http://www.geostrategy-direct.com/


Iran's primary threat is geostrategic, not nuclear 

The United States has a dilemma regarding a military option to
terminate Iran's nuclear weapons program. Even if U.S. fighter-jets
destroyed every single nuclear facility, Iran still could threaten
global oil supplies. 
The reason: Iran's dominance of the Straits of Hormuz. About 40
percent of the world's crude oil shipments pass through the two-mile
wide channel. Iranian forces are deployed at the head of the channel.
Oman and the United Arab Emirates are located on the other side. 
The result is that Gulf Cooperation Council states would be at Iran's
mercy, since Teheran could easily block the Straits of Hormuz and use
its missiles to strike tankers and GCC oil facilities. Within weeks,
the rest of the world would be starving for oil and the global economy
could be in danger. 
What's worse is that the longer the United States waits, the more of a
hold Iran will have on the Straits of Hormuz. The U.S. Energy
Information Administration assesses that oil tanker traffic through
the Straits of Hormuz will rise to about 60 percent of global oil
exports by 2025. 
The Iran Policy Committee believes it has an answer. In a policy paper
presented in Washington, the committee, composed of leading retired
military offices and national security experts, urged the Bush
administration to drop the idea of a military strike against Iran. 
Instead, the panel called for Washington to pursue regime change in
Teheran while increasing economic pressure on Iran. The pressure could
include a U.S. naval blockade on Iranian exports leaving the Straits. 









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