Putin has never changed.what took Bush so long?

 

Bruce

 

http://www2.
<http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2006/nov/18/bush_grows_disillusioned_putin/>
ljworld.com/news/2006/nov/18/bush_grows_disillusioned_putin/

 


Bush grows disillusioned with Putin


By Jim Hoagland

Saturday, November 18, 2006

Washington - For George W. Bush, meeting Vladimir Putin is no longer an
uplifting opportunity to look into the Russian leader's eyes and glimpse a
kindred soul. Their encounters have become damage-limitation exercises or
unavoidable bits of scheduling during international conferences.

In private talks with aides and foreign leaders in recent months, Bush has
voiced profound disillusionment with Putin, according to half-a-dozen
foreign and U.S. officials aware of the details of such conversations.

"We have lost Putin," Bush is reported to have said in several
conversations. "Putin fears democracy more than anything else," the
president added sadly in one comment describing the Russian, whom Bush had
praised enthusiastically after their first summit in June 2001 as
"straightforward and trustworthy" and a partner for "a new approach for a
new era."

Bush and his aides work hard to observe diplomatic formalities and to keep
signs of this disillusionment out of public view. So the two leaders
exchanged smiles and a hug when Bush briefly stopped over in Moscow this
week on his way to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Hanoi,
where Bush and Putin are due to meet again on Sunday.

But the thrill is gone - just as earlier attempts by Bush's father and
Mikhail Gorbachev, and by Bill Clinton and Boris Yeltsin, to base White
House-Kremlin ties on personal relations ended in disappointment and
frustration on both sides. American and Russian presidents seem condemned to
challenge and then confirm the maxim that nations have interests, not
friends.

As recently as May - when Vice President Cheney delivered a forceful but
seemingly personal denunciation of Russia's backsliding on democratic
freedoms - Bush was still emphasizing the need to work with Putin. But by
the time of the G-8 summit hosted by Putin in July, Bush had begun to echo
in private Cheney's darker public vision, and amplified on it later in
closed-door sessions in September held at the opening session of the U.N.
General Assembly and elsewhere.

And when Putin cavalierly dismissed the assassination of Russian dissident
journalist Anna Politkovskaya last month, Bush issued his own statement of
concern about the killing rather than let an earlier, weaker State
Department reaction stand as the U.S. response.

The turn by Bush has been cumulative rather than sudden, as I understand it,
and is fueled primarily by the president's reluctant but hardening
conviction that Putin has no desire or intention to make Russia's society
more democratic. Russian equivocation on the joint U.S.-European effort to
prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons is another important factor in
the downturn.

It is easy to understand why Bush has dropped his earlier enthusiasm for
Putin. But Washington and Moscow have two looming opportunities to put
political and trade relations on sounder footing and make their relationship
less vulnerable to personal ups and downs.

At the NATO summit in Riga, Latvia, on Nov. 27-29, Bush may be tempted to go
back on a tentative compromise that Washington has struck with its European
and Canadian allies concerning future alliance membership for Georgia and
Ukraine. The United States has agreed not to push for the meeting to adopt a
clear membership plan for the two former Soviet republics and to settle
instead for a more cosmetic "intensified dialogue" with Georgia and silence
on Ukraine.

The compromise still makes sense. Cooling the escalating tensions between
Russia and Georgia should be the urgent priority, especially after Georgia's
unsteady handling of recent border incidents and the publicizing of the
discovery of a bumbling Russian spy ring in Tbilisi. The collapse of
Ukraine's reform government robs that country of any national consensus on
NATO membership.

The second opportunity will provide an early test in foreign policy for the
new Democratic majorities in the U.S. House and Senate. The administration
has reached a bilateral agreement with Russia on the latter's application to
join the World Trade Organization. But Congress must drop the symbolic Cold
War restrictions on trade contained in the 1974 Jackson-Vanik law for the
new accord to come into effect.

Jackson-Vanik, which attempted to exert pressure on the Soviet Union to
permit Jewish emigration to Israel, is a carryover from a time gone by. Its
sentimental value is far less than the irritation it creates in a
relationship that needs more ballast, not more burrs.

Bush's clearing vision of Putin's flaws and the American leader's candor
with his peers are welcome developments. But they make it even more
important for the United States and Russia to seize opportunities that
reinforce a relationship that cannot for long be dominated by personal ties.
Just ask George H.W. and Gorby, or Bill and Boris.

 



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