http://www.usnews.com/usnews/news/articles/050509/9morocco.htm

5/9/05
The Casbah Connection
 
Why Morocco is producing some of the world's most feared terrorists 
By Thomas Omestad 
SIDI MOUMEN, MOROCCO--There is too much garbage around this shantytown
outside central Casablanca, and too little hope. This squalid
settlement was the home of 11 of the 12 suicide bombers who made their
way into the city two years ago and detonated their deadly charges in
five different places, killing 33 people, along with themselves. The
attacks stunned this North African kingdom on the western edge of the
Islamic world, a place that prides itself on showing a face of Islamic
tolerance and moderation--and on welcoming western tourists who want
to safely dip their toes into the exoticism of North Africa.

The attacks put that image at risk and raised alarms that Morocco was
suddenly facing an extremist onslaught. In response, the government
cracked down swiftly on suspected militants and accelerated political
reforms and other moves to curb Morocco's grinding poverty. But
despite official promises to yank out the roots of terror--eradicate
the slums and ease the problems of joblessness and illiteracy--not
much has improved for the 60,000 residents of Carriere Thomas, as this
part of Sidi Moumen is known. Some replacement housing is under
construction elsewhere, and the police maintain a heavier presence
than before. 

Veiled women still lug 5-liter jugs of water away from the communal
water tap. Sheep and the odd cow graze on rotting trash. Hunks of
metal and bricks hold down the corrugated metal roofs, and no one has
plumbing. Kids kick a soccer ball beside the small, green-and-white
mosque where some of the bombers prayed; it is now shut for good.
Residents complain of having to pay baksheesh to government officials,
of too little work and too much time on their hands. Nearby, the
bustle of Casablanca, the country's commercial center, with its
French-inspired architecture and chic nightspots, offers a jarring
counterpoint to their grim life here. 

It's no wonder one Moroccan official calls Carriere Thomas and places
like it "no man's land." Says Khaled Zerrouki, an unemployed
22-year-old man: "Nothing has changed. . . . They [high officials]
know how to build their big villas but not housing for the poor. I'm
boiling."
Zerrouki and several other young men gather under a mural of a
Moroccan village with a picturesque casbah, the kind the tourists like
to visit. Rashid, 36, works part time in a textile factory. Asked
about his hopes, he laughs bitterly, referring to the thousands of his
countrymen who have already left Morocco for Europe: "We all want to
leave. 

If I have an opportunity to go, even illegally, I will."
Government officials concede that extremists still inhabit the slums,
where some 10 percent of Morocco's 32 million people live. However,
the young here, speaking with a visitor under the watchful eyes of
police, say they haven't seen any of the terrorist recruiters who used
to play soccer with the Casablanca bombers and who spun visions of
paradise for the would-be martyrs. But not all of the answers from the
shantytown are reassuring. Recruiters or not, the disillusionment is
such that it's not hard to see a potential breeding ground for
terrorists. "When the bad people came," says Abdelrazak Khoudri, 20,
who is jobless, "they could have brainwashed any one of us."
In the shadows. Morocco's shantytowns, or bidonvilles , seem to be
producing terrorists who seek to wreak havoc across Europe--from the
Netherlands and Belgium to France and Spain. Most Moroccans in Western
Europe live peaceably, but their reputation as reliable workers and
stout family men has lent cover to a lethal few to range across
Europe's open borders. 

A shadowy group linked to al Qaeda operates disparate cells under the
banner of the Moroccan Islamic Combatant Group, a network thought
responsible for the bombings both in Casablanca on May 16, 2003, and
at Madrid's Atocha Station on March 11, 2004. The Madrid attacks left
191 people dead and 1,500 wounded; most of the suspects are Moroccan.
In France, 13 more Moroccans were arrested last year as alleged
members of Islamic terrorist groups. In Belgium, most of the terror
suspects nabbed in the past two years have come from that country's
Moroccan community. In the Netherlands, men of Moroccan origin await
trial for the murder of Dutch filmmaker Theo van Gogh, a descendant of
the famed painter, and for plotting other attacks.

