"Barnett sits on a consulting panel to U.S. Special Operations
Command, regularly briefs senior military leaders and politicians, and
is firmly convinced that, with the Iraq occupation in mind, the
Pentagon finally is listening to him and other strategists who believe
the military knows how to win a war, but not the peace that follows."

"On one side of the screen, Barnett places �your dad�s 
military� � the
shock-and-awe portion of the show � bombers, tanks and submarines.

On the other side is �your mom�s military� � the 
peacekeeping,
nation-building stuff the Pentagon has wanted nothing to do with for
decades. There is a bit of a murmur in the audience when Barnett
clicks and gives mom the tough-guy Marines and part of Special
Operations Command."

After almost 1800 fatalities in "pacified" Iraq, SOMEBODY ought to be
listening...

David Bier


http://www.defensenews.com/story.php?F=985598&C=america

Posted 07/25/05 15:33    Print-friendly version
Forward Thinking
Strategist�s Vision for the Military Prompts Leaders To Take Different
View

By GORDON TROWBRIDGE, NEWPORT, R.I.

It gets quiet when the World�s Greatest Briefer picks up his clicker.
But more than an hour in, some in the audience shift uncomfortably as
Thomas P.M. Barnett, PowerPoint master and best-selling author, begins
moving pieces of the U.S. military around.

On one side of the screen, Barnett places �your dad�s 
military� � the
shock-and-awe portion of the show � bombers, tanks and submarines.

On the other side is �your mom�s military� � the 
peacekeeping,
nation-building stuff the Pentagon has wanted nothing to do with for
decades. There is a bit of a murmur in the audience when Barnett
clicks and gives mom the tough-guy Marines and part of Special
Operations Command.

It�s one of the ways the hottest thinker in military strategy would
reorder the U.S. defense establishment, according to a unified theory
of war in the 21st century that involves everything from high-tech
weapons to the price of oil and computer chips.

Barnett�s vision, laid out in �The Pentagon�s New 
Map,� a 2004 best
seller, would � if made real � bring huge change to the U.S. 
military
and the men and women in it.

The tall Wisconsin native, a former Naval War College professor, seeks
to join the ranks of thinkers who, by the force of their theories,
changed the world � or at least the military part of it.

And while drawing the link between Barnett�s abstractions and
real-world policy is difficult, his sweeping ideas are having an impact.

�The interesting thing to me is how many people at the colonel or
lieutenant colonel or captain level, the commander level, have picked
up the book,� says Hank Gaffney, a strategy analyst at the Center for
Naval Analyses who supervised much of Barnett�s early research. 
�It is
remarkable how many people � have some familiarity with it.�

Barnett sits on a consulting panel to U.S. Special Operations Command,
regularly briefs senior military leaders and politicians, and is
firmly convinced that, with the Iraq occupation in mind, the Pentagon
finally is listening to him and other strategists who believe the
military knows how to win a war, but not the peace that follows.

With his follow-up book scheduled for release this fall and a
high-profile writing job for Esquire magazine, Barnett has a
burgeoning career as an entrepreneur of ideas.

He portrays his mission in near-religious terms.

�[We] bring people in who feel themselves drawn to this kind of view
of the world,� Barnett says during a break from a two-day war game in
May sponsored by his consulting firm.

�We give them a communal experience to solidify their belief in it,
and we send them out as disciples, to do good.�

Fighting in the �Gap�

Barnett�s career is almost entirely within the military-analytical
complex: Naval War College, Office of the Secretary of Defense, Center
for Naval Analyses. The centerpiece of his ideas, however, is not
bullets and bombs. It�s money � or, more accurately, the spread of
economic globalization.

Barnett splits the world in two:

• A �Functioning Core� of nations, fully plugged into the global 
economy.

• A �Non-Integrating Gap,� countries unwilling or unable to 
follow suit.

The first group includes a stalwart �Old Core� of the United 
States,
Western Europe and Japan, and emerging core states such as China,
India and Brazil. The Gap is a mix of theocracies, dictatorships,
die-hard communists and failed states.

The Gap, Barnett says, is where the U.S. military does almost all of
its business, where the vast majority of military responses to crises
since the end of the Cold War have occurred.

�This,� he writes, �is the expeditionary theater for the 
U.S. military
in the 21st century.�

That�s where things get interesting for those in the military. Barnett
contends the United States must maintain its dominance in traditional
military terms � remain, to use his term, the �leviathan.�

What�s missing is a force to cope with what comes after a war, for
example, with the occupation of Iraq. Borrowing a term from computer
networking, Barnett calls this the �system administrator� force.

If the leviathan is for winning wars, he says, the SysAdmin wins the
peace.

Finding ready listeners in Iraq, Barnett says, vividly demonstrates
the need to establish such a force.

At the May war game, before an audience of 40 or so officers, defense
contractors and academics, he outlines a new �SysAdmin 
Department,�
divvying up the current Defense Department.

In his view, expecting soldiers and Marines trained for combat to
become peacekeepers and rebuilding experts is folly.

�It�s time to admit that you can�t have the same 
19-year-old kid doing
all these things,� he says.

But this is not an argument calculated to curry favor with large parts
of the defense establishment. Money that the services and contractors
want spent on countering, say, China, would instead go to creating a
peacekeeping stability force. Big wars are seen as nearly obsolete,
replaced by many smaller, murkier missions.

�A lot of people just don�t want to hear this,� he says.

But a lot of people are listening � and many of them in uniform.

Twice, for example, Barnett has briefed the Air Force�s Senior Leader
Orientation Course for newly minted general officers and senior civilians.

Brig. Gen. Richard Hassan, head of the Air Force Senior Leader
Management Office, calls the briefings a step toward getting the
service�s leaders to think about more than just the Air Force, or even
just the military. Hassan was at Barnett�s May war game.

Richard Berklund, a retired Army major who studies strategic futures
at U.S. Joint Forces Command, asked for a copy of Barnett�s PowerPoint
slides the first time he saw the brief.

�A view � perhaps not the view,� is how Berklund, who 
spent much of
his career in special operations, describes Barnett�s work. �My
initial response was the usual military guy�s reaction to calls for
huge changes in the force structure he grew up in.�

After seeing the presentation twice, Berklund says he admires much of
Barnett�s approach, and that many others in the special operations
community do, as well.

The follow-up to �The Pentagon�s New Map,� due in October, 
is likely
to intensify the debate.

Barnett describes the first book as largely looking backward � how we
got to today�s situation.

But the Pentagon, he says, is already arguing over the post-Iraq
military; what it will look like, how it will fight. The upcoming book
will largely be aimed at influencing that debate.

�The challenge of the second book � was to kind of stretch the
arguments further,� he says. �It�s not enough to just 
offer a
diagnostic of what led up to Afghanistan and Iraq.

�Why I wanted to write the second book is to make sure I was pushing
the envelope, to continue to stay just on the edge of plausibility,
where people say, �God, that�s never going to 
happen.��

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