http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=272123&area=/insight/insight_
_international/

Chinese mega dam built to defy attacks 
 
Peter Harmsen | Yichang, China  
 
 
 
18 May 2006 11:00 
 
China's Three Gorges Dam across the Yangtze River, the world's largest
hydropower project, shows the nation at its most powerful, but also makes it
vulnerable in entirely new ways.

For the past nearly two decades, during design and construction of the dam,
planners have engaged in a low-key effort to make sure it is protected from
hostile forces -- whether terrorists or nations at war with China.

The measures they have come up with range from building an extra-solid
structure to posting elite paramilitary troops in the immediate vicinity of
the dam -- and, if all else fails, quickly emptying the reservoir.

"The security of the dam, and in particular protection against terrorist
attack, is something we take very, very seriously," said Cao Guangjing,
vice-president of the China Yangtze Three Gorges Project Development
Company.

"We paid special attention to preparation against military attack in the
preliminary design phase of the dam," he said.

The spirit of immense confidence and pride that permeates the entire Three
Gorges project also affects most engineers' attitude towards the idea of an
attack on the 2,3km-long dam.

"Nothing will happen," said Feng Zhengpeng, director of hydropower complex
management. "China is rising and I'm not afraid any nation will attack.
Anyone that wishes to attack China today has to think very carefully about
it first."

That may be, but history shows dams are tempting targets in war.

In 1943, at the height of World War II, Britain's Bomber Command destroyed
two dams in Nazi Germany, wreaking havoc on its infrastructure and killing
more than 1 000 people.

In its 2004 report to the United States Congress on China's military power,
the Pentagon also suggested that an attack on the dam might be one of
Taiwan's options in case of war with China.

"Since [Taiwan] cannot match Beijing's ability to field offensive systems,
proponents of strikes against the mainland apparently hope that merely
presenting credible threats to China's urban population or high-value
targets, such as the Three Gorges Dam, will deter Chinese military
coercion," it said.

In one of the more obvious signals of China's security precautions, a
detachment of the paramilitary People's Armed Police is kept just next to
the dam.

"What you can actually see is just one piece of the effort," said Cao. "We
have emergency plans to cope with all possible eventualities."

According to earlier reports in the state media, China has deployed military
helicopters, patrol boats, armoured vehicles and bomb disposal units near
the 180-billion-yuan ($22,5-billion) project.

China has conducted several rounds of anti-terrorist exercises in the area,
including one that simulated an assault with a boat brimming with
explosives.

The dam is robustly built, and officials say it will be able to withstand
any conventional attack, whether from terrorists or from hostile foreign
powers.

It is also located more than 1 000km from any coastline, making it a harder
target, Cao argued.

The worst-case scenario would be an assault with a nuclear weapon. In that
case, China has only one option, according to Cao. "If there's a nuclear
attack, the main procedure will be to draw down the whole reservoir," he
said. "The Three Gorges dam is equipped with sufficient flood-discharge
capacity."

The crucial job to get done before the enemy can strike is to empty the
reservoir of the 22-billion cubic metres accumulated above the 145m mark.

That could be done in as little as two to three days, as the dam is able to
release up to 110 000 cubic metres per second, Cao estimated.

It takes a lot less time for a nuclear missile to strike, and if these
precautions fail, and the dam takes a direct hit, disaster would be
impossible to prevent. The only question would be how much it could be
curbed.

But officials claim computer simulations have shown that the damage would
not go all the way down to Shanghai where the Yangtze spills into the East
China Sea.

"While preparing for the dam, we conducted a lot of studies into what would
happen if it were destroyed," said Wang Xiaomao, deputy chief engineer at
the Yangtze River Water Resources Committee. "Even if there is a war and the
dam is wracked, there'll be limited damage."

The state-controlled China Daily newspaper reported last year that channels
had been dug out downstream to divert excess water released from a wrecked
dam.

Officials said probably the best argument for going ahead with the dam was
the idea that nothing would ever be built if one were overpowered by anxiety
that it might be broken.

"The construction of the Three Gorges dam will be very beneficial to China's
economy, and we should not give up this development opportunity just because
we fear war," said Cao. -- AFP 
 





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