http://www.townhall.com/columnists/robertnovak/printrn20050627.shtml

No, not Gonzales!

Robert Novak (archive)

June 27, 2005

WASHINGTON -- It was not merely a leak from the normally leak-proof Bush 
White House. For more than a week, a veritable torrent has tipped 
Attorney General Alberto Gonzales as President Bush's first nomination 
to the U.S. Supreme Court. It has sent the conservative movement into 
spasms of fear and loathing.

Gonzales long has been unacceptable to anti-abortion activists because 
of his record as a Texas Supreme Court justice. Beyond pro-lifers, he is 
opposed by organized conservative lawyers. Ironically, the same Bush 
supporters who have been raising money and devising tactics for the 
mother of all judicial confirmation fights are in a panic that Gonzales 
will be named. With the president's popularity falling among his 
conservative base as well as the general populace, a politically 
disastrous moment may be at hand.

The president will have to act quickly if the high court's current 
session ends today [Monday] with a resignation. Justice Sandra Day 
O'Connor now is considered more likely to quit than ailing Chief Justice 
William Rehnquist. White House leaks describe Gonzales as the leading 
prospect for either vacancy. That creates a situation filled with irony, 
contradictions and questions.

For example, why the torrent of Gonzales leaks from a White House 
extraordinarily adept at holding back the president's intended 
nominations? It looks like a trial balloon, but there are also 
suspicions that Gonzales's name has been floated by critics in order to 
shoot him down.

If opposition to abortion is Bush's pre-eminent social conservative 
position, Gonzales is a most improbable choice. He could not bring 
himself to support parental notification on the Texas Supreme Court. 
While he professes to be anti-abortion, he maintains Roe v. Wade is 
inviolable -- a judicial version of John Kerry's formulation.

Conservatives fear Gonzales will be another in a long line of Supreme 
Court justices who have proved more liberal than the president who 
appointed them expected -- John Paul Stevens, Sandra Day O'Connor, 
Anthony Kennedy, David Souter. That is a view widely held inside the 
White House, but not by the occupant who counts most. George W. Bush 
loves Al Gonzales and would like his former chief counsel to head a 
"Gonzales Court."

Since Gonzales was confirmed as attorney general after a nasty debate 
over treatment of terrorist detainees, the argument he would be 
confirmed more easily than other prospects might seem dubious. But 
Senate Democrats may have expunged anti-Gonzales bile from their system 
and be willing to support somebody who is markedly less conservative 
than any other nominee.

Indeed, all other possibilities are conservative. They face trouble from 
Democratic senators who have led the campaign to block Bush's judicial 
nominees. Three of them, Sens. Edward M. Kennedy, Patrick Leahy and 
Charles Schumer, went on the Senate floor last Thursday morning to issue 
a virtual ultimatum. Underneath restrained rhetoric, they were telling 
the president: name justices acceptable to us or face a bitter battle. 
Gonzales might be the most acceptable name mentioned.

The White House has sent word that two favorites of the conservative 
movement -- Appellate Judge J. Harvie Wilkinson (4th Circuit, Richmond, 
Va.) and former Solicitor General Theodore Olson -- are ineligible 
because they are over 60. The two current favorites are Appellate Judges 
John Roberts (D.C. Circuit) and J. Michael Luttig (4th Circuit).

But sources report Rehnquist is not ready to resign and that O'Connor is 
readying the way for a return to Arizona with her invalid husband. While 
Bush would consider replacing one of the court's two women with its 
first Hispanic justice, neither Roberts nor Luttig for O'Connor would be 
politically correct.

Accordingly, White House judge-hunters are looking for a woman. They 
have interviewed Appellate Judge Edith Brown Clement (5th Circuit, New 
Orleans), a conservative who flies under the radar. She was confirmed as 
a Louisiana district judge in 1991, seven weeks after her nomination by 
the first President Bush, and was confirmed as an appellate judge in 
2001, two and a half months after George W. Bush named her.

Clement would be subject to far more scrutiny as a Supreme Court 
nominee. So would any other conservative named by Bush, though Democrats 
may have exhausted scrutinizing Gonzales. The president must choose 
between a fierce confirmation fight or the alienation of his political base.

-- 




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