Masalah pengangguran juga menyerang jepang dan china. Di Indonesia malah pengangguran trendnnya turun. wew http://www.bps.go.id/tab_sub/view.php?tabel=1&daftar=1&id_subyek=06¬ab=4
Emang tob dah. Regards, DE 2009/8/6 Yuta Tiziano <yuta.tizi...@gmail.com>: > > > Saya coba jawab. > > Hari Jumat ini ada pengumuman government unemployment report untuk bulan > Juli. Angkanya, menurut estimate, masih tinggi. Sepanjang unemployment masih > tinggi, recovery itu cuma "fake". Perusahaan masih belum mau hire orang, > malah di bulan Juli masih berkelanjutan layoff. Kalau tidak salah, sebagian > besar labour di USA bergerak di bidang services, dan itu menggerakkan 80% > dari economic output. Jika sector ini masih hit by crisis, maka demand > (spending) tidak akan naik dan ujung2nya recovery akan stall. > > Menurut pandangan saya, yg harus dicermati pergerakan USD/Yen lebih > dibanding USD/EUR. Yen akan menguat jika ada risk aversion. Sedangkan EUR > lebih ke persepsi komoditi price. > > On Wed, Aug 5, 2009 at 11:32 PM, fifi young <fifiyoun...@gmail.com> wrote: >> >> >> Conclusion-nya jadi apa ya Yuta? >> Please advice, thanks. >> >> On Wed, Aug 5, 2009 at 11:29 PM, YUTA <yuta.tizi...@gmail.com> wrote: >>> >>> >>> >>> **This Friday looks like an important day.....** >>> >>> Dollar rises vs euro on renewed risk aversion >>> >>> 11:29 AM EDT >>> >>> By Vivianne Rodrigues >>> >>> NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar rose against the euro on Wednesday as >>> reports showing greater-than-expected U.S. service sector contraction in >>> July and surprisingly high job cuts by private employers boosted demand for >>> the greenback as a safe-haven. >>> >>> The advance contrasts with the dollar's sharp drop earlier in the week as >>> upbeat U.S. and Chinese manufacturing data gave investors confidence to buy >>> foreign currencies and riskier assets such as stocks. >>> >>> However, Wednesday's lackluster reports signaled more uneasy times for >>> the broader U.S. economy and renewed risk aversion, traders said. >>> >>> Increased risk aversion tends to favor currencies such as the yen, a >>> favored safe-haven, and the dollar versus higher-yielding counterparts. >>> >>> "We're getting a mixed picture in this latest batch of data," said Joe >>> Trevisani, a chief market analyst, at FX Solutions, in Ridgewood, New >>> Jersey. "That's why we have seen the euro come off against the dollar." >>> >>> In mid-morning trading in New York, the euro was 0.2 down percent at >>> $1.4371 after trading as high as $1.4437 earlier. The European currency hit >>> $1.4445 on Monday, its highest since December. >>> >>> The dollar was 0.3 percent lower versus the yen at 94.93 yen. >>> >>> The Institute for Supply Management said its non-manufacturing index fell >>> to 46.4 in July from June's 47.0. A reading above 50 signals expansion. >>> Economists expected a reading of 48.0. >>> >>> The ISM non-manufacturing report was much weaker than expected, >>> contributing to a "risk-off kind of scenario" in the foreign exchange >>> markets, favoring the dollar, said Andrew Busch, a global FX strategist at >>> BMO Capital Markets in Chicago. >>> >>> Another report showed new orders received by U.S. factories rose >>> unexpectedly in June, advancing for a third straight month [ID:nN04135411]. >>> >>> The services sector and new orders figures followed reports showing >>> larger-than-expected cuts by U.S. private employers in July and an increase >>> in planned layoffs at U.S. firms. >>> >>> The labor markets data "weighed on risk appetite and consequently revived >>> some demand for safe-haven currencies," said Joe Manimbo, a currency trader >>> at Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington. >>> >>> Another gauge on the state of the U.S. labor markets is expected on >>> Friday with the government's release of its monthly non-farm payrolls data. >>> >>> Wednesday's ADP report "suggests that we could see a downside surprise to >>> Friday's broader employment data," said Manimbo. >>> >>> Investors' focus will also be on policy decisions by the Bank of England >>> and European Central Bank due on Thursday. >>> >>> (Additional reporting by Wanfeng Zhou and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss in New >>> York; Editing by Dan Grebler) >> >> > > > >
