Dear NMusers group:

I am puzzled by the result of a NONMEM analysis I am working on.  I have 
modeled plasma conc versus effect data using ADVAN5 (simultaneous link, 
comp3=effect) and can get a reasonable fit for the PD but the PK IPRED versus 
observed plot has a very unusual S-shape.  Fitting the same plasma conc 
independently using ADVAN3 with the same error structure does not produce such 
pattern.  I log transform the plasma concentration data to obtain a better PK 
fit.  Also I have built a non-linear binding equation into the error structure 
of the PKPD model.  I have included the code below.  Do you know what is 
wrong?

Many thanks in advance and I look forward to hear from you.


Fatemeh Akhlaghi


$PROBLEM
;MODEL DESC:PKPDLINKWITH BINDING PARAMETERS
;PROJECT NAME: EXAMPLE1
;PROJECT ID: PKPDLINK MODEL
; MODEL: C = BIEXP; CE = C*KEO.EXP(-KEO.T); E = SIGM_EMX(CE)
; NOTE: MAY BE MORE ETAS HERE THAN REASONABLE
; NOTE: MODEL FOR C CAN BE MORE COMPLEX BY ADDING CMPTS
;
; THE DATA FILE CONTAINS BOTH CP AND EFFECT OBSERVATIONS.
; WHEN DV IS A CP OBSERVATION, CMT = 1 (OR 0),
; WHEN DV IS AN EFFECT OBSERVATION, CMT =2.

$DATA ..\PKPDLINK1ADDDOSE.CSV IGNORE=C
$INPUT ID OCC TIME AMT DV DV1 MDV CMT EVID WT TPRO ALB DOSE HT SEX AST TBIL 
UREA CREA WBC DROP=RBC
$SUBROUTINES ADVAN=5
$MODEL
  COMP=(CENTRAL,DEFDOSE,DEFOBS)
  COMP=PERIPH
  COMP=EFFECT
$PK
  K10=THETA(1)
  TVK12=THETA(2)
  K12=TVK12*EXP(ETA(1))
  K13= .001*K10                                ; TRIVIAL LOSS TO EFFECT COMPT
  K21=THETA(3)
  TVS1=THETA(4)
  S1=TVS1                                      ; V1 FOR DRUG
  K30=THETA(5)                                 ; KEO
  E0=THETA(6)*EXP(ETA(2))
  EMAX=THETA(7)
  C50=THETA(8)*EXP(ETA(3))
  HILL=THETA(9)
  TVBMAX=THETA(10)*EXP(ETA(4))
  BMAX=TVBMAX
  KD=THETA(11)
  KNS=THETA(12)
  W=THETA(13)
S3=S1*K13/K30                   ; PRESERVES CESS = CPSS

$ERROR
FLAG=0
IF(AMT.GT.0) FLAG=1     ;DOSING RECORD ONLY

CP1=1
IF(F.NE.0) CP1=F

LNCP=LOG(CP1+FLAG)      ;TRANFORM THE PREDICTION TO THE LOG OF PRED

Y1=LNCP+W*ERR(1)

CP=0
IF(LNCP.GT.-4) CP=EXP(LNCP)

CB=HT*((CP*BMAX/(CP+KD))+KNS*CP)+CP*(1-HT)
E=E0*(1-(EMAX*(CB**HILL))/((C50**HILL)+(CB**HILL)))
Y2=E+E*(ERR(2))+ERR(3)

Q=1
IF(CMT.EQ.2) Q=0             ; CMT = 3        = EFFECT OBS
Y=Q*Y1+(1-Q)*Y2
F1=Q*LNCP+(1-Q)*E

IPRE=F1

DEL=0
IF(IPRE.EQ.0) DEL=1
W=IPRE+DEL
IRES=IPRE-DV
IWRES=IRES/W

$THETA (0.01,0.5,1)         ;K10           1
$THETA (0.1,1,2)            ;K12           2
$THETA (0.01,0.05,0.5)      ;K21           3
$THETA (0.1,4,10)           ;V1 OR S1      4
$THETA (0.1,0.5,)           ;K30           5
$THETA (0.1,0.2,)           ;E0            6
$THETA (0.01,0.1,)          ;EMAX          7
$THETA (0.1,150,)           ;EC50          8
$THETA (2,4,6)              ;HILL          9
$THETA (200,250,350)        ;BMAX          10 
$THETA (0.1,0.6,12)         ;KD            11
$THETA (0.01,0.1,2)         ;KNS           12
$THETA (0.001,0.1,)         ;PRO RES ERR   13

$OMEGA BLOCK(3)
 0.001                              ;k12
 0.0001 0.001                       ;e0
 0.0001 0.0001  0.01                ;ec50

$OMEGA
  0.2                               ;BMAX   4

$SIGMA
 0.17          ;[A] SIGMA(1,1)
 0.002         ;[A] SIGMA(2,2)
 0.0001        ;[A] SIGMA(3,3)

$COV PRINT=E

$ESTIMATION METHOD=1 INTER PRINT=10 MAXEVAL=9999 SIGDIG=6 NOABORT

Fatemeh Akhlaghi, PharmD, PhD
Associate Professor in Pharmacokinetics
Biomedical and Pharmaceutical Sciences (BPS)
University of Rhode Island
125 Fogarty Hall, 41 Lower College Road
Kingston, RI 02881, USA

Phone/Fax: (401) 874 9205/(401) 874 2181
Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Laboratory Website: http://www.uri.edu/pharmacy/faculty/aps/akhlaghi/index

Reply via email to