Sam,

I agree.

Suggestion
In otherwords any clinical  (or non-clinical) concept model must be 
able to express the view of the author about certainty.
3 states are sufficient for starters:
likely (as default)
not-likely
certain

When a person attaches new information to the EHR and is of the opinion 
that whole or parts of a received  extract (or EHR) need an other 
qualifyer then via versioning he must be able to annotate this by 
adding his beliefs about certainty.


Gerard

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On 27 Apr 2005, at 23:25, Sam Heard wrote:

> Arild and Tim
>
> This is clearly an issue. In the CIP project the group wanted to be 
> able to say that a diagnosis was a working diagnosis.
>
> We have archetyped a number of concepts that I think will enable the 
> clinician to express these levels of uncertainty without resorting to 
> confidence ratings on all entries in the record. Arild has shown that 
> you could not possibly do a mastectomy without rating your certainty 
> at 100% - or you will be sued. And not treating a pneumonia in a 
> newborn with a certainty of only 20% will probably get you in trouble. 
> These sort of explicit ratings are - in my opinion - very problematic.
>
> The solution lies in the recording constructs used for many years:
>
> 1. To express differential diagnoses (with or without probabilities) 
> and to note key excluded diagnoses as well.
>
> 2. To express a diagnosis as a problem (such as lump in left breast) 
> even if the likelihood of cancer is 100% clinically until the 
> histology is returned.
>
> 3. To be able to label a diagnosis as a working diagnosis - ie it is 
> likely enough to warrant the current management - but not certain. 
> Appendicitis is a good example.
>
> So the archetypes for problem, problem-diagnosis (specialised) and 
> differential diagnosis should meet these needs.
>
> Comments?
>
> Sam
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