On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 11:16 AM, John Blackburn <[email protected]
> wrote:

> Thanks very much, Matthew. You indeed have made good progress! Do you
> think the model is currently attempting to infer future tilt from past
> temperature?
>
> >> "and the model params it returned did not include any correlation
> between Tilt_06 and any temperature inputs"
> Do you mean the HTM swarming did not discover any correlation between tilt
> and previous temperature? If so that is a problem...
>

Quoting Subutai:

"Note that if temperature(t) is completely correlated with tilt(t), adding
temperature(t) will not help, because the information is already available
in tilt(t)."

I think this may be the case.


>
> >> "but the model is not getting trained enough" This seems to be what we
> observed as well. The HTM seemed to be constantly surprised by the new data
> and anomaly score did not go down. If we switched off learning, the
> predictions almost immediately became very poor meaning (I think) the model
> was constantly having to learn each new sequence as it came along and was
> not generalising the data. It never seemed to gain a real understanding
> however long it was trained for.
>

I believe we I just need to do some more experiments with swarming and
using different model parameters. If the params are wrong, the training
won't help learning. More experimentation is needed.

---------
Matt Taylor
OS Community Flag-Bearer
Numenta

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