[Excerpt: The G7 is made up of the United States, Britain, Canada,
France, Germany, Italy and Japan....Record oil prices, which have risen
about 50 percent over the past 12 months, and China's rigid currency peg
to the dollar are frequently cited as two of the biggest risks to world
economic stability.]

Group of Seven Frets About Oil, China
Sat Apr 16, 2005 10:46 AM ET

By Chisa Fujioka

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Finance chiefs from the Group of Seven economic
powers met on Saturday to discuss two of the global economic concerns
over which they have least control -- high oil prices and China's fixed
currency peg.

Increasingly aware of the group's ebbing influence amid shifting world
economic power toward developing giants such as China, India, Brazil and
Russia, many G7 officials said the world may simply have to adapt to
higher oil prices.

The United States, meanwhile, lobbied G7 members to urge China to allow
its currency to rise against the dollar -- ratcheting up pressure on
Beijing as the White House seeks answers for critics at home who say the
administration has been too soft on what they see as an effective export
subsidy.

Meeting in Washington for the second of four yearly meetings and against
a backdrop of increasingly jittery financial markets, the finance
ministers and central bank governors are due to release a statement
about 11 a.m. EDT.

The G7 is made up of the United States, Britain, Canada, France,
Germany, Italy and Japan.

Record oil prices, which have risen about 50 percent over the past 12
months, and China's rigid currency peg to the dollar are frequently
cited as two of the biggest risks to world economic stability.

U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow said on Friday the G7 was preparing
for an era of more costly energy and could handle recent increases that
have pushed prices over $58 a barrel.

Another G7 official said: "Concern is growing because it seems the
higher prices may not be out of line and are more permanent than was
thought."

"We have to prepare the world to live with oil prices at these levels,"
the official added.

With crude demand from the rapidly industrializing developing world one
of the drivers of higher energy costs and oil producing nations already
close to full production, the G7 may look at ways of simply mitigating
the impact.

The need for better data on crude production and stockpiles is likely to
be re-emphasized, officials said, along with an increased focus on
conservation, alternative energy sources and improvements in industrial
productivity.

The other big worry for the world economy, expected by the International
Monetary Fund to grow a still-robust 4.3 percent this year, is
international trade and financial imbalances.

The United States has run up balance of payments deficit with the rest
of the world set to top 6 percent of national income this year and
monthly trade gaps exceeding $60 billion.

CHINA'S FOREX PEG UNDER PRESSURE

Snow will come under pressure from some members to do more to cut the
U.S. budget deficit and lift household savings. But he will likely bat
these away by repeating a long-standing pledge to half the deficit while
applauding the Federal Reserve for gradually raising interest rates.

China's policy of keeping its exports cheap via fixing its yuan to the
dollar will generate more vigorous debate.

China has said it will eventually allow a more flexible exchange rate
but shows no signs of doing so soon. Its absence from the G7 table for
the first time in three gatherings, dampens hopes of greater engagement
with Beijing.

Snow said Washington feels China has had ample time to bolster its
banking sector to withstand a floating currency.

"They're there now," he said. "They've made enormous strides in fixing
the financial infrastructure. ... It's time for the Chinese to move to
flexible currency."

He echoed that message in bilateral meetings with France and Japan, a
senior Treasury official said.

Bank of Japan Governor Toshihiko Fukui sounded a slightly more cautious
note as Tokyo does not want any precipitous action that could
destabilize its Asian neighbor.

"It is not about simply pressuring China," Fukui said, saying any
discussion on the yuan should be broader-based. 

Many G7 sources say the closing communique on Saturday will merely
contain the usual call for currency flexibility, aimed chiefly at China
but not mentioning it by name.

There was palpable concern in financial markets as the G7 members
gathered. Economic worries, mainly centered on the impact of higher oil
prices, sent the Dow Jones industrial average skidding 191.24 points to
end at 10,087.51 on Friday.

The G7 sessions lead into spring meetings of the 184-nation
International Monetary Fund and its sister lending institution, the
World Bank, on Saturday and Sunday.

The issue of debt relief for the world's poorest nations, a thorny patch
at the last G7 gathering in February when Britain and the United States
clashed about how to proceed, is expected to again throw off heat but
shed little light.

British officials said they want to see progress in hopes of scoring a
final deal by June, when leaders of the G7 and Russia meet in
Gleneagles, Scotland. Britain, which holds the G7 presidency this year,
has declared 2005 a make-or-break year for Africa. (Additional reporting
by Glenn Somerville, Stefano Bernabei, Luke McCann, Gernot Heller, Swaha
Pattanaik, Sumeet Desai, Alister Bull)

© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved. 
enditem


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