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Sent from my BlackBerry® powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT -----Original Message----- From: Dean Earwicker <dean.earwic...@gmail.com> Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2009 21:24:31 To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> Subject: Re: [ob] Correction Scenarios... SOFT landing or HARD? Soft landing, but as time passes by it's getting deeper, ...faster,... Uuh... Harder...and harder...then finally.... ... ... ... Eh, maaf tadi pertanyaannya apa yah?.. On 7/24/09, boyz <m457...@yahoo.com.sg> wrote: > Just to bridge an open, analytic, thoughtful and friendly discussion in > here. > This is not intended to provoke, impose an opinion, or to be chaotic > debate. > > Background: > > * IHSG sudah beberapa bulan ini rebound sampai ke posisi > 2185.Technically speaking, posisi IHSG saat ini sudah sampai pada 61,8% > Fibonacci Retracement (Posisi tertinggi 2838 - posisi terendah 1089 maka > 61,8% FR IHSG = 2170,31). > * Secara Elliot Wave counting, sekarang ini IHSG berada dalam Wave 5. > > > > Arguments: > > Walau masih ada potensi kenaikan, untuk jangka pendek-menengah lebih > besar probabilitas IHSG untuk terkoreksi. > Dan dalam konteks fundamental maupun makro ekonomi masih ada > potensi-potensi yang bisa menyebabkan market men-discount current price. > > Tapi melihat baru dimulainya Bull Rally di bursa Amerika dan Eropa (DJI > memasuki wave 3), jika mengacu pada intermarket analysis dan market > psychology, sepertinya irrelevant jika IHSG tidak ikut larut dalam > euphoria market regional. > > > > So, which scenario of correction for IHSG may occur? > Soft Landing or Hard Landing? > > Please share your opinion. > (you can include or add technical, fundamental, bandarmology, news, > macro economy, or any approach as long as still referring to 1st and 2nd > line of this post). > > > Thanks for your contribution and have nice weekend. > Salam, > > > > >
