A Strike against Al-Qaida's Hornet's Nest

http://www.spiegel.de/international/0,1518,458597,00.html

In heavy air strikes, the United States attacked suspected al-Qaida hideouts
in Somalia on Tuesday. Among the suspected dead are the regional leaders of
the terror group thought to be responsible for the 1998 US embassy bombings
in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam.

In air strikes carried out on Monday and Tuesday, the United States sought
to take out key leaders of terrorist organization al-Qaida's operations in
eastern Africa. The attacks, carried out by a US Air Force AC-130 gunship
plane, hit targets in southern Somalia, near the Kenyan border. 

"The strike was carried out after it had been confirmed that al-Qaida
members are hiding in the area," said Abdirahman Dinari, a spokesman for the
Somali government, which had provided intelligence to the United States. The
Ethiopian and Kenyan secret services as well as the CIA all contributed
intelligence that aided in the attacks, the Washington Post reported.

The operation is reported to have resulted in numerous casualties. Somalian
government representatives said there were at least 30 deaths. And if the
mission was as successful as US sources and Somali officials believe, then
the victims could have included two long-sought terrorists. One is Abu Talha
al-Sudani, who has lived in the country since marrying a Somalian woman in
1993. In a 2001 court case against Osama bin Laden, Sudani was described as
an explosives expert with a close relationship to the terror leader.

Another is Fazul Abdullah Mohammad, who is suspected of helping to
coordinate the al-Qaida-linked 1998 terror attacks on US embassies in Kenya
and Tanzania that killed 220 people. For his part, Sudani had been
considered the possible financier of the embassy attacks.

The Washington Post reported recently that US intelligence officials had
identified Sudani as a close associate of Gouled Hassan Dourad, head of a
Mogadishu-based Somalian Islamist network that has provided support for
al-Qaida. Today, Dourad is being held at Guantanamo Bay as one of the 14
"high value" prisoners taken to the facility from CIA "black sites" in
September.

One of America's worst traumas 

With this week's air strike, the US made its first foray into Somalia since
1993 -- the year a US peacekeeping mission in the country failed in the face
of heavy local resistance. Eighteen US soldiers lost their lives in heavy
fighting. Then-US President Bill Clinton withdrew his troops in March 1994
in a move that was seen by al-Qaida and local militias as a triumph over the
global superpower.

The failure is still considered a major trauma in the US Army's history. The
bodies of several dead American soldiers were dragged through the streets of
Mogadishu. 

Still, the current air strike in no way suggests that the US is considering
a ground offensive in the country. "You had some figures on the move in a
relatively unpopulated part of the country," an anonymous US source told the
Washington Post. "(The operation) was a confluence of information and
circumstances." In other words: The air strike is really a prime example of
the implementation of the US doctrine adopted after Sept. 11, 2001, to
attack and kill terrorists, wherever they may be.

Rather than being perceived as the US getting involved in Somalia's domestic
disputes, Tuesday's strike should be viewed as a battle in the "war against
international terror." It's similar to the killing of an al-Qaida operative
in Jemen using a drone in 2003 or the attempt to wipe out bin Laden's
deputy,  <http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,396857,00.html>
Ayman al-Zawahiri in January 2006 at his suspected hidout -- also using a
drone.

Al-Qaida's Africa plans 

Nevertheless, there is a connection with the latest developments in the
bitterly poor country. Over the New Year,
<http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,457335,00.html> Somali
government troops working together with Ethiopian soldiers were finally able
to drive out Islamic militias who had succeeded in seizing power in large
parts of the country. Fears had been growing that terrorists who had worked
together with the militias might flee the country and find refuge elsewhere.
But by driving the militias out, the forces actually made it easier to track
al-Qaida operatives.

Al-Qaida has prospered in eastern Africa, especially Somalia. Osama bin
Laden even lived there at one point. Recently, Zawahiri even claimed he
would make Somalia a target. Since the government of President Siad Barre
fell in 1991, Somalia has lacked a functioning government and the resulting
power vacuum has made the country attractive to terrorist groups.

That attractiveness is underscored by a recent strategy paper written by
terrorism supporter Abu Azzam al-Ansari that explores the opportunities for
the mujahedeen in Africa. Israeli terror expert Reuven Paz recently analyzed
and released the document.

Among other claims made in the document is that "Africa is a goldmine that
hasn't been exploited yet by al-Qaida." There are opportunities for the
network across the continent: In poor areas, the mujahedeen could generate
support by conducting charity work, crises and conflicts make it easier to
cross borders undetected and weapons can be obtained everywhere. The essay
gave special emphasis to opportuntities in Egypt, Algeria, Sudan, Somalia,
Eritrea, Mauritania, Marocco, Libya and Chad.

Terror researcher Paz also warned of a scenario in which al-Qaida join
forces with pirates in the region and begin to engage in maritime terrorism.
Germany's Navy is among the forces patrolling the Horn of Africa in order to
ensure this doesn't happen.




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