Gus and all, For predicting local movements I would recommend referring to a more local scale radar. Your link shower strong movement last night to our south, which is indeed an indicator of birds on the ground the next morning here, but it is not the only one. Checking the below link this morning, I could see a small line of showers crawling by central New Jersey and a bird-sign shadow to it’s north. Cape May Bird Observatory posted on Facebook last night of possible fallout conditions in that area.
http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/radar/ I usually keep all the setting except “Loop Duration” which I usually set to 6 or 8 hours to see the whole night. Then click a station: OKX is on Long Island, DIX is by Philadelphia. Both can be helpful to predict activity near NYC, since these stations are more “accurate” within a shorter radius, where the radar beam is bouncing off airborn objects closer to the ground. Activity over the New York bight just before dawn is a good sign for new arrivals; activity over the Long Island Sound only is a good sign for net departures, which is closer to what was visible this AM. Wind was also northerly (but pretty light, not necessarily inhibitive). I visited Crocheron Park in Bayside yesterday evening and this morning and there was no noticeable turnover whatsoever. An Olive-sided Flycatcher was there, perching up near the west end of the pond, yesterday only. Best, Brendan Fogarty On Wed, May 8, 2019 at 6:39 AM Gus Keri <gusk...@zoho.com> wrote: > I believe the best indicator of new birds landing in NYC is the radar > activities above the city in the early morning hours, before sunrise. Radar > activities in the evening hours, before midnight, indicate birds leaving > the city. > There are activities this early morning which suggest new birds in the > city. > Check the time between 1 and 4 am on this page: > > https://www.pauljhurtado.com/US_Composite_Radar/2019-5-7/ > > > -- > > NYSbirds-L List Info: > http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NYSbirdsWELCOME.htm > http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NYSbirdsRULES.htm > http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NYSbirdsSubscribeConfigurationLeave.htm > > ARCHIVES: > 1) http://email@example.com/maillist.html > 2) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NYSBirds-L > 3) http://birding.aba.org/maillist/NY01 > > Please submit your observations to eBird: > http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ > > -- > -- NYSbirds-L List Info: http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NYSbirdsWELCOME.htm http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NYSbirdsRULES.htm http://www.NortheastBirding.com/NYSbirdsSubscribeConfigurationLeave.htm ARCHIVES: 1) http://firstname.lastname@example.org/maillist.html 2) http://www.surfbirds.com/birdingmail/Group/NYSBirds-L 3) http://birding.aba.org/maillist/NY01 Please submit your observations to eBird: http://ebird.org/content/ebird/ --