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On Mon, Feb 23, 2009 at 3:12 PM, Irwan Adi Triwibowo <irwan...@gmail.com>wrote:

>  AYO BUM_BUM masak kalah sama TAM_TAM……............
>
>
>  ------------------------------
>
> *From:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:
> obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com] *On Behalf Of *Joe Grunk
> *Sent:* Monday, February 23, 2009 1:55 PM
> *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com; sa...@yahoogroups.com
> *Subject:* [obrolan-bandar] Fw: ANTM (TP Rp1,275) - CLSA: The gold
> argument
>
>
>
>
>
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>
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>    - CLSA is bullish on gold and upgrading the price assumptions by around
>    25% to 27% over the next two years, with potential for short-term upside
>    surprise.
>
>
>    - Subsequently, we are raising our earnings forecasts for Antam by 90%
>    to 25%.
>
>
>    - Known to be a nickel play, gold contribution to Antam revenue could
>    increase from 10% in 2007 to an expected 30% in 2009 while the contribution
>    to gross profit could jump from 10% to 50% over the same period.
>
>
>    - Impact of higher gold price over the longer run to earnings and cash
>    flows is more subdued though, due to relatively short gold reserves life, 
> as
>    reflected in 25% gold contribution to our total DCF estimate.
>
>
>    - Antam valuations, PE and EV/EBITDA, are not cheap but the counter
>    offer the only gold exposure in town.
>
>
>    - Risks would include stubbornly high ferronickel cost, immediate ban
>    on nickel ore export, and higher than assumed derivative loss.
>
>
>    - Upgrade to Outperform.
>
>
>
> With best regards,
>
>
>
> Ahmad Solihin (Olie)
>
> CLSA Indonesia , Investment Analyst
>
> Phone: +62 21 2554 8834
>
> Mobile: +62 812 807 3656
>
> Fax:     +62 21 574 6920
>
> ahmad.soli...@clsa.com
>
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>
>
> *
> ------------------------------
> *
>
> *CLSA CLEAN & GREEN: Please consider our environment before printing this
> email.*
> The content of this communication is subject to CLSA Legal and Regulatory
> Notices.
> These can be viewed at https://www.clsa.com/disclaimer.html or sent to you
> upon request.
>
>
>
>
>  ------------------------------
>
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