http://www.cnsnews.com/news/viewstory.asp?Page=/ForeignBureaus/archive/20060
8/INT20060817a.html

By Patrick Goodenough
CNSNews.com International Editor
August 17, 2006

(CNSNews.com) - Some politicians in Lebanon are concerned that
Hizballah, emboldened after its military campaign against Israel, may
be maneuvering -- with Syrian support -- to expand its authority on
the national political scene.

Walid Jumblatt, leader of the Druze minority (an offshoot of Shi'ite
Islam), went so far as to accuse the Shi'ite terrorist group's leader,
Hassan Nasrallah, of plotting a "coup" against the Lebanese state,
currently ruled by a coalition comprising Shi'ite, Sunni, Christian
and Druze parties.

Jumblatt told the London-based Saudi paper Asharq Al-Awsat that
Nasrallah's recent comment about building a "strong and fair state"
suggested that the existing state did not have those characteristics.

In a televised appearance earlier this week, Nasrallah declared that
Hizballah's military "victory" was a victory for all of Lebanon.

He criticized some Lebanese government ministers who were calling for
Hizballah to disarm. It did not serve the national interest to have
such debates held in public, Nasrallah said. Without Hizballah, the
Lebanese Army would be incapable of defending the country against the
Israeli enemy.

Nasrallah's comments appeared designed to raise doubts about the
suitability of some government figures.

"Do these people have no feelings, no emotions? Can these people
possibly be viewed as political leaders with a high level of
awareness, devoid of any feelings or emotions?"

Jumblatt also expressed concern about remarks made this week by Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad, who sought to paint Prime Minister Fouad
Siniora's majority bloc in the ruling coalition as a tool of Israel.

After remaining silent throughout the month-long conflict, Assad
emerged Tuesday to boast about Syria's support for Hizballah.

Although it drew most attention for his derisive comments about the
U.S. plan for a "new Middle East," his speech in Damascus also took
aim at Lebanon's anti-Syrian parliamentary group, which he accused of
collaborating with Israel.

It was now fomenting strife by asking Hizballah to disarm, Assad said.

"But I tell those people that they have failed and that their fall is
looming."

Assad also spoke about turning Hizballah's "military victory" into a
"political victory."

One Beirut daily newspaper, Al-Mustaqbal, described the address as "a
declaration of war on Lebanon."

Given Syria's decades of interference in Lebanon, Jumblatt and others
are worried that the comments may presage more meddling -- possibly
even an "assassination campaign" against those considered the enemy.

Marwan Hamadeh, a member of Jumblatt's party and c ommunications
minister in the Lebanese government, was quoted as saying Assad had
"returned to his old habits -- murder and threatening murder."

Syria is suspected of involvement in the Feb. 2005 assassination of
former prime minister Rafik Hariri, who opposed Assad's attempts to
continue manipulating Lebanese politics even as Syria was under
pressure to withdraw its armed forces from the country. (The pullout
was completed later in the year.)

Jumblatt, whose checkered political career has included pro-Syrian and
anti-Syrian periods, was expected to hold a press conference Thursday
to air his concerns about Assad and Nasrallah.

'Nasrallah sounds like a president'

Created by Iran after the Islamic revolution and sponsored by Tehran
and Damascus, Hizballah has been responsible for dozens of major
terrorist attacks, with hundreds of Americans among its victims.

On July 12 it crossed Lebanon's southern border and killed and
kidnapped Israeli soldiers, triggering a bloody, 34-day conflict which
ended with a cease-fire on Monday.

In the days since the fighting was suspended, a number of Lebanese
commentators have noted that Nasrallah is presenting himself to the
Lebanese people as a national leader.

A televised speech on Monday night included promises that Hizballah
would help to rebuild destroyed homes and to provide homeless Lebanese
with money to pay for temporary rental accommodation or buy furniture.
Nasrallah even warned suppliers not to exploit the situation by
increasing prices.

"He seemed to take on the veneer of a national leader rather than that
as head of a single group in Lebanon's rich mosaic of parties," wrote
Rami Khouri, a columnist with the Daily Star in Beirut.

"In tone and content, his remarks seemed like those that a president
or prime minister should be making while addressing the nation after a
terrible month of destruction and human suffering.

"His prominence is one of the important political repercussions of
this war."

Khouri voiced concern about the implications, predicting greater
polarization in Lebanon, and that in other Arab countries non-state
parties will emulate Hizballah and step up political competition with
state institutions whose credibility is seen to be wanting.

Daily Star opinion editor Kevin Young also noted the tone, saying that
towards the end of his speech, "Nasrallah began sounding, ominously,
like a president."

"If the secretary-general is so keen to build up a strong Lebanese
state, presumably he intends to contribute to that effort from a
position of authority," Young said.

"So, is Nasrallah on the verge of taking that authority, flush from
his tactical triumphs in the South and motivated by an understandable
desire to draw attention away from the devastation inflicted on the
Shi'ite community since July 12?"

Writing on an independent Lebanese news site, Ya Libnan,
Lebanese-American activist Joseph Hitti wondered what the Hizballah
leader may try next.

"Surrounded by a loyal Shi'ite base and an otherwise subservient
Lebanese population, Nasrallah's 'victory' might certainly give him
the idea that he should be running Lebanon, rather than the Sunni,
Druze and Christian weaklings in the Lebanese government and political
establishment."
 


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