Although Block Island lies just outside of the boundaries of New York State, we 
hope that our long-term studies of its winter season bird populations might be 
of interest to birders interested in migration on adjacent Long Island, as well 
as other parts of New York. Beginning in 1996, a group of birders began 
bracketing the venerable Block Island CBC with counts in November, around 
Veterans Day, and in February, around Presidents Day. A major goal of the VDC 
has been to test our perception that, for many migratory species, abundance 
reaches low levels in November, only to increase abruptly in December, 
following the onset of inhospitable conditions to the north. Similarly, a goal 
of the PDC has been to assess the late-winter survival of the many half-hardy 
birds recorded each year on the CBC. We chose Block Island because, as a small 
island, it lacks resident populations of many species that are common on the 
mainland, making it easier to detect inputs and outputs via directed movements 
and mortality, but the same methodology can be applied easily anywhere in the 
region: replicating all or part of one's CBC effort in November and February is 
likely to be very informative.

Nine observers conducted the 27th annual Block Island Veterans Day Count (VDC) 
on 14 November 2022. The weather was clear, with brisk northwesterly winds and 
moderate temperatures (38-46 F).
        These conditions suggested a potential for the overnight arrival of 
nocturnal migrants, but two observers present at the North End at first light 
noted just a few small flocks of American Robins and Red-winged Blackbirds 
struggling to leave the island. Both of these species (and many others; see 
Table 3) were recorded in unusually low numbers this year, and the addition of 
80 Robins and 40 Red-wings in morning flight mitigated what would otherwise 
have been exceptionally low totals. It often seems that either waterbirds or 
landbirds, but not both, will show poorly on a given day, but on this day, low 
counts were the rule across most of the checklist. Table 3 shows all species 
with totals less than two-thirds their long-term averages. Notably, the 
unusually low counts of waterfowl and shorebirds tended to involve species 
whose abundance has been trending upward over the 27-year history of the count, 
whereas many of the other low counts involved species that have been trending 
downward for many years. Among the species with significantly lower than 
average totals were no fewer than 16 that average more than 100 individuals per 
year. Unsurprisingly, this year’s count of total birds was the lowest ever, at 
4,118.
        Interestingly, the thicket-inhabiting species whose facultative 
early-winter movements have been a major focus of the Block Island winter 
counts, were found at low abundance this year. The effort-adjusted metric of 
landbirds per party-mile on foot was just 54.4 and would have fallen below the 
27-year minimum of 54.1 had it not been for those small flocks of migrating 
Robins and Red-wings. Within the thickets, both species of kinglets, Gray 
Catbird, White-throated and Song Sparrows, and many others were counted in low 
numbers. In many past years we have observed dramatic increases in December 
among these species, indicative of post-migratory dispersal, probably in 
response to environmental variables such as snow, freezing, and depletion of 
food resources.
        This year’s worst miss was Cedar Waxwing, which has been missed only 
once before on the VDC. It was disappointing to miss species such as American 
Pipit, Snow Bunting, Pine Siskin, and Tree Swallow. All of these are erratic on 
the VDC but are often numerous when they are present at all. Their absence 
across the board contributed to the overall paucity of birds (Table 2). Even 
so, the overall species total was 95, which is a very typical number for the 
extremely volatile VDC, which unpredictably exceeds 110 or even 120 in 
favorable years.
        Several unusual species were recorded, but nothing at all surprising, 
apart from a distantly seen swallow that was suspected but not confirmed as a 
Cave Swallow. Otherwise, two second-ever VDC records involved rapidly 
increasing species, Bald Eagle and Common Raven. An off-the-charts tally of 14 
Northern Saw-whet Owls came via Scott Comings’ banding work and is not as 
surprising as it looks in comparison to our usually hit or miss effort. The 
most surprising birds of the day were probably two Northern Parulas foraging 
together near Old Harbor (Table 3).
        High counts, more than 1.5 times a species’ average, mostly involved 
species of low to moderate abundance that have been increasing over time (Table 
4). One exception was Ruddy Duck, which has averaged 156 birds per year, but 
which came in at an astonishing 640 this year. Four Orange-crowned Warblers 
would have been a surprise 20 years ago but not anymore.

I'm not sure of the attached Word file will reach the listserv, so I've pasted 
in the tables below to at least show the sets of species mentioned in the 
summary above. The formatted summary document and excel spreadsheet are 
available on request.

Table 1. Low Counts (less than two-thirds long-term average)

