Aleksandr Litvinenko: An Islamist Threat?

By Dr. Andrew McGregor

One of the most surprising elements in the recent poisoning of the 
former FSB officer Aleksandr Litvinenko is his apparent deathbed 
conversion to Islam. At first, there seemed little reason to believe 
this unlikely development, but the gradual confirmation of the story has 
raised a number of questions regarding Litvinenko's cooperation with the 
Chechen resistance and, in a more sensational vein, with Osama bin 
Laden's al-Qaeda terrorist organization.

A Quiet Conversion

The first notice of Litvinenko's conversion to Islam came in a press 
release from the Chechen Presidential Administration after the death of 
the former spy: "We have learnt that shortly before the attempt on his 
life, Aleksandr Litvinenko voluntarily and sincerely converted to Islam. 
Thus, he not only became our comrade-in-arms but also brother-in-faith" 
(Chechenpress, November 26). Though the source was not given for this 
unexpected development, it was eventually revealed that this news came 
from the Chechen representative in London, Akhmed Zakayev, a personal 
friend and neighbor of Litvinenko. News of the conversion apparently 
took several of Litvinenko's friends by surprise.

There seemed little reason to believe this strange tale until it was 
confirmed by the spy's father, Walter Litvinenko, who described his 
son's growing estrangement from Russia's Orthodox Church. Two days 
before his death, Litvinenko told his father that he had decided to 
convert to Islam and desired to be buried as a Muslim (Kommersant, 
December 4). Zakayev said that Litvinenko first broached the subject of 
conversion shortly after he became ill, returning to the topic 
repeatedly despite a lack of encouragement from Zakayev. Eventually, 
Litvinenko recited the shahadah, a formula whose recitation indicates 
the speaker's willingness to convert to Islam. At Litvinenko's urging, 
Zakayev arranged for an imam to recite the appropriate Koranic verses in 
the hospital room the day before the spy's death (RFE/RL, December 5).

Experiments with Poison

There was initial confusion as to what constituted a lethal dose of 
polonium-210. If the Litvinenko poisoning was indeed the work of 
Russia's secret services, it is unlikely that such an unusual method of 
assassination would have been employed without previous testing.

In a recent interview, Zakayev alleged that polonium poisoning had 
already been carried out on several high-profile Chechen prisoners, 
including Lecha Ismailov (Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung, 
December 3). The reference is undoubtedly to veteran field commander 
Lechi ('The Beard') Islamov, who had worked closely with the warlord 
Ruslan (Hamzat) Gelayev. Both hailed from the same town of Komsomolskoye 
in southwestern Chechnya. As the leader of the "Shaykh Mansur Special 
Task-Force Regiment," Islamov was captured in 2000 following the siege 
of Grozny and was sentenced to nine years in prison for seizing hostages 
and "organizing an armed group." The Russian Deputy Minister of Justice 
maintained that Islamov died in 2004 from heart and kidney diseases, as 
well as from the complications brought on by a "severe skin allergy" 
(Grani.ru, April 26, 2004). Islamov, however, was convinced that he had 
been poisoned, describing a meeting that he had attended in prison with 
several unknown men. The men seemed intent on discussing matters of 
"life and death" with Islamov while urging him to partake in tea and a 
pile of sandwiches. Within minutes after the meeting, Islamov became 
seriously ill, though he did not receive medical attention for days, and 
instead, was transferred to another prison.

According to Islamov's attorney, the commander began to suffer from 
organ failure. Some of the symptoms of Islamov's last days resemble 
those endured by Litvinenko. His attorney provided a description: "He 
cannot speak or move, has became absolutely bald, lost his hair, beard 
and eyebrow hairs, skin is peeling off in pieces from his head and 
hands" (Kommersant, April 4, 2004). Doctors were unable to diagnose the 
disease that was quickly killing Islamov or devise any treatment. 
Zakayev alleges that it was only because of Litvinenko's extraordinary 
good health that allowed him to survive long enough for the radioactive 
poison to be discovered; the poor health of the past victims resulted in 
their death within ten days. Traces of polonium-210 have also been found 
in Zakayev's car.

