If I am not wrong, oil-price (naturally) is lower before summer and going-up
again before fall, in line with seasonal demand. It is a seesaw cycle (like
Indonesian inflation). Speculations, geopolitics etc are factors affecting that
natural cycle. Should we worry if the trend is breaking such as cycle then?
Just my 2 worries :)
--- On Mon, 6/30/08, Elaine Sui <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
From: Elaine Sui <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: MyLRI RE: DJIA Update
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Date: Monday, June 30, 2008, 11:14 AM
Oil price is mainly driven by two kind of news, Fundamental and incidental.
Fundamental issues are like Oil Reserve, production, USD valuation, off shore
drilling plan (still banned by the US senate). The others are incidental issues
like "Prez X says war against America", "Y militant rebels attack oil wells",
"tanker Z has delayed transportation because of storm", etc
I see most of the news about oil recently are incidental, which is
fundamentally weak, in other words, can be reversed easily (with another
incidental good news). The other thing is USD is well maintained since April
against Euro and Yen.
I know, in the long run crude oil is still bullish but not at this pace. US
economy is currently still weak so I guess the only reason why it's still
lingering above $140 is only because of SPECULATION. And you know who did this.
Yeah, those banks who get smacked down by credit crunch.
Just my 2 cents, so no disclaimer.. lol..
Elaine
2008/6/30 JsxTrader <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>:
>
> DOW jatuh karena harga minyak naik.., jadi kalau minyak turun
> harusnya DOW rebound.., begitu kah? sebab SEPINTAS saya melihat ada
> tanda-tanda minyak akan koreksi (pls see attachment).
>
> Meskipun MACD baru saja goldencross & Candle membentuk pola bullish engulfing
> dua bar sebelumnya, tapi saya juga melihat ada divergence negative antara
> price dgn macd & volume..., mudah2an tarikan garis saya cukup obyektif dan
> tdk dipengaruhi oleh harapan saya... he.he
>
> Any Comment? Pak Tasrul, Pak Alfatih, and Others.
>
> Salam,
> JsxTrader
>
> ----- Original Message ----
> From: Tasrul <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com;
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Monday, June 30, 2008 10:43:08
> Subject: MyLRI RE: DJIA Update
>
> DOW 27 Juni 06 tutup di 11,346.51,ada peluang untuk reversal (lihat target
> MACD…kemungkinan pertama di 11,346.21).. jika tidak mampu reversal maka
> target berikut di 10,758.75
>
>
>
> Juga terlampir DJIA untuk posisi akhir (27 Juni 08)
>
>
>
> Tasrul
> PT. Overseas Securities
>
> Research
> Analyst
> Plaza Bapindo Mandiri Tower Lt.16
>
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Jl. Jend.Sudirman Kav.54-55
>
>
> Jakarta – 12190, Indonesia
>
>
> Phone 62.21.5277008
>
>
> Fax 62.21.5277009
>
>
>
> DISCLAIMER: This email and any files transmitted with it are confidential
> and/or protected by intellectual property rights and intended solely for the
> use of the individual or entity to whom they are addressed. Any use of the
> information contained herein (including, but not limited to, total or partial
> reproduction, communication or distribution in any form) by persons other
> than the named addressee(s) is prohibited. Please notify the sender
> immediately if you have received this e-mail by mistake and delete this
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>
> ________________________________
>
> From: Tasrul
> Sent: Friday, June 27, 2008 11:16 AM
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; '[EMAIL PROTECTED]'; [EMAIL PROTECTED];
> 'obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com'; '[EMAIL PROTECTED]'
> Subject: DJIA Update
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Dear All,
>
>
>
> Peluang penurunan DJIA meskipun terlihat masih ada namun peluang penurunannya
> makin kecil. Support terdekat di 11,346.26 dan jika ini tembus berpeluang ke
> 10,758.75, Semua indikator kecuali MACD Optimasi (yakni W%R Optimasi dan MFI
> Optimasi ) telah berada di Oversold Area.
>
>
>
> Semoga membantu…
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> Tasrul
> PT. Overseas Securities
>
> Research
> Analyst
> Plaza Bapindo Mandiri Tower Lt.16
>
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Jl. Jend.Sudirman Kav.54-55
>
>
> Jakarta – 12190, Indonesia
>
>
> Phone 62.21.5277008
>
>
> Fax 62.21.5277009
>
>
>
> DISCLAIMER: This email and any files transmitted with it are confidential
> and/or protected by intellectual property rights and intended solely for the
> use of the individual or entity to whom they are addressed. Any use of the
> information contained herein (including, but not limited to, total or partial
> reproduction, communication or distribution in any form) by persons other
> than the named addressee(s) is prohibited. Please notify the sender
> immediately if you have received this e-mail by mistake and delete this
> e-mail from your system. Please note that any views or opinions presented in
> this email are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent
> those of the company. PT. Overseas Securities accepts no liability for any
> damage caused by any virus transmitted by this email.
>
>
