Dear fellow NONMEM users,

We recently observed that a standard PK model using ADVAN7 with FOCEI became 
numerically unstable after we switched from NM 7.3 to NM 7.5. In particular, we 
saw that the run showed a drastically increased runtime, did not converge 
anymore and ultimately aborted due to rounding errors. When setting the initial 
parameter estimates directly equal to the optimum identified previously in NM 
7.3, the run would, instead of quickly converging, slightly move away from its 
starting point and then show the same problems. Adding $ABBRV PROTECT did not 
change this. Interestingly, when setting MAXEVAL=0, we observed significantly 
different initial OFVs between NM 7.3 and NM 7.5, differing by approximately 
100 units.

For comparison, we repeated the runs using ADVAN5 instead of ADVAN7. Then, both 
NONMEM versions quickly converged to the exact same optimum previously 
identified using ADVAN7 in NM 7.3, showing the exact same final OFV. The same 
success occurred when we rewrote the model using ADVAN6 instead, however NM 7.5 
ran significantly longer than NM 7.3 (~45'000s vs. ~2'000s).

Taken together, ADVAN7 seems to show different results in NM 7.5 (even with 
MAXEVAL=0 before the first iteration the OFV is different), and ADVAN6 is much 
slower compared to NM 7.3 We would greatly appreciate any insights or ideas for 
further exploration you may have on this matter.

In a recent message[1], Robert Bauer mentioned that the gfortran version used 
to install NONMEM can have an influence on the performance of classical 
estimation methods. In particular, gfortran 14 seems to use faulty optimisation 
techniques which apparently can cause rounding errors in NM 7.5.1. We were, 
thus, wondering if anybody knows whether gfortran 9.4.0, which we use, could 
cause similar problems?

Thank you very much for your help and best regards,
Matthias M. Fischer

[1] https://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/msg08937.html



Freundliche Grüße / Best regards

Dr. Matthias M. Fischer
Pharmacometrics Expert

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