....kayaknye WB lagi ngejar target tahunan neh....hihihihi.....slow down beibeh.......OR YOU'LL BE DOWN.....(halah, apa coba..)
--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Matt Nowo" <inf...@...> wrote: > > Saya rasa, dia hanya ingin agar OB'ers tetap waspada. Agar cuan ditangan > tidak lenyap kembali. > Logika ekonomi dgn berbagai indikator menunjukkan probabilita cukup tinggi > akan terjadi global deflasi. Ini telah disadari, sehingga banyak negara > (barat) melakukan kebijakan couter cyclical. Tinggal dilihat mana efek yg > lebih dominan. Jika kebijakan counter cyclical berdampak, probalita global > deflasi akan menurun. Time will tell. > BTW, sebagai contoh "gagal", pemerintah jepang sudah sejak lama melakukan > kebijakan counter cyclical (a.l. suku bunga rendah, defisit gov spending, > dpresiasi) tetapi nampaknya gagal (atau belum berhasil?). Interaksi dgn rest > of the world, menyebabkan uncertainty. Bagaimana pihak lain bereaksi atas > aksi (strategi) yg dipilih menentukan pay off matrix (hasil) masing2 pihak. > Bottom line: selalu waspada, karena uncertainty selalu ada. > > Sent from my BearBerry® > powered by ISAT & TLKM > > -----Original Message----- > From: swan silo <swan_gro...@...> > > Date: Mon, 20 Jul 2009 08:12:20 > To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> > Subject: Bls: [ob] World Bank: Global Economy Faces Deflation > > > Iya betul.....elaine nakut2in aja tuh........ > > > > > ________________________________ > Dari: "riil_inves...@..." <riil_inves...@...> > Kepada: OB <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> > Terkirim: Senin, 20 Juli, 2009 04:58:09 > Judul: Re: [ob] World Bank: Global Economy Faces Deflation > > > Memang perlu kita mencermati setiap analisis yg ada! Namun kita jangan 100% > percaya!!! > Pengalaman sudah membuktikan bahwa, mereka juga analis, segala sesuatunya msh > dlm koridor prediksi/perkiraan! MEREKA JUGA MANUSIA yg selalu penuh dg > kesalahan! IMF juga telah membuat ekonomi kita hancur, dg $erekomendasikan > penjualan asset? Nyatanya? Kita sangat dirugikan dengan pola/usulan mereka! > Saran saya, tetap kita sebagai bangsa kudu mandiri dan berdiri di kaki > sendiri! > Terakhir. Bank Dunia juga salah memprediksi tingkat pertumbuhan kita? So? > > Mari kita tanya kepada rumput yg bergoyang, apa yg akan terjadi nanti! He he > he > > > Powered by Telkomsel BlackBerry® > ________________________________ > From: Elaine Sui > Date: Sun, 19 Jul 2009 11:19:29 +0700 > To: <obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com> > Subject: Re: [ob] World Bank: Global Economy Faces Deflation > > When I said this, you didn't (want to) believe me, did you.. > > > Elaine > > > World Bank: Global Economy Faces Deflation > > > Friday, July 17, 2009 8:53 AM > > By: Julie Crawshaw A > > > The World Bank has given warning that the global economy will fall into a > "deflationary spiral" unless urgent action is taken to reduce high levels of > excess capacity in industry, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard reported in the UK > Telegraph. > Justin Lin, the bankâs chief economist, said factories running idle around > world threaten to trap economies in a vicious cycle, risking further spasms > of financial stress that require more rescue packages. > "No country can count on currency depreciation and exports as a way out of > recession. Unless we deal with excess capacity, it will wreak havoc on all > countries,â Lin said. > âThere is urgent need for global coordinated fiscal stimulus,â with > investments being focused on infrastructure in poor countries that are > bearing the brunt of the global crisis, he said. > Linâs comments came as the Bank of Japan agreed to extend its quantitative > easing (QE) policies â" mostly the purchase of corporate debt â" and warned > that business investment is "declining sharply.â > Powerful deflationary headwinds already have created deflation in Japan, > leading the International Monetary Fund to say that the Japanese government > and central bank should be ready to provide additional stimulus measures > should global demand fail to improve enough to support a recovery. > âThere are downside risks, particularly if export demand continues to > remain weak and unemployment starts to weaken consumption further,â Jim > Gordon, the IMF mission chief to Japan, told Bloomberg. âThis emphasizes > the importance of monetary policy, fiscal policy and financial sector policy > to remain supportive with additional measuresâ if the outlook deteriorates. > © 2009 Newsmax. All rights reserved. > > On Fri, Jul 17, 2009 at 8:26 PM, er_edwjy <er_ed...@yahoo. com> wrote: > > http://moneynews. newsmax.com/ streettalk/ deflation/ 2009/07/17/ 236865.html > > > > > > > >------------ --------- --------- ------ > > > >+ + > >+ + + + + > >Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus > >kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. > >+ + + + + > >+ +Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > > > > > > > Lebih Bersih, Lebih Baik, Lebih Cepat - Rasakan Yahoo! Mail baru yang > Lebih Cepat hari ini! http://id.mail.yahoo.com >
