I think that the 'pebbles & nuggets' characterisation is probably right, 
although I don't think anyone knows what the balance is, i.e. at what 
point it ceases to be worthwhile to trawl back in time. The trouble is 
you get patients like a 12 yo child with a history of chronic tonsilitis 
that is only visible by looking at say 10 years of data.  Or try the 
other end of the spectrum - notes by GPs over some years may turn out to 
be indicative of alzheimers, but only when a diagnostic guideline is 
applied to say 5 or even 10 years of data. So how far is far enough?

I think that what will be needed in the future is a way of filtering out 
the useless pebbles on the way so to speak. Perhaps when data were 
archived onto slower media. I wonder if anyone has seen research to 
indicate how far back data might be useful based on specific morbidities?

- thomas beale


On 23/10/2010 05:26, Derek Meyer wrote:
> Tim,
>
> I don't claim that all old information is useless.
>
> My hypothesis is that clinical care generates vast amounts of 
> information, and very little of this vast amount is useful.
>
> (This is an empirical hypothesis, and so could be measured, although I 
> don't know of a study that has. Perhaps a study that
>
> a) converts real patient records into facts, and the counts the number 
> of facts,
> b) requires patients to be seen without a written health record and a 
> treatment plan formulated,
> c) reviews the treatment plans in the light of the written record, and
> d) counts facts which result in changes to the treatment plan,
> e) calculates the ratio of facts that were useful in altering the 
> treatment plan compared with the total number of facts.)
>
> My hunch is that there are gold nuggets in historical records, but we 
> have to capture and store too many pebbles to get the nuggets we 
> need.  If there was zero cost to capture and storage this wouldn't 
> matter, but unfortunately this is not the case with current technology.
>
> This is an economic problem, and the solution is to look for economic 
> benefits at the other side of the time spectrum. If information could 
> be sent to the person who needs it quickly, this time saving could 
> justify the cost of capturing and structuring the information. Once 
> data are structured and captured, it becomes cost effective to do a 
> large number of other things with these data.
>
> This is not an argument against openEHR - just another way of using 
> openEHR.
>
> Best,
>
> Derek.
>
>
>
>
> On 22/10/10, *Tim Cook * <timothywayne.cook at gmail.com> wrote:
>> On Fri, 2010-10-22 at 17:12 +0100, Derek Meyer wrote:
>> > Tony,
>> >
>> > This is very impressive piece of work.  Every since I first came
>> > across openEHR I have intuitively felt that it is closer to the
>> > 'solution' than more static attempts at standardization. So why is
>> > progress so slow? I've appplied some lateral thinking to this, and
>> > come up with what many people on this list may (at best) think
>> > contrarian - but at the risk of being flamed....
>> >
>> > The Case for NPfIT 2.0 www.nationalhealthexecutive.com page 52-53.
>> >
>> > (I'll go get my hard hat now...)
>>
>> All I can say Derek; is that if you think my past medical, mental and
>> social history older than six months is useless information. Much less
>> my familial history of a few generations.
>>
>> I am very happy that you are not my physician.
>>
>> Maybe if you had all of that information in a meaningful semantically
>> connected network.  You could practice better preventive healthcare as
>> opposed to band-aid, reactive medicine???       :-)
>>
>>
>>
>> Cheers,
>> Tim
>>
>>
>> -- 
>> ***************************************************************
>> Timothy Cook, MSc
>> Project Lead - Multi-Level Healthcare Information Modeling
>> http://www.mlhim.org
>>
>> LinkedIn Profile:http://www.linkedin.com/in/timothywaynecook
>> Skype ID == timothy.cook
>> Academic.Edu Profile: http://uff.academia.edu/TimothyCook
>>
>> You may get my Public GPG key from  popular keyservers or
>> from this link http://timothywayne.cook.googlepages.com/home
>>
>
> _______________________________________________
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> openEHR-technical at openehr.org
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-- 
Ocean Informatics       *Thomas Beale
Chief Technology Officer, Ocean Informatics 
<http://www.oceaninformatics.com/>*

Chair Architectural Review Board, /open/EHR Foundation 
<http://www.openehr.org/>
Honorary Research Fellow, University College London 
<http://www.chime.ucl.ac.uk/>
Chartered IT Professional Fellow, BCS, British Computer Society 
<http://www.bcs.org.uk/>
Health IT blog <http://www.wolandscat.net/>


*
*
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