Zakayev, who serves as the representative of the Chechen republic in 
London, has been the subject of several extradition attempts by Moscow 
on charges of murder, abduction and torture. Russian allegations have 
tended to be so spurious that they have been tossed aside by British 
judges. For instance, an Orthodox priest that Zakayev is alleged to have 
killed actually turned up to challenge allegations of his own murder. 
There are reports that Russia will now require the extradition of 
Zakayev and exiled Russian oligarch Boris Berezovsky in return for 
Russian cooperation in the investigation of Litvinenko's death (The 
Times, December 6).

Dirty Bombs and Suitcase Nukes

After the news of his conversion broke, a number of media sources 
retroactively elevated Litvinenko to the ranks of the "Islamist 
extremists" who threaten the West as well as Russia. Britain's Sunday 
Express tabloid reported that Scotland Yard and counterterrorism experts 
feared that Litvinenko was assisting al-Qaeda in building a radioactive 
"dirty bomb" (Sunday Express, December 3). A televised panel of Russian 
"nuclear experts" claimed that Litvinenko worked in an underground 
laboratory in London where he was preparing a "dirty bomb" on behalf of 
the Chechen extremists (NTV, December 3). A news agency also suggested 
that Litvinenko actually poisoned himself by handling polonium-210, the 
last ingredient needed to detonate a "dirty nuclear bomb" (RIA Novosti, 
December 5). Another Russian agency repeated the "dirty bomb" 
allegations while adding the accusation that "Anglo-American" security 
forces were planting traces of polonium around London to implicate 
Russia in Litvinenko's death (Isvestiya, December 5). The Washington 
Times asked whether Litvinenko's assassination might have been "just 
another revenge killing in the name of Allah?" (Washington Times, 
December 5). Less credible internet sources have even revived the long 
discredited allegations that Osama bin Laden had purchased a number of 
"suitcase nukes" from Chechen militants for use against the United 
States. These stories speculate that Litvinenko was working on 
polonium-based triggering devices for these weapons and had failed to 
clean traces of polonium from his fingers before going out for a sushi 
lunch.

As usual, many media sources seem unable to differentiate between 
nuclear bombs and "dirty bombs." The latter is a primitive weapon 
involving no nuclear reaction, just the dispersal of radioactive debris. 
Polonium-210 was used as part of the triggering devices on early nuclear 
weapons, but is no longer used for this purpose. A "dirty bomb" does not 
require a sophisticated trigger as it is simply radioactive waste 
wrapped around a conventional explosive; polonium-210 is not a very 
useful material for constructing "dirty bombs." A 1957 fire at a 
Cumbrian nuclear facility in England released enough polonium-210 to 
kill thousands of people if ingested, but the isotopes dispersed quickly 
and harmlessly in the air. The point of a "dirty bomb" is not so much to 
kill individuals (conventional explosives are much better for this 
purpose) but to create lasting contamination, public panic and economic 
damage. Polonium is not regarded as particularly dangerous unless 
inhaled or ingested in a significant quantity. A sheet of paper is 
enough to block the radioactive alpha rays and even human skin can be 
enough to prevent penetration into the body.

Conclusion

Despite Litvinenko's talents in the world of espionage, it is highly 
unlikely that he would have been capable of maintaining and repairing 
complicated nuclear weapons, such as portable "suitcase bombs," in a 
basement laboratory in London. Assumptions of this sort belong to the 
world of paperback thrillers. Many of the imaginative stories regarding 
the "Islamist threat' posed by Litvinenko are designed to sell 
newspapers, but other accounts seem designed to discredit the former KGB 
member and divert attention away from his assassins or even to justify 
their deed as being in the interest of public security.

Dr. McGregor is the director of Aberfoyle International Security 
Analysis in Toronto, Canada.

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http://www.jamestown.org

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