http://www.aljazeera.com/cgi-bin/news_service/middle_east_full_story.asp?ser
vice_id=10301
 
 
A possible Israel-Iran war

12/15/2005 10:00:00 AM GMT      


The current international fears over the threat Iran poses with its
<http://www.aljazeera.com/me.asp?service_ID=10023> NUCLEAR capabilities and
intentions are a result of the repetitive claims by the American
<http://www.aljazeera.com/me.asp?service_ID=10215> PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH,
echoed by Israel. 

Even acknowledging Bush' rhetorics is a rhetoric. It's been recently
revealed that the Israeli armed forces received orders from
<http://www.aljazeera.com/me.asp?service_ID=10208> SHARON's government, to
ready plans for a possible military strike against the Islamic republic
targeting its nuclear sites by the end of March 2006.

According to Israeli Defence sources, the Jewish state is planning to attack
Iran by the end of March to be the "point of no return" after which Iran
will have the technical expertise to enrich uranium in sufficient quantities
to build a nuclear warhead in two to four years.

Aharon Zeevi Farkash, the Israeli military intelligence chief, had
previously warned the Knesset, saying that "if by the end of March the
international community is unable to refer the Iranian issue to the United
Nations Security Council, then we can say the international effort has run
its course."

By buying its first spy satellite and anti-missile defenses from Russia,
Iran is gaining a retaliatory capacity in long-range missiles, perhaps with
chemical or biological warheads, an article published on Times of London
states.

Some may suggest that the Times story is false, but it doesn't seem likely.
The "point of no return" factors seem to be objectively true, although it is
difficult to imagine how Israel can implement it. 

Iran has been readying plans to defend its nuclear facilities, in the wake
of repetitive Israeli threats to launch a military strike against Tehran,
repeating what it did in  <http://www.aljazeera.com/me.asp?service_ID=9964>
IRAQ in 1981, bombing Osirak, a 40 MW light water nuclear materials testing
reactor, with the help of French intelligence, although France helped Iraq
build the reactor.

Contrary to what Israel's rhetoric says, claiming of being able to carry out
surprise attack on Iranian targets, defense sources assert that it won't be
easy, despite the fact that Israel has been monitoring Iran's nuclear
development using a signals listening station in Northern Iraq, also with
the help of U.S. government. That is either a damaging leak, or a signal to
Iran that the U.S. and Israel are in this together.

  <http://www.citizinemag.com/politics/0503_israel_iran01.jpg> 

On the other hand, Iran is capable enough of striking U.S. naval forces
stationed in the Gulf region. The Times article, moreover, suggests that
agents from the United States, Russia, Turkey, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the Gulf
States, Egypt, and even the Europeans could be aiding Israel by spying on
Iran's nuclear program, adding that in case Israel carried out its threat it
will be a large and sustained allied attack. 

The Times article added that the U.S. Navy and Special Forces will join the
Israeli Army in striking Iran, using cruise missiles stealth aircraft to
carry out night missions- And that could be for one reason, that Israel is
simply not willing to lose its might military and face such a large scale
military confrontation alone. 

A powerful combined military force, with the U.S. support will be needed to
avoid the risk of a larger war, in which more Middle East countries would
engage in.

Iran, which unlike Israel has signed the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty,
had on many occasions offered assurances that its nuclear program is mainly
aimed at civilian purposes, to meet the rising demand of energy in the
country. 

But this didn't save the Islamic Republic, under mounting pressure from
several European nations, Israel and the U.S. from facing the threat of
being referred to the UN Security Council for possible sanctions, bringing
the grim future similar to that of Iraq under the rule of
<http://www.aljazeera.com/cgi-bin/review/people_full_story.asp?service_id=64
66> SADDAM HUSSEIN when the UN imposed sanctions against the country, which
gave way to corruption and rise in poverty rates. 



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