http://www.contracostatimes.com/mld/cctimes/news/opinion/16970804.htm

A mastermind's confession Evolution of terrorism means we are not safe


By John C. Bersia


COMMENTARY


IS ANYONE really surprised about Khalid Sheikh Mohammed's "confession" that
U.S. military officials released last week? After all, we have heard for
years that he was the al-Qaida mastermind behind the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks
and other atrocities.

Now, Mohammed publicly has said so, albeit under duress. He indicated that
torture induced part of his revelations. But this detail that he provided
has at least as much importance: that undue pressure did not precede his
testimony before a military tribunal.

Several conclusions beckon. One, Mohammed really does wish to talk
truthfully about his deeds, perhaps to brag, although we have no way of
separating fact from fiction. How much of what he said is simply noise?
Moreover, we are seeing an incomplete version of his confession.

Two, Mohammed yearns to secure his place in al-Qaida and terrorism history.
Three, he hopes to inspire followers and wannabes. Four, he seeks to evoke
-- at least in his brief moments of contrition -- some sympathy. Five, he
desires for the general public to understand and fear, as terrorism
specialists long have, the sweeping scope of al-Qaida activities. Or, six,
he has a seemingly contradictory goal -- to lull listeners into a false
sense of security because he, the "superterrorist" of grandiose schemes, is
out of circulation.

Does any of that matter, though?

Mostly, no. As important as Mohammed might have been to al-Qaida, he no
longer has much relevance beyond symbolism. What is playing out here has
propaganda significance mostly for Mohammed himself and the Bush
administration.

Still, those watching have more than entertainment to glean. There is an
important and ominous lesson begging for attention and respect -- that the
pervasive and centrally but loosely directed al-Qaida of yesteryear no
longer exists. But hold the celebration.

In its earlier incarnation, when the world had not yet braced itself for a
war against terrorism, al-Qaida had numerous advantages. It could use its
growing organizational ability, revolutionary fervor, furtive presence,
expanding global reach and the element of surprise almost with impunity.

After the post-9/11 crackdown, especially the U.S.-led intervention in
Afghanistan, al-Qaida metamorphosed into a different network with a whole
host of groups. Some remain fastened to the original organization with just
as much zeal as ever. Others philosophically align themselves with it. And
still others simply draw inspiration from it to behave badly.

Fully monitoring the new terrorism pandemic defies current global
capabilities. The result is that, more than ever, we must anticipate the
unexpected. It is only a matter of time before the next successful attack
happens. And the ones after that.

I bring this up not to scare people but to urge them to prepare themselves
for the evolving realities of terrorism. Although Mohammed failed to carry
out every plot that he claimed and global authorities have thwarted many
others since Sept. 11, it would be woefully unwise to decide -- as some
people have -- that the worst is over. Plenty of terrorists stand ready to
target the public officials, bridges, iconic structures, energy facilities
and businesses that Mohammed discussed.

We are not safe -- and will not be -- until the international community
eliminates, where possible, the sources of terrorism and decimates the
implacable elements of the threat.

 



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