http://www.geostrategy-direct.com/


After Iraq elections, Al Qaida targets Gulf states hosting U.S. bases 

Khalid Al Douseri has been assigned by Al Qaida to lead a terror
campaign in Kuwait, Western intelligence sources say. Al Douseri's
mission is part of an Al Qaida strategy to expand the Islamic
insurgency beyond Iraq and Saudi Arabia to Gulf Arab states. It could
mark a new focus for the movement following the Jan. 30 elections in
Iraq. 
Al Douseri has determined that Gulf Arab regimes are vulnerable to
terrorist strikes. Western intelligence sources said Al Qaida and its
key allies have assessed that the smaller GCC states could collapse a
lot sooner than Saudi Arabia, which has been successful in foiling
numerous Al Qaida attacks.
 
Al Qaida has assigned Al Douseri the task of destabilizing Kuwait and
force it to expel U.S. and other Western forces. Al Douseri was
trained and financed by Al Qaida in Saudi Arabia and he has already
built a small but formidable network in Kuwait. A similar Al Qaida
network has been established in Oman, which also has a large U.S.
military presence. 

So far, Kuwait has arrested nearly 200 suspected Al Qaida operatives
and their supporters. Many of the suspects have been released, but at
least 14 hard-core terrorists remain in detention. They reportedly
revealed Al Qaida plans to attack U.S. soldiers and military convoys
in Kuwait. 

The United States has a considerable presence in Saudi Arabia. The
U.S. military has about 20,000 soldiers in the sheikdom. About 13,000
Americans live in Kuwait, many of whom have been contractors in
Kuwait's defense and energy sectors. 

For Al Qaida, Kuwait is a choice target. The sheikdom is a major
non-NATO ally of the United States. Kuwait was the only Arab country
that openly supported the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003. Since 2002, a
U.S. Marine and a Defense Department civilian contractor were killed
in Kuwait by Al Qaida operatives. 

The latest plan began with meetings by Al Douseri with Al Qaida
commanders in Saudi Arabia. Over the last six months, the Al Qaida
network in Saudi Arabia has been on the ropes, pursued by U.S. and
Saudi intelligence and elite forces. With four of five Al Qaida cells
eliminated, many Al Qaida operatives have fled Saudi Arabia to battle
the United States in Iraq. 

The Al Qaida commanders in Saudi Arabia told Al Douseri that the
strategy was changing. In the words of a Kuwaiti security source
involved in the interrogations of Al Qaida operatives, Al Douseri was
told to acquire ice trucks and fill them with explosives. The trucks
would crash into U.S. military convoys in Kuwait.
 
Al Qaida in Iraq trained operatives for assignment in Kuwait. 
The source said Al Qaida trained at least 25 people for attacks on
U.S. military convoys near the northern Kuwaiti border with Iraq. 
"The thinking of the Saudis [in Al Qaida] was why go to Iraq when
there are so many U.S. military targets in Kuwait," the Kuwaiti source
said.
 
Al Qaida sent operatives from Saudi Arabia to Kuwait to build the
network. Recruits were obtained from Kuwaiti high schools, mosques and
universities. Al Douseri was deemed head of the Al Qaida cell with two
other commanders, Muhsen Al Fadli and Mohammed Al Harbi. Al Douseri's
key lieutenant was identified as Maqboul Al Maqboul, captured by
Kuwaiti police in January. 

Al Douseri already proved his skills to Al Qaida. Over the last 18
months, Al Douseri was Al Qaida's recruiter in Kuwait for volunteers
to fight the U.S. military in Iraq. He has recruited hundreds of young
Kuwaitis in mosques and schools. Authorities have been seeking Al
Douseri since July 2004. 

Kuwaiti intelligence believes Al Qaida also recruited so-called
Bedouins, or stateless residents, to carry out attacks against U.S.
military targets. 
These residents, many of them Egyptians, work cheaply and are willing
to do the dirty work required for terrorist attacks. 

The Egyptians were recruited for suicide attacks against the U.S.
military as well as Kuwaiti security forces, the sources said. They
said many of details of the Al Qaida strategy were obtained from the
interrogation of Amr Al Enezi, a commander of a major Al Qaida cell.
Al Enezi reportedly identified Douseri and Fadli as the leaders of the
entire network. 

So far, actions by Kuwaiti authorities have been impressive. Unlike
Saudi Arabia, the sheikdom responded quickly to U.S. and British
warnings of an Al Qaida attack. Kuwait received and utilized help from
Britain, Saudi Arabia and the United States. Saudi intelligence
provided Kuwait with the identities of Al Qaida operatives believed to
have entered the sheikdom in late 2004. 

The result has been repeated Kuwaiti raids of Al Qaida strongholds. On
Feb. 5, Kuwaiti security forces raided a suspected stronghold outside
Kuwait City and arrested five suspected operatives, capturing weapons
and about $50,000. Three of the Al Qaida suspects were Jordanians and
two were Saudis, who were hiding in the area populated by stateless
residents west of the capital. The Saudis were said to have worked in
the Kuwaiti Interior Ministry in the 1980s. 

The Kuwaiti raid was the fifth major operation this year by security
forces against Al Qaida. An Interior Ministry statement said all of
those arrested were deemed fugitives. Four Kuwaiti security officers
have been killed in the clashes with Al Qaida gunmen. 

Kuwaiti Interior Minister Nawaf Al Ahmed Al Sabah said eight Al Qaida
operatives were killed and another 14 detained. Nawaf said one of
those detained was a leader of the network. The minister said last
week that two Al Qaida commanders were still at large. 

Despite the raids against its strongholds, Al Qaida is far from out in
Kuwait, Western intelligence sources said. The insurgents might be
shifting their strategy and would now attack so-called soft targets in
the sheikdom as well as in other Gulf Cooperation Council states.
Documents captured in Al Qaida strongholds tell of plans to abduct and
execute Western nationals, particularly American soldiers. 

As a result, the United States has been quietly reducing its military
presence while maintaining a lower profile in Kuwait. From a high of
40,000 in 2003, the Pentagon maintains fewer than 20,000 soldiers in
the sheikdom. 

Estimates of the U.S. military presence in Kuwait have been as few as
18,000, a reduction of about 10,000 soldiers over the last six months. 
"There's a feeling that a large-scale U.S. military presence in Kuwait
is untenable even in the mid-term," a Western diplomat said. "I would
expect the United States to reduce its military presence to an
absolute minimum over the next year." 







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