The Wall Street Journal 
Once Again, the Jihadists Suffer a Defeat 
October 18, 2005; Page A19 

GLOBAL VIEW 
By GEORGE MELLOAN   

ABOUT GEORGE MELLOAN 


George Melloan is the Journal's Deputy Editor, International. He began
writing "Global View" in 1990, when he took over responsibilities for the
overseas pages after 17 years as deputy editor in New York. During the first
five years of his present assignment he was based in Brussels, traveling
extensively from there to write about such events as the fall of the Berlin
Wall, the break-up of the Soviet empire and the collapse of the Japan's
stock market and real estate bubble. He returned to New York in 1994.

A lot of ink has been spilled by U.S. opponents of the Iraqi war claiming
that Iraqis are too mercurial and violent to be capable of self-government.
How often does this insulting claim need to be knocked down before being
consigned to history's dustbin?

It was disproved again Saturday when Iraqis in record numbers braved
jihadist threats in order to exercise the rights of free choice delivered to
them by coalition military forces. The turnout, swollen by increased Sunni
participation, was greater than in the historic vote for a provisional
legislature in January. Although final results aren't in, preliminary vote
counts show that Iraqis approved a new constitution, clearing the way for a
vote on Dec. 15 on candidates for a permanent assembly. That body will
select Iraq's first-ever democratic and representative government. When the
new year begins, Iraq will have become the first Arab democracy.

Not bad, some might say, for a people unsuited for self-government. Another
important aspect of Saturday's vote was that security was provided mainly by
Iraqi police and soldiers, whereas U.S. troops provided that necessity in
January. The Iraqis did it effectively, thwarting al Qaeda, Hezbollah and
all the other terrorists who had stepped up their killing spree in September
to try to scare the Iraqi leadership and rank and file.

International terrorists have chosen Iraq as the central arena for their war
against the democracies, but they couldn't prevent an Arab nation from
joining the democracy club. It's no wonder that in a letter sent last summer
to Abu Musab Zarqawi, al Qaeda's bloodthirsty chieftain in Iraq, by the
group's nominal leader, Ayman al Zawahiri, cautioned that killing Iraqis --
especially in brutal ways like beheading -- has not been good PR. Al Qaeda
claims the letter is a fake, not surprisingly given its contents.

Most of the Iraqis targeted until recently were Shiites, the majority long
oppressed by Saddam Hussein and the 20% Sunni minority. But as Sunnis began
to participate in the constitution-writing process, winning compromises from
the Shiites and Kurds, they too came under fire. Now, the voting results
suggest that minority Sunnis not only turned out in large numbers for the
vote but many voted "yes" against the warnings of Sunni former members of
Saddam's power structure. Sunnis, too, now have a right to choose for
themselves.

A successful referendum on a constitution guaranteeing Iraqis the right to
vote and worship as they choose -- and giving women equal status with men in
government and the workplace -- is an important step forward. But as U.S.
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said on TV Sunday, this doesn't mean an
end to violence.

There are reports that roadside bombs and other infernal devices are
becoming more sophisticated, perhaps because of technology supplied by Iran.
More Iraqis and coalition soldiers will die at the hands of terrorists. But
it's now made clear, by the proven method of allowing a free and fair
election, that there is little support for the jihadists among ordinary
Iraqis. This denies the so-called "insurgents" something vital to any
guerrilla group, the sympathy of a local population. As the Iraqis assume
greater and greater responsibility for the nation's security, it will be
harder for terrorists to preserve the anonymity they have enjoyed while
fighting U.S. and British troops who don't speak Arabic.

The war, at this stage, still involves Iraqi Baathist holdouts, but is
increasingly against foreign jihadists. A better measure of the remaining
Baathist influence will be had in the next few days when Saddam himself is
scheduled to be put on trial by Iraqi prosecutors. No doubt his remaining
supporters will try to make propaganda against the "foreign occupation
powers," just as they did before Saturday's constitutional referendum. But
the odds are stacked against them. When a haggard, no-longer-dangerous
Saddam is brought into open court and the recitation of his sadistic crimes
begins, it will be a brave Baathist who will dare to give him public
support.

But there will be little peace in Iraq as long as two of its neighbors
choose to carry on their proxy war there against the U.S. Both Syria and
Iran have a lot to fear from a strong, democratic Iraq allied with the U.S.
and other democratic powers. That's why Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei is using
his wiles to prevent the international community from stopping his
nuclear-weapons program.

Many Iranians suffering from the latest round of oppression from the mullahs
would like to share in the freedoms that the Iraqis have just voted for
themselves. A nuclear weapon won't do much to make the mullahs more popular,
but it might help them scare off outside interference with their
authoritarian theocracy. More seriously, there is some danger they might use
such a weapon, in a burst of religious zealotry, if their rule is
threatened.

Aside from the internal and external security threats, the new Iraqi
government will have more than the usual supply of problems to solve when it
takes office in January. A key issue will be trying to avoid the
economic-policy mistakes of other developing countries. A large income from
oil exports has been a curse for some oil producers -- Venezuela, for
example -- because it has shielded politicians from the necessity to create
a climate in which private business can thrive.

China and India had to encourage investment and protect property rights to
achieve rapid growth. It is encouraging that Iraq's Constitution also
guarantees property rights, but the country will need a judicial system that
can enforce those rights, not to mention the civil rights of Iraqi citizens.
When we begin to see Iraqi businesses launching initial public offerings and
becoming joint stock companies we will know that Iraq is on its way to
developing a modern economy.

Perhaps the most worrying thing about the future of Iraq is the question of
whether the U.S. will stay the course. America's liberals, still smarting
over their loss last November, have intensified their own jihad against
George W. Bush, raving for a pullout from Iraq. That day will come a lot
sooner if America helps the Iraqis stand on their own feet. Saturday was a
further advance in that direction.

 



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