The problem is big--and may be getting bigger. Spain's leading
antiterrorism judge, Baltasar Garzon, has declared the Morocco
connection "the gravest problem Europe faces today with this kind of
terrorism." As many as 1,000 al Qaeda followers and 100 terrorist
cells may have burrowed into Morocco, Garzon estimates. Authorities in
the Moroccan capital, Rabat, cannot locate 400 veterans of al Qaeda
training camps in Afghanistan, and they have placed some 2,000 people
under antiterror surveillance. A senior European counterterrorism
official calls Morocco "the priority country" for sharing
intelligence. Adds a senior Bush administration official, "Extremism
has deep roots in Morocco."
This is the Moroccan conundrum: Why has such a hospitable society
spawned so many jihadists willing to kill and die for an ideology
almost universally condemned here as un-Moroccan?

The stakes in Morocco are high--and not only for the stability of a
U.S. ally and a force for moderation in the Arab and Islamic worlds.
President Bush's foreign policy emphasizes counterterrorism and
democratization--and both roads run straight through Morocco. Moroccan
and U.S. officials alike describe their counterterrorism coordination
as superb--" among the best," in the words of one American expert. The
Bush administration has singled out Morocco and its young monarch as
exemplars of the reforms it is promoting in the Middle East and North
Africa. In the past year, Washington picked Morocco for its first
free-trade pact in Africa, elevated it to a major non-NATO ally,
encouraged Rabat to host the first regional forum on democratic
reform, and made it the only additional country eligible for a pot of
aid called the Millennium Challenge Account. Says a senior U.S.
official: "We put Rabat as a model."

Combustible mix. It is a model, however, that is at risk both from the
small cells of violent extremists and from a larger segment of
Moroccans now gravitating toward Islamist politics. Some outside
analysts see a combustible mix in Morocco's poverty, its lack of full
democracy, and the lure of Islamist ideas. "When you connect all these
dots," says John Entelis, director of Middle East studies at Fordham
University, "you see a picture of violence and possible terrorism." A
senior U.S. official warns against complacency. He likens the Moroccan
bidonvilles to "dry timber . . . where a match could light a
conflagration," adding, "An uneducated, unemployed young male is a
great recruiting ground for anyone with a radical message."

Moroccan officials are, by contrast, more sanguine. They have gutted
most of the radicals' capacity for waging attacks, they say, but
remain watchful. Annoyed by suggestions that Moroccans have been
unusually active in terrorism, they emphasize the role of outsiders in
provoking the Casablanca suicide bombings and funding extremist
activities. Many of the Moroccan terror suspects arrested in Europe,
these officials insist, are emigrants. 

"Islam in Morocco," says Justice Minister Mohamed Bouzoubaa, "stands
for tolerance and dialogue." His colleague, Interior Minister El
Mostafa Sahel, agrees. "Terrorism is global," he says. "It has no
religion, no nationality."
That hasn't prevented American officials from keeping a close eye on
Morocco, however. The FBI has opened an office in Rabat, and
collaboration with Washington, Sahel says vaguely, "has probably
prevented some things." Many officials play down the Moroccan
connection with terrorism, but a certain frankness is spreading in
Rabat. "Moroccans are involved in lots of attacks around the world.
I'm not one who says there is nothing wrong," says Mohamed El Gahs, an
outspoken Socialist who is the deputy youth minister. "There is a
terrorist ideology that is here, and that does present a threat."
That, of course, is not the official view. 

Bouzoubaa says flatly, "According to our information, all extremist
groups have been dismantled." Sahel confides that security forces
recently "have not detected any threats or actions against any
target." Such confidence may reflect the scope of the crackdown
conducted here since the Casablanca bombings. Between 5,000 and 7,000
suspects were detained, and about 1,500 were convicted of
terror-related offenses, according to outside experts and human rights
groups. Officials cite lower figures: about 2,000 arrested, 700
convicted, and 300 or so still in prison. Certainly, the initial fears
of a terrorist onslaught have passed. "Now, we are almost in a normal
situation," assures Serge Berdugo, the leader of Morocco's Jewish
community, as he shows off a refurbished Jewish club in Casablanca
that was hit by three suicide bombers.

U.S. officials, however, believe terrorists are still hiding in
Morocco. Last year, McDonald's restaurants in Morocco were considered
possible targets, according to intelligence received by U.S.
officials. Concern also centered on western hotels. A Moroccan
security guard assigned to the U.S. Embassy was found to be reporting
the movements of American diplomats to radical Muslim groups. One
senior Moroccan police official recently confirmed that some of the
arrested terror suspects possessed explosives. But the official added
that 44 cells of radical Muslim fundamentalists, known as Salafists,
have been dismantled.

