"America's democratizing effort amounts to the establishment of a new
totalitarian theocracy (with a democratic veneer). The fall of Saddam
has benefited Tehran, not Washington."

"Iran has deployed 46 brigades near the Iraq border. These are
positioned to support Iraqi Shiites who want to form their own
Iranian-backed state. Meanwhile, Saudi military officers have been
defecting to the Iraq insurgency at the rate of 100 per month.
According to Geostrategy-direct.com, 6,000 Saudi nationals may have
already joined the anti-American side. Surviving fragments of Saddam's
army continue to fight the coalition (with Syrian support)."

"With as many as 150,000 fighters, the Iraq insurgency is building."

"A mighty chain of secrecy links enemy intelligence services to
mafias. In turn, criminal mafias are linked to American banks and
banks to businessmen and businessmen to politicians. In the end, the
great wheel of misguided policy is greased."

Interesting points: 46 Iranian brigades poised on their Iraq frontier,
large numbers of American-trained Saudi officers defecting to the Iraq
insurgency bringing knowledge of U.S. military tactics and a possible
high total of 150,000 insurgency fighters which means U.S. forces are
outnumbered.

Not a pretty picture this author paints. That last quote fits in
nicely with the recent revelations of a connection linking DeLay to
Saudi banker Saleh via the lobbyist Abramoff.  Saleh's bank is reputed
to be Bin Laden's bank of choice.

David Bier

http://www.financialsense.com/stormwatch/geo/pastanalysis/2005/0819.html

Weekly Column - 08.19.2005

THE IRAQ DIVERSION

by J. R. Nyquist

The defeat of Iraq has opened the way for Iran. If America pulls out
of Iraq, or if democracy is allowed to advance to it's logical
conclusion, the Iranians pick up the pieces. Even now, Iran has
deployed 46 brigades near the Iraq border. These are positioned to
support Iraqi Shiites who want to form their own Iranian-backed state.
Meanwhile, Saudi military officers have been defecting to the Iraq
insurgency at the rate of 100 per month. According to
Geostrategy-direct.com, 6,000 Saudi nationals may have already joined
the anti-American side. Surviving fragments of Saddam's army continue
to fight the coalition (with Syrian support). It now appears that
President Bush's plan for Iraq cannot succeed unless Syria and Iran
are overrun and pacified. Of course, such a plan is politically and
militarily impractical. The United States Army is too small and the
American people would not approve.

With as many as 150,000 fighters, the Iraq insurgency is building.
Will America persevere in the face of continuing resistance? Will the
American people tire of the administration's policy? Will America's
guns and butter economy survive the fall of the dollar?

It may yet be possible to build democracy in Iraq if democratic norms
are imposed gradually, with stern resolve, over a period of years. But
democratization has been hurried and the results are already
embarrassing. Since the Shiite majority dislikes America and cannot
grasp the fundamentals of democracy, America's democratizing effort
amounts to the establishment of a new totalitarian theocracy (with a
democratic veneer). The fall of Saddam has benefited Tehran, not
Washington. Supporters of President Bush will say that the strategy
needs more time. But administration policy relies on haste, and the
result is waste. Coalition forces did not subdue, disarm and pacify
Iraq. The coalition merely destroyed one totalitarian regime in favor
of another.

Last week Iran recommenced its nuclear weapons program. France and
Germany offered Iran a tray of economic goodies – but Tehran wasn't
tempted. The Iranian leaders want bombs that can level entire
countries (especially Israel). Their dream is destructive and their
beliefs are fixed. It's not about economics.

Strategically, the hour is late. It is not a question of holding the
line against Iran. Like Iraq, the Iranian regime is a diversionary
pawn in a larger game. It is a question of stopping Iran's leading
sponsors – Russia and China. According to an AP account by Burt
Herman, Chinese and Russian forces are presently rehearsing a "mock
intervention" against a country "riven by ethnic strife." One might,
at first, think of a Central Asian country, but no, that isn't it.
Think East L.A. Think of the interrelationships between and behind the
larger players: Afghanistan has reverted to poppy growing. America's
streets are loaded with drugs. The Russian mafia and Chinese triads
are moving the product. American banks are laundering the proceeds.

A mighty chain of secrecy links enemy intelligence services to mafias.
In turn, criminal mafias are linked to American banks and banks to
businessmen and businessmen to politicians. In the end, the great
wheel of misguided policy is greased. Capitalism succumbs to its own
logic. Democracy destroys democracy. Freedom destroys the foundations
of freedom. Capitalism implodes. Could it be that America is a
"misunderstanding" that gives forth embassies and makes treaties
until, at last, it is understood and sinks away?

The Great Crisis has little to do with Afghanistan, Iraq or Iran.
(Though Iraq has become the focus of a successful strategic
diversion.) Despite hissing and spitting from the gallery, there is
nothing immoral about thumping an evil dictator or eliminating
gruesome zealots (with minimum collateral damage). But have the sense
to know when you've been diverted to a rabbit hole, that the dictator
of the rabbit hole is a tertiary creature. Your survival doesn't
depend on his elimination. Your survival depends on complex structures
that deter ICBMs hidden in rail tunnels beneath the Urals. Your
survival depends on an intelligence community that watches Russia and
China, first and foremost. Common sense teaches that every negation is
an affirmation. Negate Iraq and affirm Iran. Negate Israel and confirm
the PLO. Negate America and affirm Russia and China. Those who negate
America, who blame and slander President Bush, are unwitting
supporters of Vladimir Putin and the Russian General Staff. Just as
the anti-war rhetoric of the 1960s strengthened the Communist Bloc,
condemning millions of Southeast Asians to death and worse than death,
the anti-war rhetoric of 2005 strengthens the butchers in Beijing, the
madman in Caracas, the windbag in Havana, the murderous recluse in
Pyongyang and the crazy ayatollahs in Tehran. Behind this rotten crew
stands the old Communist machine, hidden by pseudo-democratic props
and KGB-capitalists.

The larger game behind the Iraq crisis should be obvious. But who
notices? Who has the courage for a comprehensive picture?




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