendations how to spot and solve them.  For example, should we
now always use the SLOW option in NMVI (to be honest I had never come
across this before) or at least compare SLOW with NOSLOW for every
analysis?

 

Thanks,

 

Piet

 

Piet H. van der Graaf

Preclinical M&S

Pfizer

IPC 654

Sandwich CT13 9NJ

++-44-1304-648330

________________________________

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On Behalf Of John Lukas
Sent: 03 January 2008 07:52
To: [email protected]
Subject: RE: [NMusers] RE: re: bug in NONMEM VI?

 

Hi all,

 

Bill is right. SLOW in NONMEM version 6 works fine giving the better
answer in the minimization problem (FO method). Peter is also right in
that COV3 and COV4 are more correlated than with the others! I suppose
NONMEM version 5 was inherently SLOW (!)?

 

Thanks and have a great new year!

 

John 

 

John C Lukas

Strategic Consulting Services

Pharsight Corp.

 

line: + 33 492 726 495

cell: + 33 626 496 777

 

________________________________

From: Bonate, Peter [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wed 1/2/2008 10:03 PM
To: Bill Bachman; John Lukas; [email protected]
Subject: RE: [NMusers] RE: re: bug in NONMEM VI?

I'd also like to see how correlated COV3 and COV4 are.  This may be a
collinearity issue.

 

pete bonate

 

Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP

Genzyme Corporation

Senior Director

Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacokinetics

4545 Horizon Hill Blvd

San Antonio, TX  78229   USA

[EMAIL PROTECTED]

phone: 210-949-8662

fax: 210-949-8219

crackberry: 210-315-2713

 

 

________________________________

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On Behalf Of Bill Bachman
Sent: Wednesday, January 02, 2008 2:38 PM
To: 'John Lukas'; [email protected]
Subject: RE: [NMusers] RE: re: bug in NONMEM VI?

Have you tried both of these runs using the SLOW option on the
estimation record?

 

________________________________

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On Behalf Of John Lukas
Sent: Wednesday, January 02, 2008 2:36 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: [NMusers] RE: re: bug in NONMEM VI?

 

 

 

________________________________

From: John Lukas
Sent: Mon 12/17/2007 11:51 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: re: bug in NONMEM VI?

Dear Nmusers,

 

A simple LME model run using NM version VI, FO method, with 4 covariates
(5 THETA's) as,

.

.

$PRED

 

SUM1=THETA(2)*COV1+THETA(3)*COV2

SUM2=THETA(4)*COV4+THETA(5)*COV3

 

TLAU=THETA(1)+SUM1+SUM2

F=TLAU+ETA(1)

 

Y=F+EPS(1)

 

$THETA 4 .1 .1 .1 .1

$OMEGA .1

$SIGMA .1

 

$ESTIMATION MAXEVALS=1900 PRINT=5 METHOD=0

 

(let's call this FIT A) gave a different fit from another (FIT B) where
only the order of THETA( 4) and 5 was reversed, all else kept the same,
as,

.

.

SUM2=THETA(5)*COV4+THETA(4)*COV3

.

.

(even more strange, FIT B, the reversed order run, proved to be the good
run!)

 

NONMEM version V had the same result for both FITS A and B, as expected
(and same as  FIT B from version 6). FOCE gave good answers always in
both NONMEM version V and version VI. But, the question remains about
that dependence on ordering of the THETAs with the FO method for version
VI.

 

Any comments? Has there been discussion on this earlier that I missed?
Thanks in advance.

 

John

PS I am aware of other *important* incosistencies between version VI and
V from university colleagues working on a PK problem with FOCE...

 

 

John C Lukas

Strategic Consulting Services

Pharsight Corp.

 

line: + 33 492 726 495

cell: + 33 626 496 777

 

 

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