Indonesia Inflation Seen Falling to Five-Month Low: Week Ahead
 
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By Arijit Ghosh and Michael Munoz

Dec. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia's inflation rate probably fell to a
five-month low in November as fuel and food prices declined, the Central
Statistics Bureau may say today.

Consumer prices increased 11.6 percent from a year earlier, after gaining
11.8 percent in October, according to the median
forecast<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=IDCPIY%3AIND>of 18
economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The statistics agency will
announce the data after midday today.

Indonesia cut gasoline prices today by 8.3 percent after crude oil plunged
63 percent from a record in July. Declining palm oil and soybean prices have
also helped inflation in Asian economies. The central bank will meet on Dec.
4 to decide on its policy rate.

"Falling oil prices allowed the government to reduce fuel prices for
industry, which helps ease pressure on production costs," said Alexander
Sugandi<http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Alexander+Sugandi&site=wnews&client=wnews&proxystylesheet=wnews&output=xml_no_dtd&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&filter=p&getfields=wnnis&sort=date:D:S:d1>,
an economist at Standard Chartered Plc in Jakarta. "Sufficient stock of
food, particularly rice," also help contain prices.

Gains in consumer prices slowed to 0.2 percent in November from the month
earlier after rising 0.5 percent in October, according to the Bloomberg
survey.

The statistics agency may also say today
export<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=IDEXPY%3AIND>growth
slowed to 16.3 percent in October after a 28.5 percent gain a month
earlier, according to the survey. Imports grew 40 percent, according to the
survey, from 38.5 percent.

Indonesia's key stock
index<http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=JCI%3AIND>rose 8.3
percent last week, the biggest weekly gain in 15 months. PT Bumi
Resources, Asia's No. 1 thermal coal producer, advanced 42 percent last
week, the largest gain in five years.

Shares Pledged

TPG's Indonesian affiliate and PT Bakrie & Brothers, controlled by the
family of Welfare Minister Aburizal
Bakrie<http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Aburizal+Bakrie&site=wnews&client=wnews&proxystylesheet=wnews&output=xml_no_dtd&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&filter=p&getfields=wnnis&sort=date:D:S:d1>,
will form a venture to control Bumi in a deal that will help Bakrie pay debt
raised by pledging shares of Bumi and other units.

Northstar Equity Partners, the Indonesian affiliate of U.S. buyout firm TPG,
will take over $575 million of Bakrie & Brothers's debt as part of the
transaction, Bakrie & Brothers President Director Nalinkant Rathod said on
Nov. 28.

PT Indosat, Indonesia's second-largest phone company, added 16 percent last
week. Qatar Telecom QSC, seeking to control Indosat, agreed to pay its
original offer price for more shares in Indosat. Qatar Telecom will offer
7,388 rupiah a share to boost its Indosat stake, Ahmad Fuad
Rahmany<http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Ahmad+Fuad+Rahmany&site=wnews&client=wnews&proxystylesheet=wnews&output=xml_no_dtd&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&filter=p&getfields=wnnis&sort=date:D:S:d1>,
chairman of the Indonesian regulator, said in an interview on Nov. 28.

The rupiah was unchanged at 12,100 against the dollar last week, after
dropping 4.3 percent a week earlier. The Indonesian central bank banned the
purchase of foreign currencies through so-called structured products to help
curb the rupiah's slump.

"Buying foreign currencies using the rupiah is not allowed in any amount if
the purchase or the potential of that purchase is related to structured
products," Bank Indonesia said. The purchase of foreign currencies is only
allowed for "non- speculative activities."

The following are key events for this week.

Consumer price data release                   Dec. 1
Bank Internasional extraordinary meeting      Dec. 1
PT Indotambang Raya ex-dividend               Dec. 2
Bank Indonesia monetary policy meeting        Dec. 4
PT Indofood Sukses Makmur public expose       Dec. 5
PT Inco Indonesia extraordinary meeting       Dec. 5



To contact the reporters on this story:
Arijit Ghosh in Jakarta at
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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