----- Forwarded message from David Farber <[email protected]> -----

Date: Tue, 26 Oct 2010 07:52:41 -0400
From: David Farber <[email protected]>
Subject: [IP] Seymour Hersh: The Online Threat -- Should we be worried about
        a cyber war?
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Begin forwarded message:

From: Dewayne Hendricks <[email protected]>
Date: October 25, 2010 1:42:30 PM EDT
To: Multiple recipients of Dewayne-Net <[email protected]>
Subject: [Dewayne-Net] Seymour Hersh: The Online Threat -- Should we be worried 
about a cyber war?
Reply-To: [email protected]

[Note:  This item comes from friend John McMullen.  DLH]

From: "John F. McMullen" <[email protected]>
Date: October 25, 2010 9:15:50 AM PDT
To: "John F. McMullen" <[email protected]>
Cc: Dewayne Hendricks <[email protected]>, Commonweal Mailing List 
<[email protected]>, Dave Farber <[email protected]>
Subject: Seymour Hersh: The Online Threat -- Should we be worried about a cyber 
war?

>From the New Yorker -- 
><http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/11/01/101101fa_fact_hersh?currentPage=all>

The Online Threat
Should we be worried about a cyber war?
by Seymour M. Hersh 
November 1, 2010

Some experts say that the real danger lies in confusing cyber espionage with 
cyber war.

On April 1, 2001, an American EP-3E Aries II reconnaissance plane on an 
eavesdropping mission collided with a Chinese interceptor jet over the South 
China Sea, triggering the first international crisis of George W. Bush?s 
Administration. The Chinese jet crashed, and its pilot was killed, but the 
pilot of the American aircraft, Navy Lieutenant Shane Osborn, managed to make 
an emergency landing at a Chinese F-8 fighter base on Hainan Island, fifteen 
miles from the mainland. Osborn later published a memoir, in which he described 
the ?incessant jackhammer vibration? as the plane fell eight thousand feet in 
thirty seconds, before he regained control.

The plane carried twenty-four officers and enlisted men and women attached to 
the Naval Security Group Command, a field component of the National Security 
Agency. They were repatriated after eleven days; the plane stayed behind. The 
Pentagon told the press that the crew had followed its protocol, which called 
for the use of a fire axe, and even hot coffee, to disable the plane?s 
equipment and software. These included an operating system created and 
controlled by the N.S.A., and the drivers needed to monitor encrypted Chinese 
radar, voice, and electronic communications. It was more than two years before 
the Navy acknowledged that things had not gone so well. ?Compromise by the 
People?s Republic of China of undestroyed classified material . . . is highly 
probable and cannot be ruled out,? a Navy report issued in September, 2003, 
said.

The loss was even more devastating than the 2003 report suggested, and its 
dimensions have still not been fully revealed. Retired Rear Admiral Eric 
McVadon, who flew patrols off the coast of Russia and served as a defense 
attach? in Beijing, told me that the radio reports from the aircraft indicated 
that essential electronic gear had been dealt with. He said that the crew of 
the EP-3E managed to erase the hard drive??zeroed it out??but did not destroy 
the hardware, which left data retrievable: ?No one took a hammer.? Worse, the 
electronics had recently been upgraded. ?Some might think it would not turn out 
as badly as it did, but I sat in some meetings about the intelligence cost,? 
McVadon said. ?It was grim.?

The Navy?s experts didn?t believe that China was capable of reverse-engineering 
the plane?s N.S.A.-supplied operating system, estimated at between thirty and 
fifty million lines of computer code, according to a former senior intelligence 
official. Mastering it would give China a road map for decrypting the Navy?s 
classified intelligence and operational data. ?If the operating system was 
controlling what you?d expect on an intelligence aircraft, it would have a 
bunch of drivers to capture radar and telemetry,? Whitfield Diffie, a pioneer 
in the field of encryption, said. ?The plane was configured for what it wants 
to snoop, and the Chinese would want to know what we wanted to know about 
them?what we could intercept and they could not.? And over the next few years 
the U.S. intelligence community began to ?read the tells? that China had access 
to sensitive traffic.

The U.S. realized the extent of its exposure only in late 2008. A few weeks 
after Barack Obama?s election, the Chinese began flooding a group of 
communications links known to be monitored by the N.S.A. with a barrage of 
intercepts, two Bush Administration national-security officials and the former 
senior intelligence official told me. The intercepts included details of 
planned American naval movements. The Chinese were apparently showing the U.S. 
their hand. (?The N.S.A. would ask, ?Can the Chinese be that good?? ? the 
former official told me. ?My response was that they only invented gunpowder in 
the tenth century and built the bomb in 1965. I?d say, ?Can you read Chinese?? 
We don?t even know the Chinese pictograph for ?Happy hour.? ?)

Why would the Chinese reveal that they had access to American communications? 
One of the Bush national-security officials told me that some of the aides then 
working for Vice-President Dick Cheney believed?or wanted to believe?that the 
barrage was meant as a welcome to President Obama. It is also possible that the 
Chinese simply made a mistake, given the difficulty of operating surgically in 
the cyber world.

Admiral Timothy J. Keating, who was then the head of the Pacific Command, 
convened a series of frantic meetings in Hawaii, according to a former C.I.A. 
official. In early 2009, Keating brought the issue to the new Obama 
Administration. If China had reverse-engineered the EP-3E?s operating system, 
all such systems in the Navy would have to be replaced, at a cost of hundreds 
of millions of dollars. After much discussion, several current and former 
officials said, this was done. (The Navy did not respond to a request for 
comment on the incident.)

Admiral McVadon said that the loss prompted some black humor, with one Navy 
program officer quoted as saying, ?This is one hell of a way to go about 
getting a new operating system.?

The EP-3E debacle fuelled a longstanding debate within the military and in the 
Obama Administration. Many military leaders view the Chinese penetration as a 
warning about present and future vulnerabilities?about the possibility that 
China, or some other nation, could use its expanding cyber skills to attack 
America?s civilian infrastructure and military complex. On the other side are 
those who argue for a civilian response to the threat, focussed on a wider use 
of encryption. They fear that an overreliance on the military will have adverse 
consequences for privacy and civil liberties.

In May, after years of planning, the U.S. Cyber Command was officially 
activated, and took operational control of disparate cyber-security and attack 
units that had been scattered among the four military services. Its commander, 
Army General Keith Alexander, a career intelligence officer, has made it clear 
that he wants more access to e-mail, social networks, and the Internet to 
protect America and fight in what he sees as a new warfare domain?cyberspace. 
In the next few months, President Obama, who has publicly pledged that his 
Administration will protect openness and privacy on the Internet, will have to 
make choices that will have enormous consequences for the future of an 
ever-growing maze of new communication techniques: Will America?s networks be 
entrusted to civilians or to the military? Will cyber security be treated as a 
kind of war?

Even as the full story of China?s EP-3E coup remained hidden, ?cyber war? was 
emerging as one of the nation?s most widely publicized national-security 
concerns. Early this year, Richard Clarke, a former White House 
national-security aide who warned about the threat from Al Qaeda before the 
September 11th attacks, published ?Cyber War,? an edgy account of America?s 
vulnerability to  hackers, both state-sponsored and individual, especially from 
China. ?Since the late 1990s, China has systematically done all the things a 
nation would do if it contemplated having an offensive cyber war capability,? 
Clarke wrote. He forecast a world in which China might unleash havoc:

[snip]

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