A couple of thoughts: A 10 man team will be replaced with a 1 man team. And that 1 person will probably be 18 making $15/hour. Isn't that what has been happening for 30+ years? We used to have lots of people assembling PCs, help desk staff going out to add peripherals, or swap a NIC or whatever. None of that happens anymore.
You used to have one engineer to manage just a dozen servers, or a directory with a few hundred objects. Now engineers can manage far more. Yet, at the same time, continued increases in computing power, storage and network bandwidth (at falling unit cost) have enabled business, government and other organisations to continue to find new and innovative ways to harness that underlying infrastructure to produce new products, new services, new ways of doing research and so on. All you are seeing is the continued disappearance of the low value work at the bottom of the food chain. IT, like *every other facet of business* will see vendors look to commoditise low value, repeatable, well understood problem domains. But that doesn't mean IT will disappear, or that the jobs will. They'll migrate to other areas, as people and organisations find new ways to use their IT to do things that actually make money. Basic infrastructure services are commoditised. Basic utility services are commoditised. Basic programming is commoditised. Yet every other day you see new hardware on the market, new software on the market, new business models on the market and so on. Someone's got to come up with all of this, and someone's got to make it happen. As for my personal experience, the bank I work on has more servers, and more reliance on IT than ever before. That doesn't mean we want to keep a fleet of desktop support people hovering around the place. We need more people who can architect the next great thing in wealth management or institutional banking, so that we can make money. And people to ensure that it goes in in a supportable, maintainable way. I can picture this on CNN "15,000 companies got hacked today when Amazon's cloud service got compromised. An estimated 250,000,000 US citizens effected.' And this isn't happening today? Amazon might provide a single point-of-failure. But they're probably harder to crack than lots of smaller orgs today. And think about the threat landscape in 5 or 10 years from now - it's going to be even more brutal, and many "do it yourself" shops - even medium and large size organisations are unprepared today, let alone for what's coming down the track. Stories like this abound: http://www.thesecurityblogger.com/?p=1903 Most large orgs I've worked at are operationally immature - documentation and processes, approvals etc. don't exist. The technical staff there think they're pretty good, because they can get things done "quicker and faster" than an outsourcer can. But typically this is at the expense of proper governance, auditability and accountability. It's a landscape ripe for exploit. Typically MSPs at least claim to institute more operationally mature processes. Cheers Ken From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Jon D Sent: Friday, 15 November 2013 5:42 AM To: [email protected] Subject: Re: [NTSysADM] Bye Citrix Yeah, I agree with what everyone here is saying. My guess is we're 1 major hack away from the cloud going up in dust. I can picture this on CNN "15,000 companies got hacked today when Amazon's cloud service got compromised. An estimated 250,000,000 US citizens effected.' On Thu, Nov 14, 2013 at 1:13 PM, Heaton, Joseph@Wildlife <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: Everything comes in waves. Contraction and expansion, centralizing, decentralizing, cloud, on-prem. Plus, there are tons of organizations that are so far behind the curve that there will be plenty of stuff to do out there, anyway. Joe Heaton Enterprise Server Support CA Department of Fish and Wildlife 1807 13th Street, Suite 201 Sacramento, CA 95811 Desk: (916) 323-1284<tel:%28916%29%20323-1284> From: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> [mailto:[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>] On Behalf Of Jon D Sent: Thursday, November 14, 2013 4:54 AM To: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> Subject: Re: [NTSysADM] Bye Citrix Makes me second guess bothering with getting a masters degree in IT, or more certifications. Sounds like IT might not be around very much in 10 years. If the users Desktop is in the cloud, and their data is in the cloud, what's left to do? You're not going to have a few servers on-site and a few in the cloud, it will be all or nothing. At least in 10 years, not right away. A 10 man team will be replaced with a 1 man team. And that 1 person will probably be 18 making $15/hour. So.... Maybe we can all change to computer programming? . On Thu, Nov 14, 2013 at 5:11 AM, Manuel Santos <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: This reminds me of a music from REM - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0GFRcFm-aY and I don't feel fine with it... 2013/11/14 J- P <[email protected]<mailto:[email protected]>> And who will answer the telephone when user-x has an issue? and more importantly- who else will have access to the VPC- NSA/CIA/DHS? still not sold- 50 per months x 36 = 1800- i can get a nice optiplex or hp with office for less just my .02 Jean-Paul Natola ________________________________ From: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> To: [email protected]<mailto:[email protected]> Subject: [NTSysADM] Bye Citrix Date: Wed, 13 Nov 2013 20:18:12 -0800 Just released today! http://aws.typepad.com/aws/2013/11/amazon-workspaces-desktop-computing-in-the-cloud.html
