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On Wed, Jul 1, 2009 at 4:26 PM, dunia ini indah <pusatdu...@yahoo.com>wrote:

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> Soros predicts "stop-go" economy and higher rates
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> NEW YORK (Reuters) - Billionaire investor George Soros on Tuesday predicted
> a "stop-go" economy for the United States, saying fears of inflation will
> drive up interest rates and choke off growth.
>
> Soros, one of the world's most successful hedge fund managers who was
> speaking at a breakfast hosted by the Wall Street Journal, said borrowing
> costs are the major headwinds for the economy.
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> "As markets revive, fear of inflation will drive up interest rates, which
> will choke off recovery," he said.
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> Rising U.S. Treasury yields have driven mortgage rates back up, threatening
> a recovery in the housing market and a refinancing boom that has helped
> preserve the still-fragile health of recession-weary households and the
> banks that lend to them.
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> The rise in bond yields and mortgage rates may also act to check the huge
> recent rally in global stock markets of the past three months, with the
> Federal Reserve trying to end an 18-month recession and yet not spur
> inflation.
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> Soros went back into retirement earlier this year after leading his
> self-named firm through the 2008 crisis. He made about $1.1 billion last
> year, according to Institutional Investor's Alpha Magazine.
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> SOROS ON 'SUPER BUBBLE'
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> Soros, who made his fortune targeting currencies in tightly controlled
> markets, said international financial markets need global regulation, even
> while being critical of regulators and calling for minimal government
> intervention.
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> "The idea of self-correcting markets is a misconception," he said. What
> governments need to do, he said, is recognize they cannot prevent bubbles
> but instead try to control them from getting bigger.
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> "You cannot prevent bubbles from forming but prevent them from
> self-reinforcement," Soros said.
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> Soros, who has retired from active fund management, acknowledged that
> getting regulation right is not easy as he argued both for and against
> stricter supervision.
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> "The regulators will always be wrong," he said. "They should interfere as
> little as possible."
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> Regulators, he said, typically try to control money supply and then let
> free markets take care of everything else, but that is a fallacy.
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> By the same token, Soros said that efforts by regulators and governments to
> stop bubbles bursting for more than 25 years gave rise to the most recent
> "super bubble."
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> Soros cautioned that the U.S. government may be making some serious
> missteps in dealing with the current credit crunch and recession. Massive
> stimulus spending and bank bailouts have pumped up the U.S. government's own
> balance sheet.
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> He also warned that while the worst of the 2008 crisis is past, investors
> do not appear to have learned their lesson.
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> "People want to pretend the crisis never happened," he said. "They want to
> go back to business as usual."
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