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<http://www.insightm
<http://www.insightmag.com/Media/MediaManager/Baker_1.htm>
ag.com/Media/MediaManager/Baker_1.htm>http://www.insightm
<http://www.insightmag.com/Media/MediaManager/Baker_1.htm>
ag.com/Media/MediaManager/Baker_1.htm
Baker wants Israel excluded from regional conference
Insight Magazine Dec. 5-11, 2006, Posted On: 12/5/2006

The White House has been examining a proposal by James Baker to launch a
Middle East peace effort without Israel.

The peace effort would begin with a U.S.-organized conference, dubbed
Madrid-2, and contain such U.S. adversaries as Iran and Syria. Officials
said Madrid-2 would be promoted as a forum to discuss Iraq's future, but
actually focus on Arab demands for Israel to withdraw from territories
captured in the 1967 war. They said Israel would not be invited to the
conference.

"As Baker sees this, the conference would provide a unique opportunity
for the United States to strike a deal without Jewish pressure," an
official said. "This has become the most hottest proposal examined by
the foreign policy people over the last month."

Officials said Mr. Baker's proposal, reflected in the recommendations of
the Iraq Study Group, has been supported by Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice, Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns and National
Intelligence Director John Negroponte. The most controversial element in
the proposal, they said, was Mr. Baker's recommendation for the United
States to woo Iran and Syria.

"Here is Syria, which is clearly putting pressure on the Lebanese
democracy, is a supporter of terror, is both provisioning and supporting
Hezbollah and facilitating Iran in its efforts to support Hezbollah, is
supporting the activities of Hamas," National Security Advisor Stephen
Hadley told a briefing last week. "This is not a Syria that is on an
agenda to bring peace and stability to the region."

Officials said the Baker proposal to exclude Israel from a Middle East
peace conference garnered support in the wake of Vice President Dick
Cheney's visit to Saudi Arabia on Nov. 25. They said Mr. Cheney spent
most of his meetings listening to Saudi warnings that Israel, rather
than Iran, is the leading cause of instability in the Middle East.

"He [Cheney] didn't even get the opportunity to seriously discuss the
purpose of his visit-that the Saudis help the Iraqi government and
persuade the Sunnis to stop their attacks," another official familiar
with Mr. Cheney's visit said. "Instead, the Saudis kept saying that they
wanted a U.S. initiative to stop the Israelis' attack in Gaza and Cheney
just agreed."

Under the Baker proposal, the Bush administration would arrange a Middle
East conference that would discuss the future of Iraq and other Middle
East issues. Officials said the conference would seek to win Arab
support on Iraq in exchange for a U.S. pledge to renew efforts to press
Israel to withdraw from the West Bank and Golan Heights.

"Baker sees his plan as containing something for everybody, except
perhaps the Israelis," the official said. "The Syrians would get back
the Golan, the Iranians would get U.S. recognition and the Saudis would
regain their influence, particularly with the Palestinians."

Officials said Mr. Baker's influence within the administration and the
Republican Party's leadership stems from support by the president's
father as well as former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. Throughout
the current Bush administration, such senior officials as Mr. Hadley and
Ms. Rice were said to have been consulting with Brent Scowcroft, the
former president's national security advisor, regarded as close to Mr.
Baker.

"Everybody has fallen in line," the official said. "Bush is not in the
daily loop. He is shocked by the elections and he's hoping for a miracle
on Iraq."

For his part, Mr. Bush has expressed unease in negotiating with Iran. At
a Nov. 30 news conference in Amman, Jordan, the president cited Iran's
interference in the government of Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al Maliki.

"We respect their heritage, we respect their history, we respect their
traditions," Mr. Bush said. "I just have a problem with a government
that is isolating its people, denying its people benefits that could be
had from engagement with the world."

Mr. Baker's recommendation to woo Iran and Syria has also received
support from some in the conservative wing of the GOP. Over the last
week, former and current Republican leaders in Congress-convinced of the
need for a U.S. withdrawal before the 2008 presidential elections-have
called for Iranian and Syrian participation in an effort to stabilize
Iraq.

"I would look at an entirely new strategy," former House Speaker Newt
Gingrich said. "We have clearly failed in the last three years to
achieve the kind of outcome we want."

In contrast, Defense Department officials have warned against granting a
role to Iran and Syria at Israel's expense. They said such a strategy
would also end up undermining Arab allies of the United States such as
Egypt, Jordan and Morocco.

"The regional strategy is a euphemism for throwing Free Iraq to the
wolves in its neighborhood: Iran, Syria and Saudi Arabia," said the
Center for Security Policy, regarded as being close to the Pentagon. "If
the Baker regional strategy is adopted, we will prove to all the world
that it is better to be America's enemy than its friend. Jim Baker's
hostility towards the Jews is a matter of record and has endeared him to
Israel's foes in the region."

But Defense Secretary-designate Robert Gates, a former colleague of Mr.
Baker on the Iraq Study Group, has expressed support for U.S.
negotiations with Iran and Syria. In response to questions from the
Senate Armed Services Committee, which begins confirmation hearings this
week, Mr. Gates compared the two U.S. adversaries to the Soviet Union.

"Even in the worst days of the Cold War, the U.S. maintained a dialogue
with the Soviet Union and China, and I believe those channels of
communication helped us manage many potentially difficult situations,"
Mr. Gates said. "Our engagement with Syria need not be unilateral. It
could, for instance, take the form of Syrian participation in a regional
conference."



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