http://www.lasvegassun.com/sunbin/stories/thrive/2006/nov/14/111409127.html

 

  


Diseases Appear on Rise With Temperature 


By CHARLES J. HANLEY
ASSOCIATED PRESS 

NAIROBI, Kenya (AP) - A warmer world already seems to be producing a sicker
world, health experts reported Tuesday, citing surges in Kenya, China and
Europe of such diseases as malaria, heart ailments and dengue fever. 

"Climate affects some of the most important diseases afflicting the world,"
said Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum of the World Health Organization. "The impacts
may already be significant." 

Kristie L. Ebi, an American public health consultant for the agency, warned
"climate change could overwhelm public health services." 

The specialists laid out recent findings as the two-week U.N. climate
conference entered its final four days, grappling with technical issues
concerning operation of the Kyoto Protocol, and trying to set a course for
future controls on global greenhouse gas emissions. 

Scientists attribute at least some of the past century's 1-degree rise in
global temperatures to the accumulation in the atmosphere of carbon dioxide
and other heat-trapping gases, byproducts of power plants, automobiles and
other fossil fuel-burning sources. 

The Kyoto accord requires 35 industrial nations - not including the United
States, which rejects the pact - to reduce such emissions by an average 5
percent below 1990 levels by 2012. President Bush says such emissions cuts
would harm the U.S. economy and complains that poorer countries also should
be covered. 

In Nairobi, the Kyoto parties are discussing what quotas and timetables
should follow 2012 and how to draw the United States into a plan for
mandatory emissions caps. 

Britain's environment secretary, David Miliband, an early arrival for
high-level talks here, said participation of the United States, the world's
biggest emitter, was "essential." 

"I can't think of a greater legacy for the last two years of the Bush
presidency than to work on a bipartisan basis with Democrats as well as
Republicans" for a deal to cut emissions, Miliband said. 

Besides disrupting normal climate zones, continued temperature rises will
"increase threats to human health, particularly in lower income populations,
predominantly within tropical-subtropical countries," a U.N. network of
climate scientists has projected. 

Those problems are arising in parts of the world that have contributed
little to global warming, Campbell-Lendrum noted. 

"It's a global issue and a global justice issue," one that demands action by
the industrial north to alleviate the disease burden on the south, the WHO
scientist said. 

In Kenya, where temperature increases have tracked the global average,
malaria epidemics have occurred in highland areas where cooler weather
historically has kept down populations of disease-bearing mosquitoes, said
Solomon M. Nzioka, a Kenyan Health Ministry consultant. 

Research shows that even a seemingly small rise in temperatures can produce
a 10-fold increase in the mosquito population, he said. 

"Highland malaria seems to be on the increase in the rainy season and when
temperatures are high," Nzioka said. 

The WHO's Dr. Bettina Menne said malaria, which two decades ago was present
in only three southeastern European countries, has spread north to Russia
and a half-dozen other nearby countries. Russian news media reported in
September that larvae of the anopheles mosquito, the malaria carrier, had
been found in Moscow. 

Menne cited a threat from other mosquito-borne diseases as well. "There's an
increased risk of local outbreaks, especially in the Mediterranean, of
dengue and West Nile virus," she said. 

China is trying to track excess deaths from rising average temperatures,
said Jin Yinlong of China's Institute for Environmental Health. Authorities
are particularly concerned about surging mortality from strokes and heart
disease under warming conditions, he said. Global warming has been linked to
more prolonged heat waves. 

A study of three Chinese cities found annual excess deaths totaled between
173 and 685 per million residents, Jin said. Projected over the huge Chinese
population of 1.3 billion, this could amount to as many as 890,000 deaths
nationwide per year. 



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