http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav012507a.shtml

Saturday, January 27, 2007
EURASIA INSIGHT

KYRGYZSTAN: PARLIAMENT REJECTS PRIME MINISTERÆS NOMINATION
Daniel Sershen 1/25/07

In a move that could prove a political milestone for Kyrgyzstan, the 
country’s parliament on January 25 refused for the second time to 
confirm Feliks Kulov as prime minister, a role he had been fulfilling 
temporarily since the Kyrgyz cabinet resigned in December. It now 
appears that President Kurmanbek Bakiyev will try to forge a deal with 
parliament on a compromise candidate, thereby possibly avoiding an 
extension of Kyrgyzstan’s political crisis.

Frenzied, if brief, speculation about whether Kulov would be submitted a 
third and possibly final time to the Zhogorku Kenesh, or legislature, 
was put to an end when news emerged about a meeting the afternoon of 
January 25 between Kulov, Parliamentary Speaker Marat Sultanov, 
President Bakiyev, and members of his staff.

"Tomorrow, January 26, a new candidate will be introduced to the 
Zhogorku Kenesh for the post of Prime Minister of the Kyrgyz Republic," 
read a press release from Bakiyev’s office giving details of the 
meeting. Bakiyev praised Kulov and expressed regret over his rejection 
by parliament, but noted that the range of urgent issues facing 
Kyrgyzstan "demand a speedy resolution of the question of the Prime 
Minister’s confirmation," according to the document.

At Sultanov’s suggestion, a meeting will be held on January 26 between 
Bakiyev and the leaders of various parliamentary factions to discuss who 
the new candidate might be.

Emil Jurayev, deputy director of the OSCE Academy in Bishkek, said that 
a range of moderate figures acceptable to both Bakiyev and parliament 
were likely under consideration. "If not a full compromise, at the very 
least they will find a candidate for whom a majority of the deputies 
will vote," he said.

In late 2006, the Kyrgyz government was brought to a standstill by 
street protests, battles over constitutional revisions, and the 
cabinet’s resignation. The constitutional crisis passed, but numerous 
contradictions and inaccuracies continue to plague Kyrgyzstan’s founding 
laws.

One of the remaining uncertainties is whether the president has the 
authority to disband parliament if his candidate for premier is rejected 
a third time. Earlier it had appeared that Bakiyev would again submit 
Kulov for the post, so the possible emergence of a compromise figure 
would be a significant step toward avoiding further strife.

But Bakiyev’s farewell to Kulov has a deeper political significance. The 
alliance between the pair, known as the tandem, emerged after weeks of 
demonstrations resulted in the resignation of President Askar Akayev in 
2005. To preserve stability and avoid a rift between the country’s 
culturally and historically distinct regions, Bakiyev, a southerner, and 
Kulov, from the north, joined forces. They won the emergency 
presidential elections by a landslide.

But political scientist Zainidin Kurmanov says many observers felt that 
the pairing had outlived its usefulness. "Even those people who used to 
speak of the necessity of the tandem feel that at present the tandem has 
become a yoke obstructing development," he said.

"The question is not only about whether parliament will confirm [a given 
candidate] for premier," Kurmanov continued, but also "whether the new 
government can work with parliament." Kulov made little effort to 
cultivate relationships and develop support for his candidacy in 
parliament, a move made all the more necessary after he clashed with 
legislators repeatedly in 2006, Kurmanov said.

Opposition parliamentarian Temir Sariyev said that the main explanation 
for Kulov’s rejection was his government’s poor performance, especially 
on economic matters. But, there was also a political reason behind the 
rejection, he added. "Kulov and Bakiyev were not a single team. The 
president did not need Kulov," he said, news agency AKIpress reported.

Political analyst Nur Omarov warned, however, that Kulov’s departure 
could lead to increased regional tension. "I think that now a war could 
begin between regional, clan, and political groupings," he told news 
agency 24.kg. "This is simply bad for the country."

Kurmanov agreed that regional affiliations became critical when 
allocating government positions, and said that Bakiyev’s choice would 
have to be a northerner. But he said Bakiyev would also have to decide 
between a compromise candidate who preserved stability in the country, 
as Kulov had, or a skilled bureaucrat who could get things done, even if 
feathers were ruffled in the process.

"Unfortunately, there is no such person [in Kyrgyzstan] who can both 
preserve stability and be a good manager. So a choice must be made," he 
said.

Editor’s Note: Daniel Sershen is a freelance journalist based in 
Bishkek. The views of Emil Jurayev do not necessarily represent those of 
the OSCE Academy.

Posted January 25, 2007 © Eurasianet

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