--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Ferry Wachjudi
<ferry.wachj...@...> wrote:
>
> mbah,
> 
> brigadenya masih disiagakan gak??
> Wong....jalan2 & mall diJakarta masih macet dan penuh.
> Ditunggu liputan dari daerah lain, apakah masih seperti Jakarta?


Hi Ferry,

Jangan tertipu dengan "apa2 yang bisa dilihat mata"

------Kalau Anda jual beli Saham IHSG.........artinya anda berhubungan
dengan ekonomi yang tercatat.........di Indonesia terdapat "Grey
Ecomomic" yang lebih besar skalanya dari GDP official yang dikeluarkan
oleh BPS atau BI.

Inilah "sebab" nya meskipun kita  dihajar Krismon
1997/99........Jumlah Mall di Jakarta /daerah terus meningkat dan
bertambah macet dijalanan.------hehehe Ekonom Harvard bisa bingung

Ekonomi tidak resmi Indonesia tidak akan ambruk kena resesi.....karena
ditopang oleh ekonomi tidak terdaftar dan sumber daya
alam/manusia......tetapi kalau  Anda berhubungan dengan saham Bursa
BEI, yang notabene adalah ekonomi official---------maka jangan melawan
TREND.......Dow dan regional indice...pls

Note : Export Indodnesia cuma 30%-----maka tidak ada masalah kate
JK.......tetapi siapa  yang lupa...hayo...bahwa roti atau Indomie,
tempe, tahu, bensin dll dibayar USD......dan bencananya
adalah.....anomali korelasi ekonomi amerika dengan nilai
USD........karena USD dan Yen (ekonomy Jepang juga ambruk) dianggap
sebagai Safe Hafen dan terus mengukat............katenya USD Index
akan ambruk achir 2009/awal 2010.......nah loe......IDR bisa ke mana ?


Salam dari cucu



> 
> cendrawira wrote:
> > Jepang-6,994
> > HK-10,676
> > SG-1,473_
> > CN-1,664_
> > AU-3,201_
> > KR-892_
> > UK-3,665_
> > US-7,226_
> > INDO-1,089
> >
> > http://www.cnbc.com/id/29344999
> >
> > Charts: S&P May Fall to 600 as Bottom Fails
> > Topics:Recession | Economy (U.S.) | Stock Market | Economy (Global)
> > By: CNBC.com | 23 Feb 2009 | 06:14 AM ET
> > Text Size
> >
> > The S&P 500 could slump over 20 percent throughout this year and into
> > the next as the index fails to form a firm base at current levels,
> > Robin Griffiths from Cazenove Capital told CNBC Monday.
> >
> > The S&P, [.SPX  759.3    -10.75  (-1.4%)   ] which closed at 770
> > points Friday, could fall to around 600 points, according to
> > Griffiths, but a timeframe is difficult to predict.
> >
> > "It's going to go there and in terms of where the final low might be,
> > probably not even this year," he said.
> >
> > "It now doesn't look like an ultimate bottom pattern. The only low
> > left below us now is the November low," said Griffiths. "Last week it
> > broke down below some important support levels," he added.
> >
> > If the S&P surpasses the lows of last year it would be "very, very
> > rare" and be more in-keeping with a depression than a recession,
> > Griffiths said.
> >
> > The overall economy is way off its lows, according to Griffiths, and
> > will bottom "somewhere between 2010 and 2012, but not in 2009." 
> >
> >
> >
>


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