Species count   avg     max     min     yrs     dev1    trend1
Surf Scoter     1       280     3401    1       27      0.004   3.29
Black Scoter    8       1820    16504   .       26      0.004   32.44
Common Eider    7       538     2112    .       26      0.01    1.87
White-winged Scoter     15      352     4057    4       27      0.04    10.46
Northern Gannet 15      192     1420    2       27      0.08    2.00
Gadwall 1       11      64      .       20      0.09    5.69
American Wigeon 2       17      84      .       22      0.12    4.77
Golden-cr. Kinglet      3       22      101     2       27      0.14    0.33
Slate-colored Junco     18      113     530     5       27      0.16    0.53
Sharp-shinned Hawk      1       6       15      .       26      0.16    0.62
Red-throated Loon       5       28      292     .       26      0.18    0.37
Great Cormorant 11      59      175     7       27      0.19    1.33
Common Loon     16      73      350     9       27      0.22    0.61
Northern Flicker        12      49      125     5       27      0.25    0.43
Savannah Sparrow        2       7       29      .       25      0.28    0.57
Herring Gull    271     964     2863    267     27      0.28    1.39
Field Sparrow   1       3       12      .       23      0.30    0.53
Northern Mockingbird    5       16      45      .       26      0.31    0.37
Dunlin  2       6       16      .       26      0.34    2.10
Myrtle Warbler  126     346     1431    23      27      0.36    0.26
Red-br. Merganser       94      246     895     35      27      0.38    0.33
Swamp Sparrow   9       22      82      2       27      0.40    0.51
American Crow   93      222     500     66      27      0.42    0.80
Black-bellied Plover    16      37      99      6       27      0.43    1.86
Laughing Gull   6       14      72      1       27      0.44    1.25
House Sparrow   44      100     303     10      27      0.44    1.52
Blue Jay        13      30      58      5       27      0.44    0.83
Gray Catbird    10      23      70      2       27      0.44    0.78
Great Blue Heron        4       9       67      .       26      0.44    0.44
Ruby-cr. Kinglet        5       11      47      1       27      0.45    0.93
Merlin  1       2       6       .       24      0.47    0.84
Green-winged Teal       5       11      67      .       24      0.47    1.30
Ring-neck Pheasant      11      23      60      4       27      0.48    0.52
Great Black-back Gull   301     604     2500    192     27      0.50    0.66
Greater Yellowlegs      3       6       37      .       24      0.50    0.50
American Black Duck     27      54      114     8       27      0.50    0.99
American Robin  193     381     1188    39      27      0.51    0.48
Palm Warbler    3       6       32      .       23      0.54    0.28
European Starling       358     637     1367    108     27      0.56    0.72
Song Sparrow    160     274     434     50      27      0.58    0.89
Red-winged Blackbird    90      83      644     1       27      0.60    0.24
White-thr. Sparrow      136     211     577     43      27      0.65    0.49

Table 2. Worst Misses (species recorded on 10 or more VDCs).

Species yrs     avg     max
Cedar Waxwing   26      69      221
Pied-billed Grebe       23      2       8
Belted Kingfisher       21      2       7
Brown-headed Cowbird    21      13      73
White-crowned Sparrow   20      3       21
American Pipit  19      11      77
Common Yellowthroat     19      1       8
Chipping Sparrow        17      5       47
Snow Bunting    17      31      511
Common Grackle  17      9       140
Brown Creeper   16      1       6
Wilson's Snipe  14      1       5
Eastern Phoebe  14      1       6
Ipswich Sparrow 13      1       8
Eastern Meadowlark      13      3       23
Pine Siskin     13      28      186
Brant   12      1       4
Common Goldeneye        12      1       4
Pine Warbler    12      2       25
Horned Grebe    11      2       22
Bonaparte's Gull        11      3       31
Hairy Woodpecker        11      1       11
Lesser Scaup    10      1       10
Red-necked Grebe        10      1       3
American Woodcock       10      1       8
Yellow-bellied Sapsucker        10      1       4
Blue-headed Vireo       10      0       2
Tree Swallow    10      11      189
Blackpoll Warbler       10      1       5
Yellow-breasted Chat    10      0       2
American Tree Sparrow   10      2       13

Table 3. Unusual Species (recorded on fewer than ten VDCs)

Species count   yrs     max     comments
Greater Scaup   3       9       8       
Bald Eagle      1       2       1       
Red-tailed Hawk 1       6       2       
American Kestrel        1       8       2       
Northern Saw-whet Owl   14      6       14      banded
Common Raven    4       2       4       
Swallow sp.     1       2       1       probably Cave
Northern Parula 2       3       2       
Lincoln's Sparrow       1       7       2       

Table 4. High Counts (more than 1.5 times long-term average)

Species count   avg     max     min     yrs     dev1    trend2
Ruddy Duck      640     156     640     17      27      4.10    1.22
Rock Pigeon     35      12      40      .       19      3.03    5.93
Marsh Wren      2       1       2       .       13      2.84    0.55
Orange-crowned Warbler  4       1       6       .       19      2.84    1.43
Great Egret     10      4       11      .       20      2.81    3.30
White-breasted Nuthatch 5       2       8       .       16      2.65    2.54
Black-crowned Night Heron       3       1       13      .       10      2.45    
1.00
Ring-necked Duck        78      34      78      .       25      2.32    1.85
Peregrine Falcon        2       1       4       .       14      2.25    2.67
American Coot   26      13      89      .       25      2.06    1.53
Virginia Rail   5       3       7       .       21      1.85    1.34
Sanderling      61      34      93      3       27      1.80    1.65
Red-bellied Woodpecker  7       4       27      .       24      1.56    2.93

1 dev measures the deviation of this year’s count from expectation and is 
calculated by dividing each species’ count by its long-term average on the VDC.
2 trend measures change in abundance over the 27-year history of the VDC and is 
calculated by dividing each species’ average count over the past 13 years 
(2009-2021) by its average over the prior 13 years (1996-2008).

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