Thailand's Baht Slumps Most in 3 Years: World's Biggest Mover 

By Jake Lee and Yumi Teso

Dec. 19 (Bloomberg) -- The Thai baht dropped by the most in three 
years after regulators yesterday required banks to lock up 30 
percent of new foreign currency deposits for a year to curb 
speculation. 

The baht almost doubled a 0.8 percent slide yesterday as central 
bank Governor Tarisa Watanagase said she was ``confident'' the 
measures will reduce inflows. The currency had surged 16 percent 
this year before yesterday, Asia-Pacific's best performer, as 
overseas investors bought the nation's stocks. 

``This could spook the markets and capital may take flight,'' said 
Claudio Piron, head of Asian currency research at JPMorgan Chase 
Bank in Singapore. ``The initial reaction from investors is they're 
fairly negative. The baht could drop further.'' 

The baht lost 1.5 percent, the biggest fluctuation of any currency 
today, to 36.07 against the dollar as of 8:06 a.m. in Bangkok. It 
last fell more on Sept. 14, 2003. It may drop to 36.70 this month, 
said Piron. 

Starting today, overseas investors buying baht will only be able to 
invest 70 percent of what they transfer, and only recoup all of 
their funds if they keep the money in Thailand for more than a year. 
Those who withdraw the reserved amount in less than a year will be 
penalized 33 percent of that 30 percent portion. 

Tax on Trades 

``It's basically as if they're putting a tax on any trades less than 
a year,'' said Magnus Prim, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at 
Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken in Singapore. ``It's going to stop any 
buying pressure and with the stock market likely to be hit, then we 
could see the baht falling some more.'' 

Thailand's SET Index yesterday fell 0.8 percent to close at 730.55, 
before the central bank announcement. The stock market re-opens at 
10 a.m. Overseas investors sold $20 million of Thai stocks Dec. 18, 
a seventh day of net sales. 

Yesterday's measures come after the baht appreciated to the 
strongest in nine years, even though the central bank earlier this 
month introduced steps to limit gains. The monetary authority on 
Dec. 4 asked companies and commercial lenders not to sell baht short-
term debt securities to overseas investors. 

``We will allow some time to evaluate whether this measure 
effectively reduces short-term inflows, and if not we are ready to 
introduce new ones,'' Tarisa said yesterday. 

The world's biggest movers are based on changes in price or yield 
and are screened for the size of the market and amount of daily 
trading. 

To contact the reporter on this story: Jake Lee in Hong Kong at 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] . 



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