Tks pak.... Agree that SMGR memang but long term investment... tipe
saham pilihan Kang Warren

________________________________

From: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Armando Anthony
Sent: Thursday, April 17, 2008 10:39 PM
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Prospek SMGR

 

SMGR ya Pak,

 

Kebeltulan saya baca FSnya bbrp minggu lalu, ini saya share:

 

Secara Fundamental perusahaan ini sangat solid, no doubt, nothing to
worry.  S/d dg 31/12/07 cash & setara cash aja sudah 1/4 dr Total
assetnya.  Kemampuan membayar hutang, baik itu hutang jangka panjang
ataupun jangka pendek sesuai terms and conditionsnya, sangat kuat.  Cash
inflownya sendiri sangat solid.  Malah  dividen yg dibagikan hampir sama
dg jumlah hutang yg dibayar.

 

Terlebih lagi significant increase di revenue tidak dibarengi dg
costnya, padahal investment di fixed asset sangat kecil.  Ada
kemungkinan perusahaan ini operating 3 shift ataupun mampu menekan harga
bahan baku krn ketergantungan thd barang baku dr 1-2 suppilers < 10% dr
total bahan baku required.  

 

Kalau dilihat dr indikator Financial Ratio, SMGR ini terlalu liquid,
sebetulnya malah kurang baik, krn bisa dinilai tidak mampu memanfaatkan
kelebihan yg dimilikinya.  Mungkin krn itu maka tgl 10/12/2007 diadakan
RUPSLB untuk membangun 2 pabrik baru di Jawa dan Sulawesi dg kapasitas
terpasang 2x2.5 jt ton, dan power plant 410 MW, dg investasi masing2 US$
670jt dan US$ 573jt, dengan jaminan 50% total assets dari SMGR ini.

 

Realisasi dr investasi hsl RUPSLB itu pasti butuh wkt lama.  Biasalah
BUMN, teralu banyak protokolernya  Kalau anda daily trader memang SMGR
SANGAT TIDAK COCOK.  Swing-swung hampir tidak ada.  malah saya curiga
SMGR ini salah satu saham yg digebug utk naikkin saham lain.  Saya gak
tau bobotnya brapa di index BEI, musti tanya Pak Boyz yg biasanya
merhatiin.

 

Jadi kalau punya SMGR ya disimpan aja utk long.  Tinggal tunggu
realisasi proyek baru diatas.  Kalau sdh realisasi, ada kemungkinan
ngebut.  Saya tidak melihat ada sesuatu yg negatif dr SMGR ini.  Saya
sendiri punya cukup banyak, bahkan sebelum stock split th lalu.  Saya
simpen aja krn memang sahamnya ANTENG.

 

Mudah2an bermanfaat.

 

AA

----- Original Message ----
From: "Prasetyo, Hani" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Thursday, April 17, 2008 6:08:32 PM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Prospek SMGR

SMGR anteng di range 4200 - 4300-an... rekan2 ada yang punya info ttg
SMGR tolong dishare... Tx be4

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