+ Over the years, Beijing has been patiently building political and
military bridges with Nepal. It still regards itself as the "Middle
Kingdom", destined to lord over all other humans and has been
diligently working towards that end. Despite its ancient ties with
India, Nepal willy nilly continues to succumb to Beijing's charms, as
reflected by China's latest move to enter SAARC (South Asian
Association of Regional Cooperation). Kathmandu, along with Pakistan
and Bangladesh, has backed China's entry into the South Asian grouping
even as New Delhi has voiced its opposition. Again, take Tibet. While
New Delhi sympathises with the Tibetans and has provided the Dalai
Lama a haven where he can peacefully carry on his crusade against
China, Kathmandu accepts Tibet as an integral part of China. +

Dak Bangla:
http://dakbangla.blogspot.com/2005/02/nepal-is-china-doing-second-tibet_19.html

19/02/2005

Is China doing a second Tibet?
Poonam I Kaushish

Be pragmatic and accept. Or just lump it. These are the latest
buzzwords in the corridors of power. While political parties are now
chanting the mantra of expediency, thanks to the exit polls for the
three state Assemblies, South Block is busy burning the midnight oil
to mug up on international real politik. Necessitated by the shocking
royal coup in Nepal. Either way, the message rings loud and clear :
Grin and bear it!

For New Delhi, the coup in Kathmandu couldn't have been more
ill-timed, as it grapples on its own soil with various terrorist
outfits, including the gun-toting Naxalites spread over 13 states and
their links with the Maoists of Nepal. This spells double trouble for
India, because the conflict between the monarchists, mainstream
parties and the Maoists could spill over across the 1,747 km of the
open border with India. The Maoists facing reprisal by the Royal Nepal
Army may seek a safe haven here and regroup to assist its Indian
counterparts. This could lead to a resurgence of Naxalite activity.

No less than the Bhutan King, Jigme Singye Wanchuk, has been quick to
warn New Delhi of "the real threat" of the Maoists to India. This, he
has stated, could have "negative implications", for both the
countries. According to the Shillong Times, the Maoists have build up
a strong nexus with Assam's terrorist outfit ULFA. In fact, a Red
corridor stretches from Nepal to Andhra Pradesh, splitting north India
into half.

As it stands, South Block's ties with the Hindu kingdom have been
lukewarm since 1997. Acting on its intelligence inputs of a possible
monarchical takeover, New Delhi tried hard to impress upon the King
the foolhardiness of taking over the government. The last occasion
ostensibly was when Foreign Minister Natwar Singh visited the
Himalayan kingdom and met the King. As events have proved, the advice
fell on deaf years. What is more, Nepal even refused to back India's
bid for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. Earlier,
Kathmandu had sought withdrawal of India's military post from Kalapani
situated at the tri-junction of India, Tibet (China) and Nepal on the
holy Mansarover.

Notably, Beijing's reaction to the happenings in the Himalayan kingdom
has been mild in sharp contrast to the worldwide condemnation of the
palace coups. In a shrewd but outwardly innocuous statement, to put it
mildly, the Chinese brushed it aside as 'Nepal's internal matter',
(sic). Adding "It is for the Nepalese people to decide". Especially
against the backdrop of China increasingly spreading its "super power"
tentacles in the region â albeit surreptitiously and stealthily.

Over the years, Beijing has been patiently building political and
military bridges with Nepal. It still regards itself as the "Middle
Kingdom", destined to lord over all other humans and has been
diligently working towards that end. Despite its ancient ties with
India, Nepal willy nilly continues to succumb to Beijing's charms, as
reflected by China's latest move to enter SAARC (South Asian
Association of Regional Cooperation). Kathmandu, along with Pakistan
and Bangladesh, has backed China's entry into the South Asian grouping
even as New Delhi has voiced its opposition. Again, take Tibet. While
New Delhi sympathises with the Tibetans and has provided the Dalai
Lama a haven where he can peacefully carry on his crusade against
China, Kathmandu accepts Tibet as an integral part of China.

Also, the slow but sure Sino-Nepalese closeness can be gauged from the
construction of a 106 km major Kathmandu-Kodari highway linking Tibet
with Nepal in 1960. China used this highway in the mid-eighties to
supply military hardware to Nepal when the then Rajiv Gandhi
government insisted on inspecting military supplies going through
India under the Indo-Nepal Military pact. Beijing has recently got
Kathmandu to agree in principle to two more additional highways
linking Nepal with Tibet. One of these will be 500-600 km long and
link Kathmandu with Mastung.

In fact, Beijing's military ties date back to 1988-89 when Kathmandu
procured anti-aircraft guns from China without informing New Delhi as
per the Indo-Nepal Treaty. This was perceived by South Block as
directed solely against India. Beijing's thinking reflected in a White
Paper on National Defence 2000, which calls for aggressive expansion
of China's hegemony in Asia.

Recall, India lost Tibet as a strategic buffer between itself and
China following Independence when the Government mucked up its vital
interests by confusing suzerainty for sovereignty (a la Ambassador K M
Pannikar). New Delhi should not now allow a shrewd and scheming China
to do a second Tibet in Nepal through inadequate and myopic handling,
influenced by the so-called sweet and calculated talk of a peaceful
resolution of the contentious Indo-Sino border dispute. Unlike New
Delhi, which seldom looks beyond its nose. Beijing plans and plots for
a hundred years ahead.

As New Delhi comes to terms with the complex ireality n the mountain
kingdom it must prepare for all eventualities â continued monarchical
rule, a Maoist-dominated government, return of mainstream parties and
a new Constituent Assembly. In these fluid circumstances, Indian
interests may be better served by trying to influence the
powers-that-be in favour of democracy, rather than who wins or loses.
In either case, the bottom line is clear. It has to do business with
whosoever rules Kathmandu and effectively watch out for its own
security concerns.

It cannot afford to take any chance with what constitutes a grave
threat to India's security. Be it the monarchy in the immediate,
Maoists in the short term or China in the long term. It needs to
remove its blinkers and face harsh realities. It should for a change
look ahead and act and not merely react, as is its wont. A strong
stable and democratic Nepal is in New Delhi's interest. It needs to
reconsider its overall ties â military, strategic, political and
economic. National interest and statesmanship demand that India looks
beyond superficial bon homie. âINFA

LINK
http://assamtribune.com/
-- 
Dak Bangla is a Bangladesh based South Asian Intelligence Scan Magazine.
URL: http://www.dakbangla.blogspot.com


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