Islamic rule. The Moroccan Islamic Combatant Group is an operational
offshoot of a larger ideological movement known as Salafia Jihadia,
say U.S. and European officials and Moroccan terrorism specialists.
Salafia Jihadia's Moroccan branch was established in the mid-1990s,
fueled by radical Islamist ideas and by money and manpower from Saudi
Arabia and other Persian Gulf nations. The organization seeks to bring
down the monarchy in favor of a caliphate, or Islamic rule. Cells of
the organization persist, though its leader is now in prison.

The Combatant Group had formed by 1995 around a nucleus of Moroccan
veterans of terrorist training camps in Afghanistan. Some of its
members are believed to have fought in Bosnia, Chechnya, and
Afghanistan. Morocco's government, ironically, may have fostered the
radicalization of the group by facilitating the dispatch of volunteers
to Afghanistan in the 1980s to fight the Soviet occupation--and by
encouraging certain fundamentalist activities at home to thwart the
monarchy's foes on the left and in other Islamist organizations. The
membership of the Combatant Group is believed to number in the dozens.
European and U.S. officials say members speak multiple European
languages and have probably concealed travel between Morocco and
Europe by joining with other illegal migrants. 

Some have raised funds through petty criminal activity, including the
sale of hashish.
The Combatant Group didn't start out as part of al Qaeda, but
officials say there has been coordination, and Combatant Group members
are believed to view Osama bin Laden as an inspirational leader. Al
Qaeda representatives took part in a planning session in Istanbul in
February 2002 that may have paved the way for the Casablanca bombings.
In February 2003, three months before those attacks, bin Laden vowed
to punish Morocco for helping Washington against al Qaeda. The
previous year, an al Qaeda sleeper cell of Saudis was unearthed in
Morocco. The Saudis were convicted of plotting to strike NATO warships
transiting the Strait of Gibraltar.

Disillusioned. Morocco's efforts in the aftermath of the Casablanca
bombings to diminish poverty, tighten state oversight of Islam, and
speed up political and social reforms suggest what officials here
believe are the triggers for militancy. Contrary to the impression a
tourist gets from glam-packed Marrakech and the Atlantic and
Mediterranean seascapes, Morocco is a seriously underdeveloped
country. Urban unemployment is well above 20 percent, with one third
of the burgeoning population of young men jobless. In Marrakech, a
college economics major discusses his bleak job prospects. "The
future," says Adil Nasser, 23, "looks ever more gloomy." In Rabat,
several unemployed activists have threatened to immolate themselves.
In Casablanca, the view of impoverished enclaves is obscured by "walls
of shame," as some call them. Not far away, the wealthy live in walled
compounds of their own in a district called Anfa, where the
million-dollar homes would fit comfortably in, say, Beverly Hills.


Bidonville s sprout up along the edges of many Moroccan cities. One,
called Oulad M'Taa, lies along the train tracks linking Rabat and
Casablanca. There, chickens peck at the fetid garbage strewn near the
tightly clustered hovels. Rail commuters roar by with barely a glance.
In the arid countryside, jobs are even scarcer. In the oasis towns of
the northern reaches of the Sahara, young men linger by the roadside
in the hope that motorists will stop and buy a box of dates. Few do.
Illiteracy is a scourge, affecting half of adults. Less than 20
percent of rural women can read. Social indicators like infant
mortality and education rank among the lowest in the region.

 Government officials in Rabat say they're making progress, but
poverty and joblessness still drive migration to the bigger cities and
to Europe. By the Strait of Gibraltar, Moroccans have been known to
mark time just gazing at Spain, 8 miles away and tantalizingly visible
on a clear day. "There are many young people ready to commit suicide
around the Mediterranean," says Nadia Yassine, an organizer of a
leading Islamist movement. She is referring both to those chancing the
hazardous boat trip to Europe and those intent on joining terrorist
groups. "You know the profile of our young people: no future, no
prospects, no hope."

Not so, counters Abderrahim Harouchi, the minister of social
development. The Casablanca bombings, he says, were "a real wake-up
call." The government, he points out, now channels more money into
welfare and slum clearance. A goal is to build 100,000 new housing
units every year. Many who live in the bidonvilles, however, say they
can't afford the new apartments--when they are available--even with
their heavily subsidized prices.

