http://www.geostrategy-direct.com/



Saddam's WMD: Under the layers of deception, the facts were nowhere to
be found 

 

"There was evidence of a discussion of possible WMD collaboration
initiated by a Syrian security officer, and ISG received information
about movement of material out of Iraq, including the possibility that
WMD was involved." 
 
Charles Duelfer
�  Affiliation: special adviser to the CIA on Iraqi WMD 
�  Whereabouts: Washington, D.C. 
Layers of Iraqi deception: In Saddam's world, no rewards for
truthfulness Charles Duelfer has completed his report on Iraqi weapons
of mass destruction, and the report marks an indictment of U.S.
intelligence. 
Duelfer ran the Iraq Survey Group that for 18 months sought and failed
to find Iraqi WMD systems. The ISG was not lacking in manpower. It had
1,200 Australian, British and American experts. But what it lacked was
expertise, follow-up organization and drive. 
The result was a final report by the ISG that included a great deal of
testimony on Iraqi missile and WMD programs with almost no material
evidence. Duelfer said the ISG was hampered by frequent staff
turnover, a Sunni insurgency war that severely limited inspections and
experts who understood little of Iraq and the people they were
debriefing. 
The result: ISG found two chemical weapons. The first was a sarin
mortar shell used as an improvised explosive device. The second was a
handful of 122-mm rocket warheads filled with inert mustard gas. 
But what the ISG found contradicted the long-held assumptions of the
U.S. intelligence community. Iraq and Syria were enemies for decades,
but once Saddam Hussein was threatened by the United States he quickly
made peace with his western neighbor. Soon afterwards the two
countries became the closest of allies - so close, that Iraq discussed
the transfer of WMD and scientists to Damascus in case of a U.S.
invasion. 
"Whether Syria received military items from Iraq for safekeeping or
other reasons has yet to be determined," the ISG addendum released
last week said. "There was evidence of a discussion of possible WMD
collaboration initiated by a Syrian security officer, and ISG received
information about movement of material out of Iraq, including the
possibility that WMD was involved. In the judgment of the working
group, these reports were sufficiently credible to merit further
investigation." 
Duelfer said the ISG did not obtain information on a WMD transfer to
Syria from debriefing Iraqis. Indeed, they uniformly denied any
knowledge of residual WMD that could have been secreted to Syria. 
"Based on the evidence available at present, ISG judged that it was
unlikely that an official transfer of WMD material from Iraq to Syria
took place," the report said. "However, ISG was unable to rule out
unofficial movement of limited WMD-related materials." 
 

Charles Duelfer, shown testifying before Congress, Nov. 17, 2004, led
the Iraq Survey Group that scoured Iraq for weapons of mass destruction. 
 
And there lies the Iraq's biggest secret. Most of the regime's
activities were unofficial, with even Saddam Hussein kept in the dark. 
Secret programs were financed, failures were concealed and lies were
told at the highest levels. Everybody was scared of Saddam's wrath,
which could result in imprisonment at best and torture and execution
at worst. 
But ISG debriefers could rarely get beyond these axioms. As Duelfer
himself reported, high-level Saddam aides couldn't have poured their
secrets out even if they wanted to. ISG personnel came and went so
quickly that no relationships could be formed with detainees.
Sometimes, an ISG expert would only stay for one month. 
"Not knowing the details of previous debriefs, new debriefers and SMEs
[subject matter experts] often asked detainees to retrace ground
already covered," the report said. "This had two unfortunate results.
First, the detainees became quite familiar with the type of
information we wanted and as a result, developed a 'party line' -
blaming everything on Husayn Kamil or Qusay Hussein. Second, they
failed to develop, or lost, respect for the debriefers," the report
stated. 
"For example, if the detainee's discussion wandered into topics of
strategic or political nature, many debriefers would cut the
digression short and redirect the detainee back to the more specific
tactical focus of the written SDR, potentially losing significant
information about the nature and operations of the regime," the report
added. 
What is clear is that Syria was always considered an option for the
safekeeping of Iraqi WMD. The report said Saddam's son, Qusay, was
dealing with the option of transferring Iraqi WMD assets about a year
before the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. The first job was to protect
Iraqi scientists, particularly those dealing with biological weapons
research. 
"In early 2002, Qusay asked [Iraqi military procurement chief Abdul Al
Tawab Al Mullah] Huwaysh to compile a list of Iraqi BW experts that
Qusay intended to pass to Syria," the report said. 
During his interrogation, Huwaysh and another senior official, Amir Al
Saadi, assessed that Iraqi WMD scientists were not sent to Syria. Al
Saadi ventured that Syria, fearing discovery by Israeli intelligence,
would never agree to such cooperation. 
But ISG experts failed to move beyond the initial testimony to
understand the relations between officials and how the Saddam regime
worked. 
Duelfer, a longtime government official involved in the Middle East,
understood. But he did not have the required help. 
"Saddam did not lead by espousing detailed goals and objectives," the
report said. "He tended to allow ideas to float up and he would
consider them �often never pronouncing on them one way or the other.
This meant that much guidance to the government was implicit rather
than explicit. For investigators, a consequence is that forensic
evidence of presidential direction may not exist, but it does not mean
that such guidance was not there, but simply that we cannot see it in
the usual ways." 
Duelfer's conclusions mark the challenge that regimes such as Saddam's
as well as those in Iran, Libya, North Korea and Syria pose to the
United States. There is no paper trail in these government
bureaucracies and no clear orders of policies. Leaders spend most of
their time concealing their agenda, rather than explaining it. 
At one point, an Iraqi minister asked a U.S. official why the U.S. Air
Force was always attacking Iraqi buildings. Saddam would simply order
the removal of equipment from these structures and they would
disappear into homes or underground installations. U.S. intelligence
still saw the sign on the government building, but it no longer had
any value to the regime. 
"This method of management makes interpreting their descriptions of
the inner workings of regime figures very difficult," the report said.
"They often did not know the truth. Hence, when they would describe
something that is wrong, it is difficult or impossible to know if they
are purposely dissembling. ISG investigators suffered some of the same
problems as Saddam; not knowing if senior advisors are telling the
truth, or leaving out important facts." 







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