http://atimes01.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GA05Ak03.html

 

Al-Qaeda's unfinished work

By Syed Saleem Shahzad 

 

KARACHI - Prior to September 11, al-Qaeda was widely viewed in intelligence
circles as a group of mercenaries or mafia, not as a sophisticated
organization capable of orchestrating such large attacks as those on the
United States. 

 

Yet even with the new awareness of al-Qaeda's capabilities, its true nature
- and intentions - remain much of a mystery. Intensive investigations
carried out by Asia Times Online over many months, including discussions
with people ranging from intelligence officials to sources directly or
indirectly related to al-Qaeda, reveal that neither Iraq, Afghanistan,
Pakistan nor any other place but the United States is the single obsession
of al-Qaeda. And in this regard, al-Qaeda has big plans. 

 

Enter Osama bin Laden 

At six feet three inches tall, rich and like a member of the royal family,
Osama bin Laden was taken as an "angry young man" 14 years ago in his native
Saudi Arabia when he spoke out against the kingdom for allowing Western
forces to use its territory after the first Gulf War. His family -
influential in business and highly respected - was persuaded to convince him
to appear personally before King Fahd for a royal pardon. Many important
members of the royal family, including Prince Turki and Prince Abdullah,
tried hard to settle the dispute, to no avail. 

 

That was the beginning of the misconception about bin Laden and his team. US
intelligence agencies reported him as a Saudi dissident who had bravely
fought in Afghanistan against the Soviets in the 1980s and who was now
prepared to create a political nuisance in Saudi Arabia. 

 

However, the al-Qaeda attacks on US embassies in Africa in 1998 jolted the
US's perception, and Washington came to the realization that a new terror
ring had emerged which was after US interests. September 11 confirmed this,
in no uncertain manner. 

 

Yet US decision-makers were still very much in the dark over al-Qaeda's
thinking, despite millions of dollars being spent, countless hours consumed
and counter-terrorism networks formed across the world. 

 

Al-Qaeda's evolution 

The seeds to al-Qaeda's thinking were planted during the decade-long jihad
against the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan in the 1980s. The Arabs who
poured into the country to join hands with the Afghan resistance fell into
two broad camps - Yemeni and Egyptian. 

 

The religious zealots who went to Afghanistan after being inspired by their
local clerics fell into the Yemeni camp. They exercised hard, doing military
drills all day long between fighting, cooked their own food and then slept
straight after isha (the last prayers of the day). As the Afghan jihad
tailed off toward the end of the late 1980s, these jihadis returned to their
countries. Those who did not want to go home melted into the Afghan
population or went to Pakistan, where many married. In al-Qaeda circles,
they were termed dravesh - easy-going. 

 

The Egyptian camp comprised those who were extremely politically minded and
ideologically motivated. Though most belonged to the Muslim Brotherhood,
they were discontented with the organization for its insistence on changing
societies through elections and democratic processes. The Afghan jihad
served as a powerful glue for these like-minded people, many of them
educated, including doctors, engineers etc. Many, though, were former
personnel of the Egyptian army associated with the underground Egyptian
movement Jamaatul Jihad of Dr Ayman al-Zawahiri (now bin Laden's deputy) .
This group was responsible for the assassination of president Anwar Sadat in
1981 after he signed a peace deal with Israel at Camp David. All, though,
agreed on a single point: the reason for Arab "doom" was the US and its
puppet governments in the Middle East. 

 

This Egyptian camp was in the hands of bin Laden and Zawahiri. After isha
they would discuss contemporary issues in the Arab world. One of the
messages that the leaders drummed home was that members should invest their
resources on the armies of their countries, and ideologically cultivate the
best brains. 

 

In the mid-1990s, when then Afghan president Professor Burhanuddin Rabbani
and his powerful minister of defense, Ahmed Shah Masoud, allowed bin Laden
to move from Sudan to Afghanistan, the Egyptian camp drew many strategic
community members from across the world to Afghanistan, where they headed
maaskars (training camps) to teach strategies for their future fight. 

 

By the time the Taliban had emerged as a force in Afghanistan in the
mid-1990s, the Egyptian camp had settled on its strategies, the most
important being:

 

To speak out against corrupt and despotic Muslim governments and make them
targets, as this would destroy their image in the eyes of the common people,
who interrelate state, rulers and nation. 

Focus on the US role, which is to support Israel and tyrant Middle Eastern
countries, and make everyone understand this. 

 

The 1998 attacks on the US embassies in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania and Nairobi,
Kenya, were the start of al-Qaeda's - as it was now known - offensive
against US interests. In retaliation, though, the US launched cruise
missiles on Kandahar and Khost in Afghanistan. Consequent to this, al-Qaeda
formed a special task force to plan for the September 11 attacks. 

 

It took three years for the plan to reach fruition, but discussions
continued after September 11 among members of the Egyptian camp - who were
now senior members of al-Qaeda - over broader plans to bring the world's
superpower to its knees. 

 

Before October 7, 2001, when the US invaded Afghanistan in retaliation for
September 11, most of al-Qaeda's top minds had already left the country.
Their mission involved several targets: 

To ideologically cultivate new faces from strategic communities, such as
among armed forces and intelligence circles. 

Get these new recruits to establish cells. 

Each cell would be assigned to raise its own resources to chalk out a plan.
However, only one of them would implement a plan, the others would serve as
decoys to "misdirect" intelligence agencies. 

 

Muslim regimes targeted

After September 11, Muslim governments were more active against al-Qaeda,
and in Pakistan alone more than 400 of its members were arrested. The same
happened in Egypt, Syria, Jordan, Yemen, Tunis and in Saudi Arabia. Yet
al-Qaeda did not utter a word against Muslim governments until the US gave
clear signals that it would attack Iraq. 

 

The collaboration of Muslim governments with the US against Iraq was the
ideal time to stir the resentment of the masses against their regimes by
exploiting the US's strategic alliance with Muslim countries. 

 

Soon after the US invasion of Afghanistan, bin Laden released his first tape
in which he spoke against the Saudi government. "You are a US stooge and
your fathers were stooges of Britain. You help the US in attacking a Muslim
country and your fathers rebelled against the caliph to facilitate British
rule in the Middle East." 

 

In the next few months, Zawahiri spoke for the first time against President
General Pervez Musharraf in Pakistan and asked the people of that country to
topple "the closest Muslim ally to the US in the world". Immediately after,
pro-al-Qaeda groups were encouraged to carry out attacks in Saudi Arabia and
Pakistan. 

 

There was no reason for al-Qaeda to get involved in Iraq. The strategy they
had evolved over more than a decade never suggested that they take on their
enemy on the battlefield. Its only aim is to keep the enemy engaged and work
toward organizing a Muslim backlash so that when its new strike on the US
comes it will not go in isolation, and will change the world on a much
broader scale than September 11: al-Qaeda will conveniently fade into the
background and let the angry Muslim masses decide the course of the world. 

 

Syed Saleem Shahzad, Bureau Chief, Pakistan, Asia Times Online. He can be
reached at [EMAIL PROTECTED] 

 

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact
us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)



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