http://www.khaleejtimes.ae/DisplayArticleNew.asp?xfile=data/middleeast/2006/December/middleeast_December207.xml&section=middleeast&col=

Mystery swirls as Saudi ambassador to US exits
(AFP)

13 December 2006


WASHINGTON - A Washington diplomatic mystery swirled around the sudden 
resignation of Saudi Arabia's ambassador here, baffling foreign policy 
experts and injecting new intrigue into US-Saudi relations.

Prince Turki Al Faisal, one of the most influential foreign envoys here 
and steward of the key and sometimes uneasy alliance between the world's 
sole superpower and the Gulf oil state, abruptly quit on Monday, Saudi 
sources said.

The shock resignation --- after only 15 months on the job --- and the 
Prince's immediate departure from the United States, came after he told 
staff on Monday he wanted to spend more time with his family, an embassy 
official said.

"It is very strange, and to most of us very surprising," said Michael 
Hudson, a Saudi watcher and professor of Arab Studies at Georgetown 
University.

"What goes on in Saudi Arabia, it is a very opaque kind of place, is 
very hard to tell. This sudden, very abrupt departure is very unusual 
and makes you think something else is going on," he said.

Theories, ranging from suggestions that Prince Turki had won a sudden 
promotion or was the victim of bureaucratic back-stabbing in Riyadh, 
soon spread among diplomats and officials in Washington.

Some observers toyed with outside speculation that Saudi Arabia may even 
be sending a message to Washington over its dismay with Iraq's descent 
into chaos and could send a replacement less acceptable to Washington 
than Prince Turki.

More outlandish theories of palace turmoil in the Saudi royal family 
meanwhile spawned on Internet websites.

The Washington Post floated an early theory Tuesday, hours after Prince 
Turki's departure, suggesting he may be in line to replace his ailing 
brother Prince Saud Al Faisal as foreign minister.

Online intelligence service Stratfor also lent credibility to the idea.

"His likely grooming for the foreign ministry is further evidence that 
both Riyadh and Washington hold him in a favourable light," it said.

The official at the Saudi embassy declined to discuss various theories 
of Prince Turki's departure but did say: "All we know is that his 
brother is very ill, it could be that he might be taking over, but we 
don't know."

Asked about such a scenario, a source in Riyadh told AFP: "I doubt it."

Steven Clemons, foreign policy analyst at the New America Foundation, a 
Washington think tank, said Saudi insiders told him Prince Turki had 
simply had enough of back-stabbing by those opposed to reform in the 
Saudi government.

"It's terrible for us if he leaves. His departure is a huge negative for 
us," said Clemons, arguing Prince Turki's influence would have been felt 
in Washington as President George W. Bush gropes for a new strategy in Iraq.

Prince Turki's shrewd manoeuvring in the Gulf and the Middle East could 
also have smoothed any subsequent US outreach to Syria, Iran or regional 
states and if Washington tries to revive Israeli-Palestinian peace 
talks, he said.

The shock departure thickened intrigue in Saudi-US relations, amid signs 
Riyadh may be concerned about the US failure to quell raging violence in 
Iraq.

An opinion article last month in the Washington Post by Prince Turki's 
then security advisor Nawaf Obaid, jolted Saudi watchers here with a 
warning that a US pullout from Iraq would lead to "massive Saudi 
intervention to stop Iranian-backed Shiite militias from butchering 
Iraqi Sunnis."

The article said Saudi King Abdullah had fended off intense pressure to 
provide financial and arms support for Iraq's Sunnis from Sunni leaders 
inside Saudi Arabia.

Prince Turki was forced to distance himself from the article and said he 
had dispensed with Obaid's services.

But the piece appeared days after Vice President Dick Cheney paid a 
sudden visit to Saudi Arabia, and stoked speculation of rising dismay in 
Riyadh with the Bush administration.

Cheney's trip was billed as a chance to consult the Saudi government on 
regional matters, but some observers here suspect he was instead 
summoned to Riyadh.

Prince Turki's departure will also deprive Washington's diplomatic 
circuit of one of its banner stars.

The ambassador made a series of pointed critiques of US policy in the 
Middle East and Iraq in particular in recent months, drawing large 
numbers of analysts, diplomats and reporters.

Prince Turki said he believed Washington should engage Iran and press 
for progress between Israel and the Palestinians.

  +++



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