"...the agreed final text is neither agreed nor final."

http://www.debka.com/headline.php?hid=547

Iraqi constitution-drafters to meet Monday midnight deadline â€" minus
cardinal issues

August 15, 2005, 2:56 PM (GMT+02:00)

The 71-member panel promises an agreed text for the end of Monday,
Aug. 15, except for the thorniest issues that have been left
outstanding: the federal nature of the new republic (which faces firm
Sunni opposition) and civil and religious rights, particularly as
pertaining to gender equality. This means that the agreed final text
is neither agreed nor final.

But since calling a spade a spade would entail a national assembly
meeting to dissolve itself and call new general elections, the panel
members are doing their utmost to exhibit a commonly-agreed document
that can be put to referendum in mid-October.

The three outstanding issues are pretty fundamental:

1. The Kurds and the Shiite Muslims are pushing for maximum self-rule
in the northern and south of Iraq in a federal system that would
squeeze out the Sunnis of central Iraq.

2. The Shiites want the Sharia Islamic law code to be declared the
source of legislation, which the Kurds and Sunnis sharply oppose.

3. The Kurds and Sunnis favor full equality for women, which the
Shiites oppose.

On the highly sensitive issue of the distribution of oil resources,
the Kurds and Shiites have agreed on a simple share-out formula: Each
claims 60% of the oil revenues from its respective regional oil
fields, leaving 40% for central government. The Sunnis who are left
without provision naturally object to this clause.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that both the Kurds and the
Shiites are racing forward to turn their militias into national armies
â€" the Kurdish peshmerga and the Shiite Bader Organization commanded by
Gen. Hadi al-Ameri. At the same time, both are intent on preserving
central government in Baghdad both as their meeting point and to stand
guard over oil receipts.

Bereft of influence in the capital and denied promise of a share in
national oil wealth, the Sunni minority which ruled Iraq under Saddam
Hussein is hardly expected to accept these arrangements. Its rejection
will dim the Bush administration’s hopes of bringing the Sunnis into
Iraq’s mainstream political process and so weaning them away from
backing the guerrilla insurgency. 





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