Moroccan officials say the new housing and other improvements are
already undercutting the appeal of extremism. In a slum called Al
Qaria, a few miles from Rabat, the government has begun neighborhood
cleanup efforts, brought in electricity, opened a community center,
and increased the number of literacy and health programs. A day after
visiting Al Qaria, a former hotbed of militancy, Harouchi told U.S.
News , "We've seen a very, very big change. . . . Government has
regained the trust of the people."

Rejection. The government's efforts to lift the poor--and boost its
own credibility with them--are complicated by a revival of Moroccans'
Islamic faith. After centuries of engagement with the West, Morocco
has earned a reputation as a haven for a live-and-let-live approach to
Islam. Liquor is sold. Betting is legal. 

In Rabat, women in stylish European dresses stroll with female friends
covered nearly head to toe in abayas. In Marrakech, Club Med lies just
down the street from the revered Koutoubia mosque, where nonbelievers
are barred from entering. This is where the casbah--or at least parts
of it--really does rock.
Exposure to western lifestyles, however, seems to be stirring a
conservative reaction among many Moroccans: A modernity so visible and
yet unattainable breeds frustration. In some parts of Tangier, a port
city long accustomed to Europeans, women in western-style dress can
expect to be hassled; before the Casablanca bombings, some residents
dubbed the self-appointed enforcers of proper attire "the Taliban."
"The attitude is, 'If modernity is rejecting me,' " says El Gahs, the
deputy youth minister, " 'I'll reject it.' "

The sense of alienation reaches even Moroccans living in Europe,
where, having escaped Morocco's punishing poverty, many complain of
feeling like cultural outcasts in their new homes. William Zartman of
Johns Hopkins University, the dean of Morocco watchers in the United
States, refers to this as the "double-rejection phenomenon." In Europe
or back home, resentment generates conservatism in many--and a will to
kill in a few. Says Mustapha Ramid, the parliamentary leader for the
only legal Islamist opposition in Morocco, the Party of Justice and
Development, "Part of society is coming back to Islamic values, some
in moderation, some with extremism."

Signs of conservative Islamic values, including the use of the veil,
are growing. At one French-owned textile factory, more than 95 percent
of the 2,500 female workers cover up; 10 years ago, only 20 percent
did. Young women in high school and college are opting for the veil
more than in the past, dismaying their feminist instructors. The
reasons, though, are complex. A few use the veil as a form of teenage
rebellion. But Islam experts say many women don the veil to maneuver
more freely in a male-dominated society. Explains Mohamed Tozy, a
political scientist: "It's a means to make men accept the proximity of
women."

All this cultural ferment, unsurprisingly, has been a boon for
Morocco's Islamists. The Party of Justice and Development promotes
what it calls Islamic values but insists that it is not a religious
party. Rather, the party cultivates an image as corruption fighters
who speak for ordinary Moroccans. It has avoided closure by accepting
the king's formal roles as "Commander of the Faithful" and as
sovereign. Many of its members favor the adoption of sharia , or
Islamic law. Most political analysts believe that if the party is
allowed to freely vie for legislative seats, it will prevail in the
next elections, in 2007, and they worry about what would happen then.
"If they gain power, they'll implement whatever they want," says
sociologist Mohammed El Ayadi of Hassan II University in Casablanca.
"They're not democrats."

"A true enemy." Another leading Islamist force is tolerated by the
government but barred from politics. Justice and Spirituality, a
movement that doles out fundamentalism along with largess to the poor,
has a large following. The movement's founder, Abdessalam Yassine,
spent years in jail and remains under surveillance. His daughter,
Nadia Yassine, is an urbane author and movement activist who says
Justice and Spirituality wants Morocco to become a republic with
freely competing parties--without a king. "The power sees in us a true
enemy," Yassine says. "The monarchy is not legitimate. . . . Islam is
the nearest system to democracy."

Like Islamist movements elsewhere in the Middle East, those in Morocco
have drawn succor from the groundswell of anger over the Bush
administration's policies and actions. The invasion of Iraq and U.S.
support for Israel are as deeply unpopular here as they are elsewhere
in the region. Last year, the Washington-based Pew Research Center
found that only 27 percent of Moroccans viewed the United States
favorably. More worrisome, 66 percent felt suicide bombings against
Americans and westerners in Iraq were justifiable. Jews were viewed
unfavorably by 92 percent. And 45 percent of Moroccans saw Osama bin
Laden in a favorable light. An important Wahhabi figure in Marrakech,
Sheik Abderrahmane Maghraoui, wrote a manifesto condemning the
Casablanca bombings as un-Islamic. During a conversation in his
spartan prayer room, however, he was asked his opinion of bin Laden
and responded by saying only that the al Qaeda leader lacked religious
credentials.

