Nickel Advances to a Record in London as Inventories Decline 
  By Brett Foley
   
  Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Nickel rose to a record in London, leading other 
metals higher, on mounting speculation that dwindling stockpiles won't meet 
demand. 
  Metal due for delivery from warehouses monitored by the London Metal 
Exchange, known as canceled warrants, more than tripled to 2,118 metric tons 
yesterday, accounting for 85 percent of stockpiles. Inventories tracked by the 
LME are at 3,990 tons, equal to less than one day of global consumption. 
  ``The canceled warrants are a major issue, and if these drawdowns continue we 
could be looking at a case of zero stocks,'' Tariq Salaria, a London-based 
metals analyst at Standard Chartered Plc, said today in a telephone interview. 
  Nickel for delivery in three months on the LME gained $1,850 or 5 percent, to 
$39,350 a ton as of 4:59 p.m. local time, beating the previous record of 
$38,950 recorded on Jan. 26. Nickel, used in stainless steel, has been the best 
performer among the six main metals traded on the LME this year, rising 18 
percent. 
  Prices have jumped more than sixfold in the past five years as supply failed 
to keep up with demand from China, the world's largest producer of stainless 
steel. China's stainless-steel production soared 68 percent in 2006, the Xinhua 
News Agency reported this week on its Web site. 
  The metal may average $35,057 a ton this year, 31 percent more than earlier 
estimated, Gerald Burg, National Australia Bank's minerals and energy 
economist, said today in a report. That would be the highest annual average 
since at least 1986, and compares with an average of $23,223 last year. 
   
  Export Regulations 
  Tin rose to a 17-year high for a second consecutive day on speculation that 
an Indonesian government plan to tighten export regulations and crack down on 
illegal mining may curb production. 
  PT Koba Tin, the country's second-largest tin miner, halted shipments and 
doesn't know when they'll resume after three directors were held by police 
investigating illegal ore purchases, Malaysia Smelting Corp., which owns 75 
percent of Koba, said this week. 
  Tin advanced $400, or 3.2 percent, to $13,100 a ton. Earlier it traded at 
$13,200, the highest in at least 17 years according to Bloomberg data. 
  Lead also gained as Xstrata Plc maintained a ``force majeure'' at its 
Northfleet lead plant in the U.K. because of disruption to supplies from 
Australia. 
  Lead inventories monitored by the LME fell for a third day, by 800 tons, or 
2.3 percent, to 34,200 tons, the exchange said in a daily report. They have 
slumped 49 percent in the past year. 
  Zug, Switzerland-based Xstrata said last week that rail deliveries to Mount 
Isa in Australia had been delayed following a cyclone. Force majeure is a legal 
clause that allows a company to default on a sales contract due to 
circumstances beyond its control. Lead increased $50, or 3 percent, to $1,745 a 
ton. 
  Among other LME-traded metals, copper gained $135, or 2.6 percent, to $5,865 
a ton, the highest since Jan. 25. Zinc increased $110, or 3.3 percent, to 
$3,420 and aluminum slipped $11 to $2,817. 
   
  To contact the reporter on this story: Brett Foley in London at [EMAIL 
PROTECTED] . 
Last Updated: February 15, 2007 12:04 EST 
 
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