I think that's intentional.  After the .com craze, IT salaries went through
the roof, and Corporate America came to the conclusion that it just wasn't
going to pay a lot for that muffler anymore... and the huge supply of low
wage labor in the "Third World" provided a hedge by which Corporate America
could play "Global Wage Arbitrage".  They had already played that game with
factory workers, whom Corporate America thought were grossly overpaid, and
suffered slim ill affects.  Now, they see no reason not to do it with IT,
and when big companies play that game, little companies benefit by the
increased labor pool (due to corporate layoffs) and therefore lower wages
(due to increased competition).  It's only the workers who suffer, and, as
they learned when factory jobs went to Mexico and then to China (because
Mexico's workers had become too expensive), no one really cares.

You can see that same trend in that article (we went to India, but now
*they're* too expensive, so now we're going to Argentina).  This could go on
indefinitely until every last IT job is in China (the final resting place
for all cheapness as the government ensures that workers are paid very
little and there's just *gobs* of people there to snarf up every job that
comes in).  Except.

We in the "high wage markets" have a natural advantage because this
technology was invented in our backyard and we have boodles of experience
with it.  IT is not like pushing a button and letting a machine do the work.
Once *that's* in place, we'll all be screwed.  But in the meantime, we can
offer something in exchange for our high salaries (by global standards)...
our expertise.  Does that matter?  I hope so.  Time will tell.

If not, who's next?  Engineers?  Sure.  Architects?  Definitely.  Lawyers?
No, they have to be here to argue cases.  Doctors?  MMMMMaybeee...

Over time, costs continue to "flatten" on a global scale.  Once China sees
full employment, the rest of the "Third World" countries around the world
will see their standard of living increase... while in America and Europe
and other "high wage markets" (Israel and Japan), the standard of living
will tank for most of the middle class... until we meet a global wage
equilibrium, probably some time in the middle of the next century.  Now, I'm
not saying this is a bad thing.  In fact, apart from the fact that I am
directly hit by this, I think it's a good thing in terms of the evolution of
human development.

However, each of us on this list will be affected by this in one way or
another sooner or later, unless this game ends.  The end of this game is
delimited by the answers to two fundamental questions which Corporate
America must answer on its own.  The first is "how can the players in
Corporate America maintain a huge percentage increase in profits year after
year without sacrificing quality, thus impacting profits?" (see article),
and second, and more fundamentally, "if Corporate America destroys Middle
Class America (the consumers of last resort), who will buy their products,
thus guaranteeing their profits?".  If "China" is not the answer to the last
question, the whole game falls in on itself.  This should be answered in the
next 20 or 30 years.

In the meantime, the rest of us can ask "what service can I personally
provide that someone in Guam can't do cheaper?".

Plumbing, anyone?
Bambi.

-----Original Message-----
Sent: Thursday, October 30, 2003 2:39 PM
To: Multiple recipients of list ORACLE-L


But sure as hell does drive salaries down over here.

On 10/30/2003 03:04:24 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> The perception of outsourcing has been that you can send your work 
> offshore,
> and get it done cheaper, with higher quality.
> 
> I think that this article helps to dispel that as a myth.  It may or may 
> not be 
> less expensive, it may or may not be better. 
> 
> Jared
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> "Jamadagni, Rajendra" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> Sent by: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>  10/30/2003 09:49 AM
>  Please respond to ORACLE-L
> 
>  
>         To:     Multiple recipients of list ORACLE-L
<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>         cc: 
>         Subject:        RE: Outsourcing's dirty secret
> 
> 
> What is also unfortunate that the company X which outsourced its project 
> to India, didn't do its job right ... If you just want the cheapest Rolex,

> you can't complain about its quality later on. I am not saying this 
> couldn't have happened, whatever happened is unfortunate, but I am just 
> saying that the company didn't understand CYA sufficiently, it is just a 
> blame game now.
> 
> C'mon ... I think that article is one side of the coin.
> Raj
>
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
> Rajendra dot Jamadagni at nospamespn dot com
> All Views expressed in this email are strictly personal.
> QOTD: Any clod can have facts, having an opinion is an art !
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> Sent: Thursday, October 30, 2003 11:59 AM
> To: Multiple recipients of list ORACLE-L
> 
> 
> List - If a manager seems to be contemplating outsourcing, you might want 
> to
> post this. Unless you work for an outsourcer. ;-)
> 
>
http://techupdate.zdnet.com/techupdate/stories/main/Hidden_Costs_of_IT_Outso
urcing.html
> 
> Dennis Williams
> DBA
> Lifetouch, Inc.
> [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> -- 
> 
> 
>
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> Author: Jamadagni, Rajendra
>   INET: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Mladen Gogala
Oracle DBA



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