China says stimulus plan important for world
Monday November 10, 7:22 am ET

By Joe Mcdonald, AP Business Writer


China's premier says stimulus package `biggest contribution' to world; Asian 
stocks rise
BEIJING (AP) -- China's massive stimulus
package is meant to help support global growth by boosting Chinese
investment and consumer spending, Premier Wen Jiabao said Monday."We
must implement the measures to ensure a fast and stable economic
development," Wen, the country's top economic official, said at a
meeting of government leaders, according to a report read out on the
state television evening news. "They are not only the needs of the
development of ourselves, but also our biggest contribution to the
world."ADVERTISEMENT

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Stock
markets in Japan, Hong Kong and mainland China soared after Sunday's
announcement of the 4 trillion yuan, or $586 billion, package as
Beijing joined moves by governments around the world to cushion the
blow of the global slowdown. The plan calls for higher spending on
roads, airports and other infrastructure, tax deductions for exporters
and more aid to the poor and farmers. Spending on health and education
will increase, as well as on environmental protection and high
technology.Wen said China must increase investment and consumer
spending, maintain export growth, enhance corporate competitiveness,
reform financial industries and improve the health development of the
real estate industry, according to the state television report. It gave
no other details.China's announcement came as economic officials
from the Group of 20 leading economies, which includes major wealthy
and developing nations, called Sunday for increased government spending
to boost the troubled global economy. At a meeting in Brazil, G20
finance ministers and central bank governors also said emerging
economies deserve a prominent role in talks to overhaul the world
financial system.China's move follows an unexpectedly sharp downturn in 
economic growth that has raised the prospect of job losses and unrest.Exporters
say orders have fallen sharply, leading to an increase in factory
closures and layoffs. Chinese economic growth fell to 9 percent in the
latest quarter, its lowest level in five years, and analysts expect
export growth to fall as low as zero in coming months as global demand
weakens.The plan represents another drastic step away from
lending curbs and other anti-inflation measures that Beijing imposed
over the past three years but has been rolling back since mid-2008 as
government alarm about slowing economic growth mounts.Economists
noted that the plan depends on corporate investment and promises bank
lending for rural projects, smaller companies and consumers."I
don't believe a fiscal stimulus alone is enough to keep growth going. I
see it as the jump-starting of a car. Corporate investment and bank
lending are the fuel that will be necessary to keep it going," said UBS
Securities economist Tao Wang.Beijing might supply one-quarter
of the announced spending, or 1 trillion yuan ($145 billion), with the
rest coming from increased investment by Chinese state companies, bank
lending or bond sales by local authorities for individual projects,
said Ting Lu, a Merrill Lynch economist."Many state companies have a lot of 
cash. They just need to use it," Lu said.News
of the plan sparked rallies on many Asian markets, with the Shanghai
Composite index -- which has plunged by two-thirds since it peaked last
October -- jumping 7.3 percent to 1,874.80. Japan's Nikkei 225 index
surged 5.8 percent to 9,081.43.It also lifted sagging oil prices
on hopes that it would stimulate energy demand. Oil rose $2.69 to
$63.70 a barrel in Asian trading on the New York Mercantile exchange.Also
Monday, the government said China's wholesale inflation eased in
October, which gives authorities more leeway to stimulate the economy
without the threat that they might ignite new price rises. Producer
prices rose 6.6 percent in October from the year-earlier period, down
from August's 12-year high of 10.1 percent.Alarmed at falling
growth, the government switched its official goal in mid-2008 from a
single focus on fighting inflation to a dual target of ensuring fast
economic expansion while also containing price rises. It has cut
interest rates three times in recent weeks and lifted limits on how
much each Chinese bank can lend.The government's announcement
appears to exaggerate the size of its plan by including projects
already under way, including reconstruction from the devastating May
earthquake in China's southwest, said Sherman Chan, an economist for
Moody's Economy.com."The exaggeration highlights the
government's desperation to revive sentiment, which is perhaps the key
factor to sustaining growth amid global turmoil," Chan said in a report.The
promise of more social spending represents an expansion of efforts in
recent years to spread China's new prosperity to the countryside and
urban poor -- an effort that some dubbed China's "New Deal" after
programs launched by U.S. President Franklin D. Roosevelt during the
Great Depression of the 1930s."Higher social welfare spending
and rural reforms will help boost consumption," said a report by Jing
Ulrich, JP Morgan & Co.'s chairwoman for China equities.


      

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