Hi all,

I'm having troubles with the following warning message as the prediction for 
first records weren't right.

#########################
(Warning 48) DES-DEFINED ITEMS ARE COMPUTED ONLY WHEN EVENT TIME INCREASES. E. 
G., DISPLAYED VALUES ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST EVENT RECORD OF AN INDIVIDUAL 
RECORD ARE COMPUTED WITH (THE LAST ADVANCE TO) AN EVENT CREATING MVMODEL ROUTINE
##########################


 I tried to fit a PKPD model, given PK is a bit complicated, I did in two 
steps, predicted the PK concentration, then add the concentration column to the 
dataset for the PD part.  Here is the example of the dataset:
ID

TIME

AMT

RATE

EVID

DV

LNDV

MDV

CMT

CP

1

0

0

0

0

88

4.477337

0

2

0

1

192.1667

0.52149

0.297994

1

0

0

1

1

0

1

720.1667

0.4448

0.264238

1

0

0

1

1

0.53923

1

1176

0

0

0

16.5

2.80336

0

2

0.77665


Here is the model (kept the dosing records in the datasets but ignore it by 
setting diff. eqn =0):

$DES
DADT(1)=0
DRUG=1-IMAX*CP**GAM/(IC50**GAM+CP**GAM)
DADT(2)=KIN*DRUG*EXP(BETA*T) - KOUT*A(2)

CP2 = CP

CA = A(2)

But, when I look at the individual prediction, I don't understand why the 
concentration CP I used to compute inhibition was nonzero in the first record, 
i.e. CP2, it's different from what is in the dataset.  As a result of nonzero 
concentration, my second data point, still at
zero concentration, was a way off (see CA at TIME = 192.17).

ID

TIME

EVID

AMT

CMT

CA

CP

CP2

KIN

MRT

KOUT

IC50

IMAX

GAM

DRUG

BETA

DV

1

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

2.0000

177.220000

0.0000

0.8556

109.1200

0.2211

0.1306

0.1120

1.0000

1.0000

0.1470

0.0000

88.0000

1

192.1700

1.0000

0.5215

1.0000

838.270000

0.0000

0.0000

109.1200

0.2211

0.1306

0.1120

1.0000

1.0000

1.0000

0.0000

0.0000

1

720.1700

1.0000

0.4448

1.0000

145.570000

0.5392

0.5392

109.1200

0.2211

0.1306

0.1120

1.0000

1.0000

0.1719

0.0000

0.0000


Can anybody point out if there is a problem in my dataset or script or an issue 
with NONMEM?  If latter, would the workaround by forcing  DRUG = 1 at TIME  = 0 
work?  Many thanks.

Yen Lin



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