rusackas opened a new pull request, #40141:
URL: https://github.com/apache/superset/pull/40141

   ### SUMMARY
   
   This is a **test-only PR** opened as a TDD-style validation of issue #21734.
   
   #21734 (filed 2022-10) reports that Prophet forecast uncertainty intervals 
are clipped at zero, hiding the natural shape of the lower bound for series 
like temperatures or signed deltas.
   
   The Superset wrapper (\`superset/utils/pandas_postprocessing/prophet.py\`) 
does not contain any clamp — it passes Prophet's output through unchanged. This 
PR pins that contract end-to-end:
   
   1. 
**\`test_prophet_uncertainty_lower_bound_can_be_negative_for_negative_series\`**
 — runs Prophet against a 24-month signed-temperature series and asserts at 
least one forecast point's \`__yhat_lower\` is negative.
   2. **\`test_prophet_does_not_clamp_yhat_below_zero_for_negative_actuals\`** 
— companion that pins the central forecast (\`__yhat\`); a clamp at zero on the 
central value would force the lower bound non-negative as a side effect, 
masking the wider issue.
   
   Both tests skip when \`prophet\` is not installed, matching the existing 
pattern in this file.
   
   ### How to interpret CI
   
   - **CI green** → Superset doesn't clamp — the bug as described isn't in our 
code. Merging closes #21734 and locks in the regression guard so a future 
refactor can't reintroduce a clamp.
   - **CI red** → either (a) a clamp was added somewhere (real Superset bug to 
fix), or (b) Prophet's behavior on signed series doesn't naturally produce 
negative bounds, in which case the issue should be redirected to upstream.
   
   ### TESTING INSTRUCTIONS
   
   \`\`\`bash
   pytest 
tests/unit_tests/pandas_postprocessing/test_prophet.py::test_prophet_uncertainty_lower_bound_can_be_negative_for_negative_series
 -v
   pytest 
tests/unit_tests/pandas_postprocessing/test_prophet.py::test_prophet_does_not_clamp_yhat_below_zero_for_negative_actuals
 -v
   \`\`\`
   
   ### ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
   
   - [ ] Has associated issue: closes #21734
   - [ ] Required feature flags:
   - [ ] Changes UI
   - [ ] Includes DB Migration
   - [ ] Introduces new feature or API
   - [ ] Removes existing feature or API
   
   🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)


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