Islamist groups here have connected with the poor by providing
material help where the government has proved ineffectual. Food is
handed out to break the Ramadan fast, and access to lawyers is
arranged at little or no cost. An Islamist fixer presents a Rabat eye
doctor with a list of people whose medical bills will be covered, no
questions asked. The costs of a funeral and food for grieving guests
are paid for. The Islamists sponsor women's sports clubs and extra
classes in science and English for high school boys--a hard-line dose
of religious and political perspective included.

Many Moroccans, however, blanch at more ominous encounters--vigilantes
stopping couples holding hands and demanding to know whether they are
married; acid splattered on unveiled women; drunks beaten; vandalism
against liquor outlets. Islamist CD s and cassette tapes in
Casablanca's black market spew hate-filled sermons about Americans and
Jews. In the city of Fez, a man authorities described as a deranged
former drug user jumped a family of French tourists by a mosque in the
medina in February, knifing to death a teenage boy and wounding his
mother. Just five days earlier, U.S. News has learned, the same man
visited the home of an American Arabic-language student to do
carpentry work. The man tried to convert the student to Islam, and the
anxious student played along by pretending to convert. Even as an
isolated incident, the Fez murder sent jitters through Morocco's
tourism sector.

Resistance. Since the Casablanca bombings, the government's tough
stance has emboldened some Moroccans to confront overly assertive
Islamists. In Fez, a woman now styles her hair flamboyantly just to
taunt conservative men in the medina. Says her friend, who describes
herself as devout: "It's good they're suppressing these
fundamentalists. They're trying to take away our religion." Another
woman in Fez quit a literacy class run by Islamists to take one
offered by the government. After the bombings, explained the woman's
daughter, Majida Satori, 26, "that school had a bad reputation. They
teach hate and intolerance."

As police continue to search for militants, the king has been
squeezing broader groups of Islamists--at the ballot box, in their
homes, and at the mosques. "He has managed to pin down the Islamists,"
says Moha Ennaji, a university professor in Fez. "We don't feel
stifled by the threat now. 

After [the bombings], we were scared." After Morocco conducted what
were deemed as free and fair parliamentary elections in 2002, the
Party of Justice and Democracy was told by the Interior Ministry to
tone down inflammatory rhetoric and to limit its participation in
local races in 2003. Interior officials deny that. The talks, party
leaders say, were not unfriendly, but the message was firm. "We know
that behind this courtesy," says Mohamed Yatim, a party lawmaker, "is
the baton."
Perhaps the greatest weapon the government has in curbing the
Islamists is the king, Mohammed VI. In successfully pushing for a law
bolstering women's rights, for instance, he trumped Islamist
opposition by exactingly justifying each and every change with the
Koran or the teachings of the prophet Muhammad. 

The new code grants women near equality in divorce and child custody.
Women under age 18 are generally barred from marrying, and polygamy is
now nearly impossible. The king's break from the repressive rule of
his father, King Hassan II, was formalized with the creation of a
reconciliation commission, which broadcast cathartic testimony from
people whose family members had "disappeared" under the old regime. It
is the first such public reckoning in the Arab world, but some fear
the fallout from the current war on terrorism. Many of those jailed
are innocent, say human rights activists, and allegations of
torture--though officially denied--have been given credence by Human
Rights Watch and the U.S. government. Mohamed Darif, a specialist on
Islamist movements at Hassan II University, predicts a backlash,
saying many detainees "will come out very radicalized and dangerous."

The king has also tapped his religious authority to rein in Morocco's
preachers. Dozens of informal "garage mosques," where extremists met,
have been closed. The king revamped the "Ulema Councils" of religious
authorities to clamp down on what is taught--and reverse some of the
radical Wahhabist inroads made over the years. "One of our
priorities," explains Andre Azoulay, a royal adviser, "is to fill the
ideological gap, to reoccupy the ground taken by the fundamentalists."
That sort of thinking offers hope. Defeating terrorism will demand
much more than scouring the dark corners of Moroccan society for
militants. Morocco's discontents run too deep, and, for now, the
ticking goes on. Despite some progress in the slums, concedes Azoulay,
"we are running against the clock." The question is whether the
Moroccans have enough time to stop the next wave of angry young men.







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