Thought you might find this interesting.

There are at least two cases (one case each regarding copyright and patent
law) that are wending their way through the courts right now that could have
tremendous impacts on IP.  The idea that IP laws might be strengthened in the
RPG industry anytime soon or even of the course of several years is in
serious doubt.  While the Napster issue is more about who gets paid what,
there are serious movements against the IP laws mounting.  Some are good and
some are bad, but I don't think that any clear cut answers for RPGs are going
to come out of them.  Ryan has indicated that the "practice" of copyright
laws in the RPG industry might clarify things over time thanks to the OGL.  
This would be a good thing, but I wonder if the OGL will really take hold
given a few trends that seem to be forming.

1) the average person seems to be beginning to doubt the value of IP laws
   [The OGL, as many have pointed out, is more useful to commercial
interests than non and therefore this limits the spread of its use, just by
the fact that commercial interests are a narrower segment of the industry
than the gamers at large.  The OGL might just become a tool used by
companies.  I don't think this is necessarily a good thing though it would
still be useful. On the other hand, a mass disrespect for the concepts of IP
might eventually undermine even this.]

2) companies are finding that litigating these issues is not necessarily
resulting in clear cut benefits (especially regarding costs).
  [Not only is litigation expensive but the benefits aren't really clear.
Increasingly companies are being pitted against consumer interest.  In the
end, consumers will win one hopes. Assuming that the OGL decreases the
likelihood of litigation presumes that this is a problem and therefore using
the OGL is a wise decision.  If IP laws are weakened though, the threat of
litigation decreases.  Furthermore, if litigation will not necessarily be of
benefit the threat is further decreased.  These point towards a reduced
commercial need for the OGL. ]

      I some way we can see a bit of the litigation entanglement working
against the OGL already.  Even though it is supposed to reduce the likelihood
of litigation and enable more sharing of resources we have seen
recommendations that people stick to creating all new material as opposed to
reusing some. This defeats the benefits of sharing work. Anybody could make
new stuff  OGL regardless.  I don't want to get into the whys and wherefores
of the OGL vis-a-vis "now we can share WotC's system, etc." because that is
off the point.  The issue here is whether in practice the OGL ends up being
widely adopted.   If the need for it is reduced (reuse and reduced threat of
litigation being two needs) this will slow the spread of it.  Although the
OGL might make massive inroads in commercially oriented use, there is the
possibilty that it will not serve a major purpose by enabling more access to
each others' resources.   

What do you all think the trends in IP are?  While there are clear cut cases
where the OGL is useful, does it have the strength and usefulness to survive
and serve if IP laws are diminshed?

These are just some thoughts, but I just thought I'd point out that while the
OGL is eminently useful now, there is no guarantee or even likelihood that it
will wind up being as widespread as say the GPL is.  In fact, I would hazard
the guess that in 10 years the idea that anything but a well formed setting
and characters will be protectable as IP.

I think the OGL and SRD are great tools and I mean no slight on the work it
has taken to get this far (praise to Ryan for that); but I think it is
obvious that there are many who wonder not only about the foundation of IP
therory and practice that spawned the creation of the OGL, but also many who
think that the whole thing might come crashing down some time in the next
decade.   Most of this will be decided by those outside the RPG industry.

Aside from immediate profit potential, how do you all feel about the long
term prospects of basing a company on the OGL?

-Alex Silva

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